Investor Cornerstone+ is inspired by the teachings of Jesus Christ and God's word, with its relevance and applicability to investing principles and strategies.
$OPEN is trying to break out as a #Meme stock. The thesis of following in $CVNA footsteps has been broadly known, so what's different now:
https://t.co/3dD23uN9XX
Key questions investors should be asking:
1) What are OPEN's current fundamentals telling us?
2) How does OPEN need to scale the business?
3) How critical is management to the bull thesis?
4) How can traders win with options?
Key takeaways:
1) OPEN has not successfully penetrated the U.S. existing home sales market and the company’s fundamentals are weak – OPEN is not close to being a CVNA.
2) Management is not committed to the business model and there is no foundational leadership.
3) Short-term speculators are trying to manipulate the stock price to maximize aggressive quick gains – the battle of short/long traders is not clear yet on who will win.
$BLSH is the newest #Crypto investment to hit the #StockMarket. Despite the name, I'm highly bearish on this one. Here's a blog addressing some key questions related to:
1) Bullish fundamentals
2) Peer performance
3) Valuation
4) Wallstreet sentiment
https://t.co/jMZfxV9J1h
$COIN has dropped around 19% since last week's earnings report. Post-earnings noise has included analyst downgrades, debt raise, comparison's against $HOOD, among others.
What to Make of It?
https://t.co/P7DQK6ish5
I've started a conviction investment series on $PLTR.
The most current blog update has been posted:
https://t.co/OERsYppGQD
The gist of this series is based on the dichotomy of $PLTR as an investment consideration. The company fundamentally is hitting on all cylinders, but from a valuation perspective is arguably the most overvalued company in the #StockMarket.
I recognize that long-term investors who bought in sub-$10 or other low levels may wish to simply hold through the volatility. But for investors purchasing north of $100, risk to the downside is increasing each trek higher.
$TSLA clearly is in the crosshairs with earnings and the spotlight on EVs, robotaxis, xAI Grok, and robotics. However, the company is sitting on $31 billion net cash and the its OCF margin sits at 17%.
I wouldn't be a buyer over $300, but the company is not in any dire situation despite the massive criticism.
$NFLX drops 5% post-earnings. This is healthy for long-term investors as the stock has been overvalued and even with the drop, continues to remain so.
The primary issue with $NFLX is the need for cash flow normalcy and the premium the #StockMarket has pushed it to. Irrespective of results, $NFLX trading north of 50 times OCF/Share is likely going to continue to lead to post-earnings drops.
#WallStreet game may continue to trade in a run-up to earnings fashion only sell afterward. This pattern of short-term trading should be a focal point for #RetailInvestors.
$MP has had a slue of positive press the past week or so. The stock price is 🔥. Looking at #mining peers and #RetailInvestors should be thinking about valuation for $MP: https://t.co/KpkDlhuT27.
In a highly optimistic scenario, $MP could still afford double-digit returns over the mid-term. In a less optimistic scenario, doubling of the stock price the past month could end up as #DeadMoney.
The 🐘in the room though is the shift in #StockMarket volatility post-2020. The less volatile and more bull/bear market cycle driven pattern has been busted for a substantially more volatile trading pattern the past five years, exacerbated by #Meme stocks and the next ♨️thing.
Understanding valuation is key and being more meticulous on timing and execution for #LongTerm investors is what will make the difference.
#BigCorporateAmerica continues to remain highly overvalued which is a problem for the #StockMarket and its efficiency. The long-term rotation is already taking place away from #BigTech and other legacy-based leaders, long-term ramifications need to be considered by the #RetailInvestor.
$CRCL is off to a start stemming from the $PLTR effect. Today's #StockMarket overvaluation is a clear indication of the frenzy to find the next big thing...immediately. It's time to get contrarian for the next dip.
The #StockMarket is overvalued across the board like nearly all asset classes. It's important for #RetailInvestors to have some perspective on this as there's some #WallStreet pumping occurring for the next bull market cycle.
$NFLX is a great example of substantial overvaluation as the company currently trades three times cash flow multiples versus #BigTech peers $GOOG $AMZN $AAPL $META $MSFT. $NFLX even trades at a cash flow multiple premium to $NVDA.
$NFLX revenue and operating cash flow growth expectations over the mid-term are in-line with most #BigTech peers and below others, and well below $NVDA projections so there's no justification on the current premium; aside from the current overvaluation cycle.
The #WallStreet game is afoot, and while it's very challenging as the market always moves in a herd mentality over the short-term, longer-term performance will inevitably reduce current #StockMarket inefficiencies.
$NFLX is at risk of substantial downside and/or a 'dead-money' scenario over the mid-term; #RetailInvestors beware.
$FDX recently posted earnings and while #RetailInvestors may be immediately focused on #Tariffs, there are underlying issues that have been ongoing the past decade: https://t.co/erb5VHFmR4.
When it comes to major integrated freight and logistics peers like $UPS, #RetailInvestors need to consider the changing competitive environment and for long-term investors, companies like $FDX and $UPS may not be the best options at current prices.
Since $CRCL #IPO it has been interesting observing the pattern of trading with $COIN. $CRCL has been the bigger winner of this 13-day period, but $COIN is arguably the better mid-term investment: https://t.co/oBWFX2zg7Y.
Key concerns for $CRCL include unknown digital currency competition, lack of clarity of relative performance of USDC revenue versus COIN, slowing #USDC in circulation, and potentially lower interest rate environment impacting reserve income revenue.
$PLTR hits a new all-time high. #Momentum investing continues to be the culprit driving stock price performance: https://t.co/N69sgxvSMi.
#RetailInvestors need to consider how comfortable they are holding $PLTR at a $333 billion enterprise value which equates to 25 times 2029 $13 billion revenue projections. #RetailInvestors expecting $PLTR to become a trillion-dollar company should also consider that every #BigTech peer generates more cash flow (most exponentially more) than the 2029 $PLTR revenue projection.
$PLTR is arguably the most overvalued stock across U.S. exchanges.
Working on the next $PLTR blog series update - Deconstructing Valuation: Long-Term Versus Momentum.
It's going to assess 50 or so of the top #Technology software application/infrastructure peers to see just how overvalued $PLTR is.
The only argument #RetailInvestors bullish at these levels have is higher revenue growth. Whether macro or earnings driven, a crash for $PLTR is coming.
$CRCL premium to $COIN and inverse trading today sets a clear indication of market schizophrenia. Over 60% of $CRCL revenue is distributed/transacted to $COIN for #USDC. $CRCL business model is dependent upon growth in #DigitalCurrency, which represents 98% of revenue, versus $COIN 60% exposure to trading revenue. While there is logic in $CRCL growing #DigitalCurrency on platform faster than $COIN, it remains to be seen how this interplay will evolve over time.
With war just beginning in Middle East and instability within the U.S., #RetailInvestors should be highly cautious with $CRCL right now.
$CHYM will be going public this week. It's got me thinking about the divide between innovators in #Crypto like $COIN $CRCL versus companies like $CHYM $SOFI and others that rather look to fit within the legacy financial services sector financial stack:
https://t.co/UHwwhnP0dI
$CRCL has started of on 🔥. Should #RetailInvestors jump in:
https://t.co/IbpBpFbbxd
There are a few important things to understand based on the $CRCL business model and their arrangements with $COIN. Patience is increasingly becoming important in this #StockMarket.
I'm starting a series on $PLTR for #RetailInvestors:
https://t.co/v1UdG7TuQX
$PLTR has become a highly popular stock and for long-term investors interested in initiating a position or accumulating further into an existing position, there's a lot to unpack with where the #StockMarket is today.