Week ahead is out: https://t.co/V4M6PyO0JZ
Market data + Dashboard (CV Forge) from @ConvexValue
SPX and VIX positioning from @OptionsDepth
RV Event
-Almost got it on 10/08, CPI day, and Friday
-Risk developing to upside shock
-CTA triggers nearby with VCF near max exposure - Systematic selling can be our clearing event.
Is Market Breadth healing?
VIX positioning
-Puts after this week have been flowing in - Is Vix_Crush.exe about to enter the party?
QQQ Skew getting a bit lopsided
Be back Monday with morning note; If the week ahead or daily posts are helpful, please like/repost.
$ES_F 🥛Weekly Range for 8/31 - 9/4
This week on upside ⬆️ will be capped at weekly ceiling/call side IV wall at $7815-20
Downside ⬇️ we have our weekly floor at $7638 which will take support on test as a potential cap on downside, loss of we seek to downside put IV wall $7591-80 for high probability cap of the week.
I'm ready to begin looking for some new longer-term opportunities where I'll be buying the underlying equity.
Should I do this live with you guys so you can see how I search for these opportunities?
Here's some of the recent examples that have performed extremely well:
$CALY 3/17/25, $6.20 -> $18.91 6/26/26 (205%)
$VFC 4/4/25, $12.05 -> $19.02 1/14/26 (58%)
$RHI 10/31/25, $26.18 -> Still Active $45.19 (72%)
$CBRL 10/31/25, $33.32 -> Still Active $57.56 (73%)
$TSCO 7/17/26, $30.50 -> Still Active $35.72 (17%)
$CSGP 7/17/26, $29.68 -> Still Active $32.52 (9%)
Don't forget there are still occasional losses, but they are kept minimal, but better entries are also possible or additions to the position.
Also, some of these stocks pay dividends as high as 5%, so that's an additional bonus that I'm not factoring in.
Should I show looking for my next positions live?
$META🥛Wed 8/19 Expiry
Trading into Wed Net Dealer 🎯$577.78
Soft 🎯 575.00 as Net Dealer will likely roll down another strike towards price.
Market Makers will want to collapse exposure at $567.50 - $562.50 ⬆️
& collapse exposure $600 and above ⬇️