InvestDEFY

Enhancing crypto derivative traders performance through Data Science

Try our free beta BTC and ETH analytics for Spot, Options, Perps and Futures.

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1/ #InvestDEFY is disrupting crypto derivatives intelligence.

#CryptoDerivatives are ~80% of all market volume and yet are dramatically underserved with proprietary intelligence. For an edge, you need insights that go beyond typical exchange data.

A thread for #CryptoTwitter:👇

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More information: learn more about our offering in the crypto derivatives space
at https://t.co/Q3mgwR2RPN

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Please ensure that any options strategies align with your risk tolerance and investment objectives. Consult with a financial advisor before engaging in options trading.
**** This is not investment advice****

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- Long-biased structures continue to offer attractive reward-to-risk within a defined risk framework.

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InvestDEFY – Actionable Insights for Crypto Derivatives – https://t.co/LO2PZOvjd7

BTC Reggie Signal & Market Update

As of April 15, 2025 – 8:30 AM ET

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📌 Execution Notes

- The Reggie signal from April 7 has been validated with a +12.5% spot rally, and we remain inside the model’s actionable window.
- Technical and macro drivers (tariffs, dollar softness, volatility contraction) are supporting flows into crypto.

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Note: Premiums are approximate and based on current market conditions. Actual prices may vary.

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2. Put Credit Spread

Structure: Sell $78,000 Put / Buy $75,000 Put
Expiration: April 18, 2025
Premium Received: ~$1,200
Max Loss: $1,800
Breakeven: $76,800
Greeks:
~ Delta: ~0.25
~ Theta: +$100/day
~ Vega: -0.05

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⚙️ Updated Option Structures

1. Bull Call Spread

Structure: Buy $80,000 Call / Sell $85,000 Call
Expiration: April 18, 2025
Premium Paid: ~$2,500
Max Profit: $2,500 (if BTC > $85K at expiry)
Breakeven: $82,500
Greeks:
~ Delta: ~0.60
~ Theta: -$150/day
~ Vega: +0.10

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- The Reggie signal window remains open through April 19.
- Bias: Maintain long exposure with tightened stops below $82.5K.

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🧭 Directional Bias: Maintained Bullish with Caution

- The earlier bullish tilt remains valid and now has confirmation through:
~ Price strength following the signal
~ Sustained upside without a full retrace

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✅ This move aligns strongly with the model’s signal pattern, suggesting the Reggie-predicted absolute move is well underway.

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The move has:

~ Reclaimed the March 29 breakdown zone (~$82K)
~ Edged through short-term resistance (~$84K)
~ Now testing upper range near March highs

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📈 Spot Market Reaction Since Signal

- At signal trigger (April 7), BTC was trading near $76,000.
- Since then, price has steadily climbed — now printing $85,564, a 12.5% increase over 8 days.

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- Reggie signals indicate potential for significant absolute price moves over the following 7–12 days, without specifying direction.
- As of April 15, we are Day 8 into the signal window.

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🧠 Model Context: Reggie Signal Recap

🧠 Reggie Signal Recap

- On April 7, BTC triggered a 5-count Reggie 24h Cumulative Signal, surpassing the institutional action threshold of 4.

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• Watch for Reggie to escalate above 8–10, which historically confirms trend follow-through

**** This is not investment advice****

More information: learn more about our offering in the crypto derivatives space at https://t.co/Q3mgwR2k0f

[InvestDEFY @InvestDEFY]

InvestDEFY – Actionable Insights for Crypto Derivatives – https://t.co/LO2PZOuLnz

BTC Reggie Signal and Chart Observation

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• The rebound from ~$75K lows is a classic Reggie signal reversal structure

Exposure:

• If going long, best entry zone is on minor pullbacks ($77K–78K)
• Stop below local low ($75K)
• Target 1: $82K, Target 2: $85K–87K