Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance

Bilal Hasanjee leads the investment strategy and portfolios construction functions for - an independent investment strategy and research firm.

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

One payrolls print cut October hike odds from 70%+ to roughly 15-19%. Nasdaq: record.

The 10-year yield still sits near 5.27%, after touching 5.34% Thursday, its highest since 2002.

Front end: a softer Fed. Long end: not buying it.

#FederalReserve #FixedIncome #Macroeconomics

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

Core PCE 3.0% vs 3.3% expected. ADP +90k vs ~70k. Fed Oct hike odds: ~66% Monday to 34.9% today.
But real spending +0.6% and the 10-yr is still 5.25%.
The hike didn't vanish. It moved toward December.
Analysis + charts: https://t.co/SOUWH1LROq

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

The S&P is near a record. Most of the stocks in it are not.

Brent +15% since early Sept, diesel ~$6.50, Fed hike odds ~2-in-3 for Oct 28.

Our view: oil isn't the swing factor here — this week's labor data is.

Full breakdown: https://t.co/Lf8A0nlhWz

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

🏦 Central Bank Triple Header:

* US: CPI 2.7% (below 3.1% est), risk-on rally
* ECB: Holds at 2%, growth revised higher
* BoE: Cuts 25bps in tight 5-4 vote, hawkish tone US preferred over Europe for now.

Read full analysis here: https://t.co/ItcGma3uMM
#investing #markets

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

𝐏𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐥𝐥’𝐬 𝐉𝐚𝐜𝐤𝐬𝐨𝐧 𝐇𝐨𝐥𝐞 𝐒𝐩𝐞𝐞𝐜𝐡: 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐓𝐡𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐬 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐑𝐞𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬

Markets get a risk-on rally post Powell's dovish tone.
Read full analysis here:
https://t.co/IxtSqi7y5C
#FederalReserve #InvestmentStrategy #Stocks #Bonds #Investing

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

Check out the latest article in my newsletter: Trade Breakthrough Powers Tech Rally: Markets Hit Records as Fed Decision Looms and Corporate Earnings Impress https://t.co/pg3LLR7lLV via @LinkedIn

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

🚀 𝐆𝐎𝐎𝐆𝐋 𝐐2-25 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬: 𝐀𝐈 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐫𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐏𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐁𝐫𝐨𝐚𝐝-𝐁𝐚𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐭𝐡

📊 Revenue +14% to $96.4B, EPS +22% to $2.31 (both beat)
🤖 AI Overviews: 2B+ users

Read deeper analysis here: https://t.co/wxbsa54qmA

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

Markets Update: Tariff Tensions Spike Volatility 📉
S&P 500 fell 3.1% as trade uncertainty surged. VIX jumped to 23.5 ⚠️

𝐑𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐟𝐮𝐥𝐥 𝐚𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐥𝐞 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞: https://t.co/2RPCYsefuo

International divergence:

🇪🇺 DAX +3.8% on fiscal stimulus
🇨🇳 Hang Seng +5.9%

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

📊 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐢𝐧 𝐍𝐞𝐚𝐫-𝐂𝐞𝐫𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧 𝐑𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐂𝐮𝐭 𝐛𝐲 𝐒𝐞𝐩𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟒: • As of Aug 15, markets are pricing in a 99.1% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by Sep 18. https://t.co/WrgSsmcKyJ

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

🔑 𝗞𝗲𝘆 𝗽𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘀:

Retail Sales: +1% in July (highest since Jan 2023)
Jobless Claims: Down to 227,000 (lowest since early July)
10 out of 13 retail categories saw increases
Car sales rebounded strongly after June's cyberattack

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

US Economy Shows Resilience: Retail Sales Surge, Jobless Claims Drop 📊
Surprising economic data just released! What does it mean for markets and your portfolio?

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

Global insights from Powell, Lagarde & Campos Neto at ECB Forum:

Post-pandemic economy
Inflation trends
Labor markets
Cybersecurity focus
Emerging markets

Navigate economic uncertainties:
https://t.co/I9GUdbQqvh
#CentralBanking #EconomicPolicy

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

Canadian Bond Yields Surge - What This Means for Canadians and their mortgage rates?
📈 5-year GoC bond yield breaks 3.60%, a two-week high. Here's what you need to know:
https://t.co/QJS3eg0E7s

#Canada #mortgage #economy #investing

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

📊 Market Insights: Powell’s recent testimony before the Senate has sparked discussions about monetary policy’s future direction.
#interestrates #bonds #stocks #MonetaryPolicy #inflation
Here’s a concise overview:
https://t.co/0kUMIPAWKf

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

AI: Rewriting the Rules of Global Markets
📊 New analysis reveals AI's unprecedented impact on financial markets.
- AI stocks' market caps surged 6.5x more than non-AI firms in 2024
Read more here:
https://t.co/nN0SMWk3na

#ArtificialIntelligence #AIStocks

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

📉 US inflation continues to cool, with the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showing the slowest pace since 2021. This data further strengthens the case for a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut.

Stay informed by reading more here:
https://t.co/5JFKlPUtOc

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

Market leaders, such as the “Magnificent Seven” stocks, grab headlines. Do laggards have more influence on market returns? Two Vanguard experts find that the answer depends on the relative performance of large- and small-caps: https://t.co/DMUoc7dFol

#VanguardInsights

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

Bitcoin has surpassed $60,000, due to ETFs, Wall Street's credibility and leveraged bets by traders!
#BitcoinETF #BitcoinHalving
https://t.co/Vq8wMNMJ7W

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

Expectations shift as Federal Reserve members' comments suggest rate cuts might happen later than anticipated. June or July meetings could be pivotal. #MarketTrends #InterestRatePolicy #FedWatch

[Bilal Hasanjee, CFA® MBA, MSc Finance @InvestmentProf]

Recent spike in consumer prices makes Federal Reserve members more cautious about immediate rate cuts. Chairman Jerome Powell hints at an unlikely March announcement. #PolicyRates #EconomicIndicators #FedMeeting