Horn of Africa Centre for Regional Studies

Horn Studies is Independent, Nonpartisan and nonprofit Centre based in Mogadishu, Somalia.

[NISA @HSNQ_NISA]

Wasiirka Warfaafinta XFS Mudane Cabdulfataax Qaasim ayaa faahfaahin ka bixiyay howlgalkii lagu dilay Horjooge Cabdullaahi Xaashi Labajir (Ikhlaas), oo ahaa Madaxa Guud ee Sirdoonka Maleeshiyaadka Khawaarijta, iyo howlgallo kale oo lagu dilay horjoogeyaal sare oo ka tirsanaa Khawaarijta, kuwaas oo ka kala dhacay gobollada dalka.

[NISA @HSNQ_NISA]

WAR SAXAAFADEED

Muqdisho, Agoosto 15, 2026: Ciidanka Hay’adda Sirdoonka iyo Nabadsugidda Qaranka (NISA), oo kaashanaya saaxiibada caalamka, ayaa howlgal qorsheysan oo 12-kii Agoosto 2026 ka dhacay degmada Maxaas ee Gobolka Hiiraan, gaar ahaa guri ay ku sugnaayeen horjoogeyaal sare, ku dilay saddex horjooge oo ka tirsanaa Khawaarijta, halka dhaawac culus lagu gaarsiiyay horjooge sare Mustaf Caato oo ahaa madaxa guud ee waxa ay ugu yeeraan Jabhadaha Gobolka Hiiraan, iyo laba horjooge oo kale.

Mustaf Caato, oo ka mid ah horjoogeyaasha muhiimka u ah Khawaarijta, ayaa dhaawac halis ah ka soo gaaray howlgalka, waxaana markii dambe laga qaaday degmada Maxaas iyada oo loo gudbiyay degmada Ceelbuur si loogu daweeyo. Horjoogahan ayaa muddo dheer ku lug lahaa qorsheynta iyo isku-dubbaridka weerarrada argagixisada, isaga oo hore u soo maamulay qeybta qaraxyada iyo naftood-haligayaasha.

Horjoogeyaasha kale ee howlgalka lagu dilay ayaa kala ahaa Cabdi Xaafid, oo ka tirsanaa qeybta qaraxyada; Daalibaan, oo ka tirsanaa qeybta gurmadka Gobolka Hiiraan iyo Cumar Xuseen, oo horjooge u ahaa qeyb ka mid ah waxa ay ugu yeeraan Jabhadaha. Waxaa sidoo kale dhaawac culus la gaarsiiyay horjooge Maxamed Eeney iyo horjooge Salaad Buur.

Horjooge Mustaf Caato ayaa muddo ka mid ahaa bartilmaameedyada mudnaanta sare u lahaa hay’adaha amniga, isaga oo door horjoogenimo ku lahaa abaabulka iyo dagaallada Khawaarijta. Howlgalkani wuxuu qeyb ka yahay dadaallada joogtada ah ee lagu wiiqayo awoodda iyo hoggaanka kooxda. Fadlan muwaadin, wixii khatar amni ah ama macluumaad la xiriira Khawaarijta Al-Shabaab iyo Daacish la wadaag NISA: 199 | 0770 747474 | 0620 545454.

DHAMMAAD

[NISA @HSNQ_NISA]

Ciidanka Hay’adda Sirdoonka iyo Nabadsugidda Qaranka (NISA), oo kaashanaya saaxiibada caalamka ayaa howlgal gaar ah oo lagu dilay Horjooge sare oo ka tirsan Khawaarijta ka fuliyay Gobolka Shabeellaha Hoose. Horjoogahan ayaa hore uga badbaaday seddex howlgal oo loo qorsheeyay in lagu soo afjaro.

Goor dhow la soco faahfaahin dheeraad ah.

[Dr. Najat Abdul-Aziz @theafroaussie]

This is why they’re obsessed.

Follow @marwansomali_ on the gram.

[Addis Standard @addisstandard]

News: Rights group reveals #Colombian fighters linked to atrocities in #Sudan trained at #UAE military bases, urges sanctions over #RSF support

“The recruitment of Colombian private military contractors adds to a growing body of evidence that the UAE provides military support to the Rapid Support Forces, which have repeatedly carried out heinous atrocities in Sudan,” said Mausi Segun, executive director of HRW’s Africa Division.

https://t.co/UXW0EEzS5b

[Omar Abraar @OAbraar]

Thank you MP Jeremy Corbyn, the Leader of YOUR PARTY in the UK.

This is his view towards Somalia Territorial Integrity, Unity & Sovereignty.

