I have been in this market awhile, made money, lost money
But there are times when even those smarter than me are calling for new lows, I somehow can't shake this feeling on $BTC and $ETH
My plans are posted and I am ready to ride think time is close
I rarely fractal but this is itching me for some reason
#BTC
I can't get rid of this eerily feeling that somehow this happens and the true top of #BTC is not the usual bait everyone at 100k but blow everyone's expectations and somehow do 250k and then nuke
not sure
@DorkChicken Ayt bookmarked and forming a prayer circle
Funnily enough first bullish fractal I've seen today since Charlie and Bob posted their bear targets
Macro Plan
Q2 Bullish
Q3 Range/Bleed
Q4 Strong uptrend
We top out soon around 84k, build out a bloody range for a couple months as the bid dries up during the Summer
Price compresses into the end of Q3, slow grind up begins which leads to massive move up towards 100k+
$BTC big update (W1 / D1 timeframes), Iโve revised my view. + Limit orders.
Weekly timeframe. The main cluster of short liquidity is located in the 80,000โ82,000 zone. There are about 1,000 points left to reach it. This is a key area that will determine the future direction of the market. A sustained move above this level will weaken sellers and give buyers the upper hand. As long as the price remains below it, the weekly trend remains bearish, and the current movement is viewed as a correction. A full trend reversal is only possible if the price sustains a move above 92,000โ100,000.
Daily timeframe. The price is in a balance phase and approaching the upper boundary of the range. The movement is directed toward a cluster of short liquidity.
The current zone is seller territory. Longs from here are not a priority.
A short is possible only upon confirmation after a seller reaction and holding of the zone. Without confirmation, an entry is not considered; I will return the entire volume I closed earlier, the order at 81.5k, but I hope to be able to monitor this.
If consolidation occurs above the liquidity cluster and there is no reaction from sellers, the short scenario is canceled, and the priority shifts toward long positions on pullbacks, because selling pressure there will be much lower, which gives buyers more room to maneuver.
Well, after catching multiple longs on this move up, Iโve now got my eyes on the big swing short back down.
I donโt believe we go much higher. 1-2 weeks marks the top imo. If you play this right, huge R is on the table.
@TheSpaniardXBT Chop that ultimately ends in up is my guess
But we're dealing with retardation on a scale I have never witnessed before so it's really hard to tell
I have cracked the fucking code.
We bottom this year August-September latest. Earlier than previous cycles.
It then takes $BTC just under a year to create a new ATH.
Based on the math, we are 427 days from creating a new all time high.
And we are 120 days from creating a bottom. That means... we form a new ATH precisely between April and August 2027.
Based on this metric, we have completed 75% of the bear market.
In this image, I am measuring the time from each election to the first bull market peak, as well as how long it takes Bitcoin to surpass that peak following the subsequent election day.
The cycles are accelerating, with shorter bear markets and faster recoveries.
In the next 1 year, Iโm either going to look like a genius or a complete fool. This is my prediction based on current patterns and their timing.