@_Hinkypunk@ElectionMapsUK@Moreincommon_ So am I and find it very easy to believe.
The vote share that has increased for Labour looks to have directly done from Lib Dems, Greens and others. Quite plausible given that a lot of Greens are former Labour voters or members who see Starmer as too right wing.
@WillHayCardiff People who vote for a nation of sanctuary, do not like right wing anti immigration bollocks.
The Tory vote never drastically increased in Wales because people who voted for them were the same each time. Same with reform. They will be playing for the exact same vote next time.
@WillHayCardiff What all those in the comments are missing is that those who did not vote Reform this time, will not vote reform.
There is no question of Plaid messing things up and those voters choosing reform, it won't happen. They'll go back to labour or another party. They hate Reform.
@KiddsL47940@mrsdepp_head@DaleBebster@Sargon_of_Akkad@WarIsComingNow Reform and the Tories are going to cut eachothers throats in Swindon.
You are correct, it is a bellwether town and as with the country there is less than 50% of it that vote to the right. There are now two parties competing for that vote, which there has not been for a decade.
For the first time since May 2025, Reform UK are no longer favourites to win the most seats at the next General Election!
Here's how we bet:
Labour - 13/8
Reform UK - 7/4
Conservatives - 11/2
Greens - 8/1
Restore Britain - 20/1
Lib Dems - 40/1
Your Party - 200/1