[The Economist @TheEconomist]

The prime minister’s ambitions threaten both his country and the Horn of Africa https://t.co/Vmkg8nHAh1

[Abdurahman Sheikh Azhari @HOA_ANALYST]

#SecurityAlert

Africa’s Intelligence Failure Against an Evolving Terror Threat

According to the U.S. military, African intelligence services and their international partners are facing mounting difficulties in deeply infiltrating terrorist networks operating across the continent. Penetrating the inner workings of these groups, including their leadership, command structures, operational capabilities, financial architecture, and long-term strategic intentions, has become increasingly elusive as they continue to execute devastating and highly coordinated surprise attacks across Africa.

The recent large-scale attack in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), claimed by Islamic State Central Africa Province (ISCAP), and the earlier sophisticated assault in Mali claimed by Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), underscore a troubling reality: these groups are becoming more adaptive, more secretive, and operationally more sophisticated. Their ability to conceal networks, preserve command structures, and strike with precision highlights serious intelligence gaps and exposes vulnerabilities within regional security frameworks.

Even more alarming is the steady evolution of their capabilities. The growing use and acquisition of drones, increasingly sophisticated weapons systems, and technology-driven financial mechanisms suggest that these groups are not merely surviving counterterrorism pressure, but actively modernizing and adapting to the demands of contemporary warfare. This trajectory should serve as a stark warning to intelligence and security institutions across Africa and beyond.

Unless intelligence services dramatically improve infiltration capabilities, regional coordination, technical surveillance, and financial tracking mechanisms, the continent risks confronting extremist organizations that are increasingly agile, technologically enabled, and capable of launching more lethal and unpredictable operations with strategic effect.

Stay tuned and please follow @wargelinn for more updates

#Africaintelligence
#Africasecurity
#JNIM
#ISWAP
#ISCAP
#DRC
#SAHEL
#WESTAFRICA
#AFRICOM
#SECURITY
#COUNTERTERRORISM
#AFRICA
#AU

[Abdurahman Sheikh Azhari @HOA_ANALYST]

#SecurityAlert
Misreading Al Shabaab: A Flaw at the Heart of U.S. Counterterrorism Strategy

One of the most striking weaknesses in U.S. counterterrorism strategy is the apparent assumption that Al Shabaab is a clan-based organization. This interpretation is fundamentally mistaken. Had Al Shabaab been structured along clan lines, it would almost certainly have fragmented and collapsed years ago. The group’s endurance and reach are instead rooted in three interconnected pillars: an extremist ideological framework, a cadre of criminally motivated actors, and a system of harsh authoritarian control over the populations it governs.
This misreading points to a deeper analytical failure. Current U.S. assessments of Al Shabaab appear to rest on flawed intelligence and superficial analysis rather than a rigorous understanding of the organization’s true character and operational logic.
A second significant distortion concerns the framing of the broader counterterrorism mission in Africa. Presenting the protection of African Christians as a core strategic objective is both misleading and politically loaded. Across the continent, Muslim and Christian communities have coexisted for generations, sharing neighbourhoods, markets, and civic life. The terrorism unfolding in Africa today is not a religiously targeted campaign against any one faith group.
The evidence makes this clear. In Somalia, Mali, and Niger, where between 90 and 100 percent of the population is Muslim, the primary victims of terrorist violence are Muslim civilians themselves. Framing the conflict as a defence of African Christians does not reflect the reality on the ground. It obscures who is actually suffering, and risks distorting the strategic priorities that should guide a credible and effective response.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Stay turned and please follow @wargelinn for more updates

#AlShabaab
#AlQaeda
#USCTSTRATEGYAfrica
#AFRICOM
#COUNTERTERRORISM
#SECURITY
#SOMALIA
#DJIBOUTI
#KENYA
#UGANDA
#ETHIOPIA
#US
#EU
#AU

[Ministry of Foreign Affairs 🇸🇴 @MOFASomalia]

Somalia, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Egypt & 14 other nations strongly condemn Israel’s move to appoint a representative to the so-called “Somaliland,” calling it a clear violation of Somalia’s sovereignty & unity, and reaffirm full support for its territorial integrity #Somalia

[Abdurahman Sheikh Azhari @HOA_ANALYST]

#SecurityAlert
Iran and Houthis Seek to Draw Al-Shabaab into Red Sea and Gulf of Aden Operations

Iran and the Houthis are pushing Al-Shabaab to become involved in future operations in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.

Reliable sources indicate that Iran has directly contacted senior Al-Shabaab leaders, requesting that they cooperate with the Houthis in potential operations that could be carried out on both sides of the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.

