Valerie Howard

[Moshe @IsraelIDFend]

Looks like the French police were finally ordered to do their jobs.

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@mmorn_gyling @mutenahayat @AMG138168 @grok 不用发这种图，因为他们没那些个祖宗

[Global Statistics @Globalstats11]

Most Powerful People in the World (1800-2026)

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@JJs_Chatterbox 傻逼一个，女权狗

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@Alibin238binAli 你给我编制了？我去哪上班？弱智。

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@hentopan_ 哎呀呀真吓哭了呢哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@Son__Firavun 土耳其人开始拥抱纳粹了，一个野蛮的民族就是这样，杂交几百年道德连最下贱的蟑螂都不如。

[攘姨剑豪 @mydoordun]

你和马斯克的财产总和是9000亿刀

你和马斯克的人均财产是4500亿刀

安拉和我今天中午一共吃了四块炸猪排 安拉平均吃了两块

这真是失败者为自己寻找自尊的最可悲方式

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@six801972698970 @mizu41241 @DesmondLst04 @888_lynn97839 经学家👍😂

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@MdocAi 我很喜欢韩国，在今天，敦促日本道歉反省的问题上，韩国人比我们中国人还要有骨气。

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@dghewargesdtjry 龙和象完全是地球上的重量级拳王，我们亚洲人只要团结起来，一定会领导全世界。

[虎哥博主合集 @Hugebozhuheji1]

“射烂妈妈的骚逼” 做爱时男友失声喊了声妈妈，被骚货女友发现男友的恋母情结，女友索性直接放开，化身男友的骚妈妈。各种淫荡骚话调教男友这个骚鸡巴儿，对白精彩且炸裂。（完整版视频已更新）

[小少妇 @CourtneyBruio8]

wataa

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@MoNDefense 相当于我把台独的老婆给干了，台独在那“我看到了哦，一下，两下，三下……😭”

[Sama Hoole @SamaHoole]

In December 1958 the Polish embassy in Beijing refused to let the sparrow killers onto its grounds, so the Chinese surrounded it with drummers and kept the drums going for two days until every bird sheltering in the garden had dropped dead from the air, and the diplomats cleared them up with shovels.

That is how thorough it was. The campaign had been running since the spring. Every village, school and factory was turned out with gongs, pans and firecrackers to keep the sparrows flying until their hearts gave out. Nests were torn from eaves, eggs smashed, chicks killed, and children went through the fields with slingshots and were paid by the bird. The dead came in by the basket, strung on wires, piled on carts, and the totals went up the chain as a harvest. Something close to two billion sparrows in two years. The embassy garden was the last place in the capital with birdsong in it, and the drums got that too.

A zoologist called Zhu Xi had told them before it started that a king had tried this and lost. Frederick the Great of Prussia had put a bounty on sparrows in the 1740s to save his grain and his cherries, and the sparrows went, and the caterpillars they had been eating stripped his orchards to the stalk, and the king cancelled the bounty and paid to have sparrows brought back from neighbouring states and let loose. The whole episode was in the library. The ministry had a figure for what a sparrow ate and no figure for what it did, and a man with the second figure was told to sit down.

The locusts arrived on schedule. Then the grain borers. A sparrow takes a few grains from a field in autumn and feeds its chicks nothing but insects all spring, and with the sparrows gone the insects had the rice and the wheat to themselves. The counties with the most sparrows to lose saw their grain fall the furthest, and the rice and wheat that had been holding the country up went down together.

That was 1959, and the state took its grain quota anyway, on the harvest that had been reported. What was left in the villages was not enough, and the famine that followed over the next three years is the largest in human history: tens of millions dead, the estimates running from fifteen million to forty-five, whole counties in Anhui and Sichuan where the living could not bury the dead. The sparrows were one cause among several and the economists who have gone back to the county records put the bird's share at something over two million people, with another four hundred thousand never born. Two million, from a campaign against a thing that weighs an ounce.

By 1960 the ornithologist Tso-hsin Cheng, who had been cutting open dead sparrows and counting the insects in their stomachs, got the bird struck off the list and bed bugs put in its place. There were almost no sparrows left in China to pardon. So the government did what Prussia had done two centuries before: it bought a quarter of a million sparrows from the Soviet Union and shipped them east in crates, to be released into a country that had drummed every one of their relatives out of the sky.

The animal that does the invisible job is always the one on the ledger as a cost. Take the sheep off a chalk down and the orchids are under scrub in twenty years. Fence the cattle off a Welsh hill and the bracken takes it. Empty a savannah of its herds and the grass goes to fire. All of it written down, all of it in the library, all of it available to the next committee with a figure for what a cow eats.

Beijing paid Moscow for the birds in hard currency. The men who had said so in 1958 were still not allowed to say so in 1960.

