๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ป | Jun 26, 2026
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Chips/Power/Grid/Semi infra.
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MU earnings! Holy smokes memory flew. I'm not screening too in depth right now as I'm focused more on study/review at the moment however the names showing up on my screens are almost all in the chip/power/grid/semi infra themes as the AI trade carries on.
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I was away from the screen but it looks like a pretty whipsaw session by the looks of it. SPY riding the 50 SMA, QQQ still looks like it wants to pay a visit as well.
Oil, precious metals, 10Y, crypto all continue to show weakness while the dollar breaks out. Macro picture continues to be mixed.
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Sat out today and planning to do so tomorrow as well. Feels great to take a breather during the ongoing chop. I've been using the time to review my old trades and make some updates to my app. It's hard to balance all of the study that I want to do. Reading, model book creation, trade study, personal review. I'm loving every minute of it, I just can't find enough time to do it all, have to pace myself one task at a time.
The main priority at the moment is reviewing trades. I need to get a sense of my tendencies and mistakes in order to correct them and improve. Have to remember, 1% better every day compounds!
๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ป | Jun 25, 2026
๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐
AI Capex: Chips, Infra, Power, Memory
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MU you're our only hope! MU's print eased many market worries. The question is how does the market absorb the news? Are we selling into strength or grinding higher? I'll be watching to see how we thing move.
There are actually some nice pivots setting up and showing RS. e.g. RXT, FTNT, AMBQ, DELL, and likely some others.
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The chop continues with QQQ and SPY living below the 20 day. SPY bouncing off the 50 SMA and QQQ potentially on its way there. We've got a couple of gaps to fill and it looks like we might get a nice bounce tomorrow with the positive news from MU. That said, I'm still fairly convinced we'll be chopping around in this range a bit longer.
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Stopped on most positions today. Still holding a small piece of INTC and TWLO. Plan for tomorrow is to sit out and watch the action. I'll also be doing a deep dive on my own recent trades and see what I can learn from myself.
I want to use this chop period to refine my edge: trade review, model book time, and self reflection. Excited by what I might learn!
Picked up $INOD at the HVE Close support. Used a 6/20 pivot for entry. Only knock is that its been losing RS recently. Pilot position, we'll see if buyers step up.
@RealSimpleAriel I mean going from a smaller to larger position sizes. e.g 5% -> 10% -> 15%.
I assume its as you build cushion and have a couple of trades working but I'm just curious if you have any additional color or perspective about when it's time to make that first jump from 5% to 10% position size.
๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ป | Jun 24, 2026
๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐
Cyber Security, HPC Hosting, Quantum
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Mr. Market traded the axe for the wood chipper today and accelerated the move to the downside. Energy and Tankers and related named all showed RS while momentum was taken to the woodshed.
HPC Hosting showed RS with APLD and WULF up on the day. NTAP seems to be showing signs of bottoming. And Cyber names were a bright spot amidst the carnage. FTNT best setup in that bunch.
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Brutal gap down and close near low for the indices. SPY bounced off the 50 sma. QQQ might have more room to run lower.
Dollar is flying up. Oil, 10Y, precious metals, crypto all down. Mixed macro backdrop.
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Took some damage in the gap down but overall it was contained. Certainly gave back more than I wanted but nothing to wipe me out.
A good lesson: my best positions where I bought right were fine (e.g. MXL, INTC). For both, my backstop was hit (so reduced by 1/3rd) but they are all well above breakeven so I'm still holding 1/3rd (had already derisked at 2R).
Unfortunately I was shaken out of BE for a small gain, my stops were not well placed. I even had DELL in the port and was shaken out of that only for it to reclaim HVE close.
Had I used the 15 minute rule I would have been fine on my highest conviction, high RS names (INTC, DELL, BE, MXL, WYFI) and likely would be green or close to it. I was pretty overwhelmed by all the red this morning so simple exercise of writing down my priority list when I have a large portfolio would have likely kept me in the best positions. Trying to keep too much in my head.
Positions that showed weakness yesterday and I considered cutting were my largest losses for the day (VELO, MRAM). Luckily I did cut both of those in those half yesterday but given the gap down they still resulted in 1R+ losses.
Currently holding TWLO, HIMS, INTC, RXT, WYFI, MXL at about .09% risk each.
๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ป | Jun 23, 2026
๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐
Chips, AI Infra, Grid
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It's a stock picker's market from my eyes. Selective. That said, HTFs seem to abound, it's just a matter of timing and patience. Have seen some squat (VSH, KEEL, OUST) and some take off (WYFI). All that we can do at this juncture is manage risk!
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More chop! QQQ/SPY sideways.
Macro: Dollar rising, oil falling, rates recovering. It's a mixed bag.
Continuing to see significant weakness in precious metals and crypto, not much to report on at the moment.
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My next big goal is to "buy right" so that I can sit tight. I've noticed that I've been late on a few entries recently and while I'm glad to be in the move (e.g. BE, INTC) my risk/reward is not tight enough for my liking. I didn't chase, so much as I was just a tad late, bought up 1% or so. Better alerts and a tighter focus list should help here.
๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ ๐ฃ๐น๐ฎ๐ป | Jun 22, 2026
๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐
AI Infra, Semiconductors, Chips, Power.
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Seeing another proliferation of HTFs which makes sense after the recent run and subsequent pullback. Money continues to concentrate in AI hardware names.
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QQQ with a green candle on Thursday after a gap fill. Still feels like we have more chop inbound. SPY in an interesting inside day. Which way do we go next?
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The question isn't "Will this run continue? the question is "How will I manage risk?". Process over outcome.
@1ChartMaster If you bought the day after this post as a wick play, stop LoD it was 194 trading days before it closed below the 50 day.
If you derisked 1/3rd at 2R, 1/3rd at first close below the 10 EMA, and 1/3rd at first close below the 50 SMA it would be a 36R trade!
Hold your winners ๐
$ALAB 2026
4.5R in 12 days. Wider stop (7%) on this stock but its 8% ADR so within range. Creative entry on the 5 min. Stock was moving up as QQQ was bottoming. Positive divergence, worth an entry.
$DDOG 2026
14R in 30 days. Had to be creative on the entry, there was no clear opening range with a good r/r. Needed to use the 6/20 pivot intraday to time the entry.