Military officials from Iran reportedly met with representatives from Al-Shabaab and the Houthis at the port of Hodeidah in Yemen in mid-March 2026. Al-Shabaab was promised that, if the conflict concludes, it would receive significant financial and military support, potentially the largest Iran has ever provided to the group.

The identities of the Al-Shabaab members who traveled to Yemen have been kept highly confidential. However, it has been confirmed that they were not the usual operatives known to move between that region and the Golis Mountains, but rather members of Al-Shabaab based outside the country.

Stay tuned on and follow @wargelinn for more updates

#AlShabaab
#Iran
#Somalia
#Houthi
#Redsea
#Gulfofaden
#Babalmandeb
#Maritimesecurity
#Middleeastwar
#HOA

[Alparslan Bayraktar @aBayraktar1]

Dün Somali’ye zor zamanlarında nasıl destek olduysak, bugün de kalkınan Somali’nin geleceğini birlikte inşa etmek için buradayız.

Çağrı Bey gemimiz; dostluğun, kardeşliğin ve ortak geleceğimizin sarsılmaz iradesiyle Somali kıyılarına demir attı. Bugün gözlerindeki umutla ufka bakan çocuklar, gençler ve milyonlarca Somalili kardeşimiz, derinlerden gelecek o müjdeye kulak kesilmiş durumda.

Biliyoruz ki umut hepimiz için var ve daha adil bir dünyada umut hepimize yetecek. 🇹🇷🇸🇴

#EnerjideTamBağımsızTürkiye

[Hassan Sheikh Mohamud @HassanSMohamud]

I welcomed Türkiye’s Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar to Mogadishu today. Our talks reaffirmed the strong Somalia–Türkiye partnership, focusing on energy, natural resources & blue economy. The arrival of the Cagri Bay drilling project ushers in new chapter of shared progress.

[NISA @HSNQ_NISA]

WAR SAXAAFADEED

Muqdisho, April 04, 2026: Ciidanka Hay’adda Sirdoonka iyo Nabadsugidda Qaranka (NISA), oo kaashanaya saaxiibada caalamka, ayaa fuliyay howlgallo qorsheysan oo ka dhacay Gobolka Shabeellaha Hoose, kuwaas oo lagu beegsaday xarumo iyo maleeshiyaad ka tirsan Khawaarijta. Howlgalladan waxaa lagu dilay sagaal dhagarqabe, iyada oo lagu burburiyay lix matoor oo waaweyn oo kooxdu u adeegsan jirtay farsameynta miinooyinka iyo walxaha qarxa.

Howlgalka koowaad oo ka dhacay deegaanka Kuunyo Barrow ayaa lagu beegsaday xarun ay Khawaarijta u yaaleen matoorro waaweyn oo ay u adeegsan jireen farsameynta miinooyinka iyo qaraxyada. Halkaas waxaa lagu gubay lix matoor, waxaana lagu dilay lix dhagarqabe oo ay ka mid ahaayeen Horjooge Abiikar Nuur oo masuul ka ahaa matoorada iyo gaadiidka, iyo Cabdifitaax Maxamed Xasan oo ahaa Makaanigii ugu weynaa argagixisada ee farsameynta baabuurta qaraxyada.

Sidoo kale, howlgal kale oo ka dhacay deegaanka Tugaareey ee isla Gobolka Shabeellaha Hoose ayaa lagu beegsaday maleeshiyaad Khawaarij ah oo gabbaad ka dhiganayay goob kayn ah. Seddex dhagarqabe ayaa lagu dilay howlgalkan, waxaana lagu kala firdhiyay maleeshiyaadkii halkaas ku dhuumaaleysanayay, taas oo wiiqday abaabulkii kooxda.

Howlgalladan qorsheysan ayaa qeyb ka ah dadaallada joogtada ah ee lagu burburinayo xarumaha iyo abaabulka Maleeshiyaadka ee Khawaarijta, isla markaana looga hortagayo isku dayada argagixiso. Fadlan muwaadin, wixii khatar amni ah ama macluumaad la xiriira Al-Shabaab/Daacish la wadaag NISA: 199 / 0770747474 / 0620545454.

DHAMMAAD

[NISA @HSNQ_NISA]

WAR SAXAAFADEED

Muqdisho, March 31, 2026: Ciidanka Hay’adda Sirdoonka iyo Nabadsugidda Qaranka (NISA), oo kaashanaya saaxiibada caalamka, ayaa fuliyay howlgallo qorsheysan oo lagu burburiyay xarumo ay Khawaarijtu u adeegsan jirtay farsameynta qaraxyada, dayactirka hubka iyo abaabulka maleeshiyaadka, kuwaas oo ku kala yaallay Gobollada Shabeellaha Hoose iyo Shabeellaha Dhexe. Howlgalladan ayaa sidoo kale lagu dilay Injineero iyo maleeshiyaad ka tirsan kooxda.

