At this month’s FOMC meeting, the committee chose to hold Fed interest rates steady. Once the announcement concluded, however, bond vigilantes took matters into their own hands and long-term Treasury Yields shot higher. The 30-year yield closed at its highest level since 2007, and it continues to move higher today.
Read the full Market Insight here: https://t.co/xcdjyNY8H6
Consumer Confidence from The Conference Board was released today, showing increasing signs of weakness.
The Present Situation Index fell to its lowest level in more than 5 years as consumers continue to be weighed down by high prices and concerns about further inflation.
Read the full Market Insight here: https://t.co/GnSu2QJjj9
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Volatility is heating up across the market as it faces unprecedented concentration risk and interdependence.
In this month's issue of InvesTech Research we reveal the historic extremes present today and the ominous parallels with the past, take a deep dive into the AI leverage and private credit market risks, and examine the dichotomy in this stock market’s tug-of-war.
This is not a market to turn your back on. Read the latest issue of InvesTech Research here: https://t.co/CLEFh9E7Ua
Margin debt was just released for June, shooting up to a new all-time high. With this latest jump, the 3-month rate of change for Margin Debt came in at 23%. This lofty level has only been reached two other times in history: two months before the peak of the Tech Bubble and four months ahead of the peak in 2007 that led the Great Financial Crisis.
Read the full Market Insight here: https://t.co/fykTLDVGbR
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index showed quickly rising prices as it increased from 3.8% to a 4.1% annual rate – the highest in 3 years. This is more than double the Fed’s 2% target for inflation, and this latest release revealed that price pressures are becoming more entrenched in various sectors.
Read the full Market Insight here: https://t.co/oiV4DbjONQ
The June newsletter is here a day early! The latest publication of InvesTech Research is now available for subscribers to read on https://t.co/bDdISmxQHi. In this month’s issue, we’re taking a clear look at the speculation shaping today’s markets, the Fed’s battle on inflation, and the technical indicators to track as we navigate through uncertain terrain.
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Margin Debt as a percentage of nominal GDP shot up 9% in May, reaching a new all-time high.
What does this latest Margin Debt release mean for investors?
The level of leverage (and dangerous investor psychology) today far exceeds the heights at other major market tops including prior to the 2000 Tech Bubble Washout and the 2007-09 Great Financial Crisis...
Read More: https://t.co/06muYEhiPl
Housing Starts fell -15.4% in this morning's release following an -8.5% decline in April. After remaining in a relatively narrow range for the last few years, this release signals a major break to a new 6-year low.
Read our latest Market Insight on this report: https://t.co/M5Y8GVvmNY
The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand just shot up to 6.5% year-over-year. While a large portion of these rapid increases continue to be driven by higher oil prices, impacts of broadening price pressures are being felt well beyond the energy sector.
Read our latest Market Insight on PPI and what it means for consumer prices here:
https://t.co/EDmNLQCdPr
While we are far from cryptocurrency enthusiasts, we monitor Bitcoin because it can serve as a measure of investors’ risk appetite. As a speculative favorite, it often tends to peak in advance of the traditional equity market.
Today, Bitcoin has fallen -51% from its all-time high of $124,753.
Read our Market Insight on this development: https://t.co/v5m3tOv2Xn
The team had a great time yesterday volunteering to help maintain our local Whitefish Trail system. We are honored to support Whitefish Legacy Partners in their mission to preserve outdoor spaces for everyone to enjoy.
Consumer Sentiment plummeted to a new all-time low of 44.8 in its final reading for May as both the Current Conditions and Future Expectations subindexes collapsed. This is the first time that all three indexes hit new lows at the same time since November 1953 – just one year after the inception of the Index. With nearly 75 years of historical data, it is truly unprecedented for consumer attitudes to be so dismal.
Read our latest Market Insight for more on this report: https://t.co/4TdJy0LDgX
Volatility, internal divergences, and speculation have all increased this month - and there's more action below the surface.
In this month's issue of InvesTech Research (just published!), we reveal key historical parallels, examine the critical thresholds of proprietary technical indicators, and expose the economic risks today. Most importantly, we walk through how to invest for resilience and profits in a high volatility, high risk market.
Don't miss the important signals the market is sending, read this month's issue for more. https://t.co/8Ena8CAgZv
The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand shot up in today's release for April from a 4.3% year-over-year rate in March to 6% – well above the expected 4.9% rate. This rapid increase was largely driven by higher oil prices, but impacts were widespread beyond the energy sector...
Read our latest Market Insight for more on why this report matters - and what it means for the broader economy: https://t.co/iOtRxSwNOy
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release today confirmed inflation is rearing its ugly head again as the Overall inflation rate spiked to 3.5% year-over-year in the largest 1-month increase since June 2022.
Read our latest Market Insight to stay on top of this critical release: https://t.co/QKiTCBqYt3
The stock market and the U.S. economy have had a turbulent start to the year and, despite a relief rally on the news of a ceasefire with Iran, leading indicators question whether smooth sailing is on the horizon…
Don't risk getting caught off guard by the market. To read our latest issue of InvesTech Research, request a free sample here: https://t.co/8Ena8CAgZv
Consumer Sentiment from the University of Michigan plummeted to a record low in this morning's release.
That means consumers currently feel worse about their personal financial situation than at any point since 1951- including the depths of the Great Financial Crisis. A few other notable events when consumer felt better than they do today are the entirety of the Vietnam war, Black Monday, and when inflation was nearly 15% in the 1980s.
Read our latest Market Insight for more on this report and what it could mean going forward: https://t.co/9CA6Y9cAS9