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@Shelby1907_ @longxiang5usc 哈哈哈哈哈哈笑死了

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@musashi_1022 什么时候富士山烧一下本州岛

[Valerie Howard @HowardVale78508]

@wuyongren2023 正规你妈，井底之蛙好好呆着吧！

[Техножрец и будет удача @xopyc_akcimand]

Всё таки китайцев надо было держать за стеной

[寂寞的乔丹 @hhp121222]

中国为什么识别到G2是个坑？
中华文明一个很特别的优势，就是历史记载足够详实，尤其是古代高层博弈的得失，很多案例都被完整留存下来。

每当面对新的国际议题，翻开史书，就能找到相似局面的前车之鉴，前人踩过什么坑、方案有哪些短板、执行里会冒出什么样的麻烦，都记录得清清楚楚。

不少热点议题，千百年里反复被后人拿来讨论、复盘，不断生出新的解读。 G2议题，其实在战国时代，早就上演过一次原型，公元前 288 年彼时的战国格局，已经形成秦、齐两强遥遥领先的局面。秦昭襄王在丞相魏冉的谋划之下，派出使者出使齐国，提出一个构想：秦国称西帝，尊齐湣王为东帝，两国结成同盟，联手攻打赵国，说白了就是一套两分天下的方案。

齐湣王一开始动心，答应了这个提议，秦齐东西二帝的 “两极格局”，就这么登场了。

不过很快，齐国的谋臣就点破了这套方案里藏着的重重陷阱。

首先，这本质上是秦国抛出来的离间之计，根本不是真心要和齐国平等共治。秦国的真实想法，是借着抬高齐国、赠予 “东帝” 名号这件事，把齐国绑在自己的战车之上，离间齐国和东方其他诸侯国的关系，拆散东方有可能形成的合纵抗秦联盟。所谓平等，只是包装，牵制、分化对手才是内核。

其次，这个帝号是典型的空头荣誉，风险全由齐国承担，好处却落不到自己手里。当时秦国实力更强，行事也更激进，各国诸侯本来就畏惧秦国。就算齐国拿到东帝的头衔，列国遇事，优先忌惮和服从的依旧是秦国。齐国空背着一个僭越的名号，原本那些只提防秦国、对齐国抱有好感的诸侯国，也会因为齐国参与 “共分天下” 的盟约，转而把齐国当成共同的威胁。有名无实，祸先上门。

第三，它踩中了当时秩序最敏感的红线。周王室虽然早已衰落，但 “王” 的名号依旧是天下公认的合法框架。称帝，意味着地位凌驾于所有诸侯王之上，相当于公开表露取代周天子的野心。这已经不是简单秀肌肉，而是对整个当时国际秩序的正面冲撞，很容易招来天下人的集体敌视。

第四，双方的核心利益根本对不上，所谓的收益分配完全失衡，合作目标很难落地。秦国想拉着齐国一起伐赵，伐赵这件事对齐国收益有限；齐国真正想要的战略目标，是吞并宋国。两个盟友想要的东西不一样，利益没法绑定，所谓共治，从根源上就缺少合作基础。

谋臣还给齐王献上了一套稳妥的应对思路：可以先口头接受帝号，但不急着正式对外称帝，让秦国先去独自承受僭越称王带来的舆论压力。如果天下各国反应平淡，齐国再顺势称帝；一旦反对声音四起，齐国立刻放弃帝号，靠这个举动收获各国好感、收拢人心。

齐湣王采纳了这个计策，称帝仅仅两天，就主动去掉帝号，恢复齐王的身份。齐国一撤，原本的两极格局失衡，秦国孤立无援，到当年十二月，也只能被迫取消西帝的称号。这场战国版的 “G2” 实验，从出炉到瓦解，前后也就一个多月。

可就算齐国主动退出，代价依旧没能完全免除。

同意东西二帝的邀约，向外传递出一个明确信号，齐国同样有着吞并天下的巨大野心，这直接透支了其他诸侯国对齐国的信任。

后来齐国又瞒着盟友，独自出兵灭掉宋国，各国积攒的敌意彻底爆发，最终引发五国伐齐。强盛一时的齐国就此一蹶不振，齐湣王最后也死在了楚国援军将领手里。这段历史，清晰地说明：哪怕只是短暂入局，这个框架自带的风险，就很难彻底甩掉。

现在再回头看如今被反复提起的 G2 构想，很多逻辑就一目了然。美方抛出 G2 的说法，本质上延续的是老一套的思维惯性，把它当成一种牵制、离间、向外转嫁自身压力的工具。而且双方的全球影响力、战略底盘并不对等，谁认认真真接下这个框架，就等于主动跳进前人踩过的陷阱。

所以我们一直没有接下 G2 这个提法，道理就在这里。我们坚持多边主义，不搞两极对立，也不追求霸权。但拒绝 G2，不等于我们要继续压低自己的声音。美国主动提出这个说法，本身就是对我们综合实力的一种承认。

我们不谋求和它二分天下，不组建两极阵营，但是在和美国对话博弈的时候，有底气说得更直接、声音更响亮。对于世界上其他绝大多数国家，我们依旧秉持平等相处、互利共赢的思路，坚持大家都是伙伴。

美国热衷于这套，还是冷战留下的思维惯性。一旦我们认可 G2 的框架，它就可以顺势把世界重新划分成两大阵营，拉拢一众盟友，复刻当年冷战对抗的剧本。

这种老套路，已经不适用于今天的世界了。史书把成败写在前面，我们自然不必再去重复前人走过的弯路。