The current sentiment landscape is setting up a unique stock market dynamic, curious to hear what you guys think as well:
According to the latest AAII data, both bullish and bearish sentiment levels are above historical averages, while neutral sentiment is meaningfully lower. Investors are polarized. You're either convinced we go higher, or you're waiting for the crash.
At the same time, CNN’s Fear & Greed Index is flashing 76, firmly in Extreme Greed territory. But this isn’t the kind of greed where people are taking profits. It’s the kind where they want more.
It means the bulls (who are already in) aren’t looking to sell. There’s low distribution pressure because greed still dominates. They're holding, not cashing out.
Meanwhile, the above-average bearish camp likely isn’t fully positioned. That’s sidelined cash, hesitant to enter, waiting for confirmation or a meaningful dip.
So what does this mean?
We’re in a setup where:
- Bulls aren’t selling
- Bears are waiting to buy
- Neutral money is largely absent
This creates a reflexive dynamic where every dip gets bought, but rallies stall because there's limited fresh fuel at the top. A range-bound market, with aggressive dip support.
Until that cash on the sidelines is either forced in or proven right, this market might just grind sideways with a bias to absorb weakness quickly.
This is how I am treating this recent sentiment data, what do you guys feel?
Great to see $CAKE up premarket as I believe the Chipotle numbers further revealed how strong Cheesecake Factory is.
Macro trends clearly effecting these types of business models.
Cheesecake has a line of strong growth, pays a dividend, and has a 15.5 P/E.
Meanwhile Chipotle has a 35 P/E with incredibly limited upside (and recent decline of sales).
🍰🍰🍰
More momentus news for $AMD stock. What I find really insightful is this quote:
"Jay Gambetta, the IBM vice president running the firm's quantum efforts, said the work showed that IBM's algorithm not only works in the real world, but can operate on a readily available AMD chip that is not "ridiculously expensive.""
Yes, the idea of AMD having their foot in the door for the quantum developments is intriguing. But, as many have identified, the price point as to which AMD is bringing value to the compute industry is HUGE.
While $NVDA has had a superior product, and priced it as such, it has given AMD a space to grow into.
Major congratulations to all $AMD holders and believers.
Was range bound for weeks. Many didn't see how they could enter the competition against Nvidia.
THE CBOE IS COMING OUT WITH A “MAGNIFICENT-10 INDEX.”
The index is a thematic, equal-weighted benchmark designed to measure the price return of 10 large-cap stocks.
The included companies are:
$NVDA
$MSFT
$TSLA
$AAPL
$GOOGL
$META
$AMZN
$PLTR
$AVGO
$AMD
How may $NVDA investing $100B in OpenAi impact $AMD?
Such a heavy commitment to the hyper scalers competitors could have profound impact on the business and relationship conversations.
This would result in the big purchasers having an even stronger desire for AMD to be even more competitive with NVDA, strengthening AMDs relationships and partnerships.
$ORCL reported $455B in RPOs.
Even if half gets fulfilled, that’s $228B.
If $AMD captures 5% via its “significant cloud contract,” that’s +$12B in data center revenue.
For context, $AMDs L12M data center revenue was $14B.
GREEN roads ahead.
Reminiscing of this screenshot from April 9th 🥹
Crazy how even after a 25% pop it was still a screaming buy. Was such a great time to be buying into the volatility.
Will we be looking back at $AMD prices today and still think it was a screaming buy, I think so.
@elneneloco813 @therealzarie Sure! That's why he still has 80% in.
Won't find me judging someone on how they handle their investing, especially if they are making money.
Because Zarie is not the stock, he is up even if AMD is down the last year. Also he isn't selling completely out, just a bit so he can redeploy if there is a pull back, which is common when a stock goes on a tear like it has so far.
Just to be clear I have not sold any of mine, just expressing that people can do things differently and it still works out.
@elneneloco813 @therealzarie His price average is $99. I would say that's a pretty good return and fair enough to take some off the board. Even with taking profits he still has more value in the stock then when he started buying cause of the appreciation.