Howlgalka koowaad, oo maanta ka dhacay deegaanka Kuunyo Barrow ee Gobolka Shabeellaha Hoose, ayaa lagu beegsaday xarumo qarsoodi ah oo kooxdu u adeegsan jirtay farsameynta qaraxyada iyo dayactirka hubka. Howlgalkan ayaa lagu burburiyay qalabkii farsamada, keydkii ku jiray xarumahaasi iyo labo gaari oo ay u diyaarinayeen walxaha qarxa, waxaana la dilay toddobo dhagarqabe oo ka kala tirsanaa qeybaha Injineerada qaraxyada iyo Maleeshiyaadka kooxda.

Howlgalka labaad, oo labadii maalin ee la soo dhaafay ka dhacay deegaanka Laba-garas ee Gobolka Shabeellaha Dhexe, ayaa lagu beegsaday maleeshiyaad loo diyaarinayay in ay weerar argagixiso fuliyaan. Howlgalkaas wajigiisa koowaad waxaa lagu dilay 12 dhagarqabe, halka wajiga labaad lagu soo afjaray sagaal dhagarqabe, kuwaas oo qaarkood ka firxaday weerarkii hore balse mar kale lagu beegsaday goob ay gabaad ka dhiganayeen.

Howlgalladan ayaa qeyb ka ah dadaallada joogtada ah ee lagu wiiqayo awoodda Argagixisada iyo burburinta xarumaha muhiimka u ah falalka argagixiso. Fadlan muwaadin, wixii khatar amni ah ama macluumaad la xiriira Al-Shabaab/Daacish la wadaag NISA: 199 / 0770747474 / 0620545454.

DHAMMAAD

[Abdurahman Sheikh Azhari @HOA_ANALYST]

Southwest Somalia President officially resigns

The President of the Southwest State of Somalia, Abdiaziz Laftagareen, has announced his resignation from office just hours after appointing his Minister of Finance as Acting President.

This resignation, which Mr. Laftagareen shared on his official Facebook page, appears to have been driven by mounting pressure following a clear erosion of his leadership authority within Southwest. Credible sources have confirmed that he was prevented from leaving Baidoa until he formally stepped down, underscoring the intensity of the internal power struggle.

At a time when the constitutional institutions of Southwest are effectively non-functional, it is anticipated that an interim leadership will soon be installed to steer the administration through this crisis.

Meanwhile, in a significant parallel development, Somalia’s Ministry of Interior has appointed Mr. Abdifatah Sayid Ahmed as the Governor of Lower Shabelle, a region of critical importance in terms of security, political influence, and economic resources. Lower Shabelle serves as a vital link connecting Mogadishu to much of southern Somalia.

Abdifatah Sayid Ahmed is widely regarded as one of the most experienced figures in intelligence, security, and counterterrorism operations, with a long track record in these fields. Notably, he hails from Lower Shabelle itself, a factor likely to strengthen his local legitimacy and operational effectiveness which will help the Security and the Governance of the region.

Stay Turned on and please follow @wargelinn for more updates

#FGS
#SOUTHWEST
#SECURITY
#COUNTERTERRORISM
#SNA
#NISA

[Ebuzer Demirci @DemirciEbuzer]

No city in the world is developing as fast as Mogadishu. Masha Allah. 🇸🇴

[ABDIFATAH SIIDII 🇸🇴 @abdiCD]

As @SNAForce intensifies operations along the Beidoa–Buurhakaba corridor, the leadership of South West State faces a moment of clear accountability.

The current political posture, driven by an attempt to extend power without broad consensus, reflects a failure of leadership. Instead of building unity, the administration has chosen a path that deepens division and weakens institutional legitimacy.

Statements emerging from this leadership do not support national security efforts. They create confusion, erode morale, and risk aligning with narratives exploited by Al-Shabaab.

At a time of active military operations, political survival must not override national interest. The leadership must either restore consensus and align with federal efforts, or accept responsibility for undermining both governance and security in South West State.

#Somalia
#SouthWest
#Beidoa

[NISA @HSNQ_NISA]

Macluumaad dheeraad ah oo ku saabsan dhagarihii uu shacabka Soomaaliyeed u maleegay Horjooge Suleymaan Cumar Fiidow oo dhawaan lagu dilay howlgal qorsheysan