New data from the BEA shows prices grew at a continuously compounding annual rate of 6.1% between Sep. ’21 and Sep. ’22. The PCEPI has risen at a continuously compounded annual rate of 4.2% since Jan 2020. See our latest report for more info!
#inflation
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Today, we estimate that bond markets were pricing in 1.98% PCE inflation per year over the next 5 years and 1.99% per year over the next 10. This is the first time markets have expected less than or equal to the Fed's 2% inflation target since Feb. 2021.
Full report tomorrow!
Long-run inflation expectations have been trending down since March, yet remain above the Fed's 2% average target. As of yesterday, we estimate that bond markets were pricing in around 2.43% PCEPI inflation per year over the next 5 years and 2.17% over the next 10 years.
#PCEPI
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet tomorrow and Wednesday (June 14-15). This will be followed by a press conference and a new Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). We expect #inflation expectations to be raised, again.
#MonetaryPolicy#USFederalReserve
Since the Fed’s recent rate hike, inflation expectations have been trending marginally down. As of yesterday, we estimate that bond markets were pricing in around 2.75% PCEPI inflation per year over the next five years and 2.45% over the next ten years.
#BondMarkets#Bonds#PCEPI
In April 2022, we estimate that bond markets have priced in around 3.3 percent inflation per year over the next five years and 2.9 percent inflation per year over the next ten years.
We will release a full report on the latest inflation data tomorrow.
#bondmarkets
Over the past 20 days of trading, we estimate that bond markets priced in around 3.2% PCEPI inflation per year over the next five years.
Although, this may dip slightly by the end of the month.
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#bonds#investing#markets
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Our inflation research may provide the data you need to negotiate a raise.
See @WilliamJLuther's explanation on how inflation is essentially causing your wages to be cut.
#income
As of today, we estimate that bond markets are pricing in around 3.1% PCEPI inflation per year over the next five years and 2.7% per year over the next ten years.
Estimates, and more, are available in our latest report.
#Inflation#EconomicForecast#BondMarkets
@rickypadda As of today, we estimate that bond markets are currently pricing in around 3.1% PCEPI inflation per year over the next five years.
That said, I truly hope inflation does "cool down" by the end of the year, as you put it.
~@MorganTimmann
Today’s release from the BEA shows prices grew at a continuously compounding annual rate of 6.1% between Feb. ’21 and Feb ’22. PCEPI has grown at an annual rate of 3.9% since Jan 2020. See the latest data below!
https://t.co/AgnIKs89dH
#inflation#FED#EconTwitter
@rickypadda Inflation is not likely to "cool down" by the end of the year. Bond markets and even the FOMC projections indicate that inflation will remain beyond the 2% target level for a few years. See our report, the BEA data release, and/or FRED data all released today.
The latest data from the Federal Open Market Committee will be released Thursday, March 31st.
We are here to provide you a full report on #inflation, on the same day.
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#FederalReserve#moneysupply