Parth Soni

24 & compounding | 5+ years in Indian & US equity markets | Obsessed with markets, business & AI | Badminton court, swimming pool & barbell are my reset

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

🧵 India's defence industry is having a once-in-a-generation moment.

From 2nd-largest arms importer → emerging arms exporter.

Here's the full data breakdown: budgets, companies, production, exports & FY2030 forecast.

#IndiaDefence #Aatmanirbhar #HAL #DefenceStocks

[Indian Tech & Infra @IndianTechGuide]

🚨 The best planned city in India, Chandigarh.

(📹-blessedarch)

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

@JaipurDialogues @grok this case is from which state?

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

@gurjota LTCG & STCG

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

@kunalb11 @hvgoenka The most impressive part isn’t the valuation or fundraising.
It’s turning a mundane habit—paying credit card bills—into a product millions actually care about. That’s much harder than it looks.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

WHENEVER AN IPO STARTS BREAKING RECORDS FOR RETAIL DEMAND BEFORE IT EVEN STARTS TRADING, INVESTORS SHOULD PAY ATTENTION.

NOT BECAUSE IT’S NECESSARILY A BAD INVESTMENT.

BUT BECAUSE EXTREME DEMAND OFTEN TELLS YOU MORE ABOUT SENTIMENT THAN VALUE.

SPACEX MAY GO ON TO BECOME ONE OF THE GREATEST COMPANIES EVER BUILT.

THAT DOESN’T AUTOMATICALLY MAKE ANY PRICE A GOOD PRICE.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

IF TRUE, THE MOST REMARKABLE PART OF THIS STORY ISN’T THE DRONE ATTACK.

IT’S THE FACT THAT AN UNMANNED SEA DRONE COMPLETED A REAL-WORLD COMBAT RESCUE.

THAT WOULD BE A GLIMPSE OF WHAT FUTURE WARFARE LOOKS LIKE: DRONES FINDING TARGETS, DRONES DEFENDING SHIPS, AND NOW DRONES RESCUING PEOPLE.

THE TECHNOLOGY IS STARTING TO MOVE FROM ASSISTING HUMANS TO REPLACING THEM IN SOME OF THE MOST DANGEROUS MISSIONS.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

@krassenstein IF THE GOVERNMENT HAS BEEN SECRETLY SWIMMING IN MILLIONS OF BARRELS OF OIL, THEN SOMEONE FORGOT TO TELL MY GAS STATION.

THE PRICE AT THE PUMP STILL SEEMS TO THINK WE’RE IN A SUPPLY CRUNCH. 😭

AS ALWAYS, THE CONSPIRACY ISN’T THE HARD PART. EXPLAINING THE ECONOMICS IS.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

WTF INDEED.

TO BE FAIR, TRUMP DIDN’T SAY THE U.S. WAS LITERALLY “STEALING IRANIAN OIL.”

HE CLAIMED THE U.S. MILITARY HAD BEEN SECRETLY ESCORTING OIL TANKERS THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ AND THAT “MILLIONS OF BARRELS” WERE MOVING EACH NIGHT, ADDING THAT IRAN “JUST FIGURED IT OUT.” (Reuters)

IF TRUE, THE BIG STORY ISN’T THE OIL. IT’S THAT A U.S. PRESIDENT PUBLICLY DISCLOSED A COVERT OPERATION THAT HE SAID WAS STILL WORKING.

THAT’S THE PART THAT MAKES PEOPLE GO: “WAIT… YOU ANNOUNCED THIS WHY?” 🤔

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

PEOPLE DON’T BECOME ANGRY BECAUSE THEY READ ABOUT A CRIME ON SOCIAL MEDIA.

THEY BECOME ANGRY BECAUSE THEY BELIEVE A SERIOUS CRIME OCCURRED AND THAT AUTHORITIES FAILED TO PREVENT IT OR RESPOND ADEQUATELY.

SOCIAL MEDIA MAY AMPLIFY THE REACTION, BUT THE UNDERLYING ISSUE IS PUBLIC SAFETY, TRUST IN INSTITUTIONS, AND WHETHER JUSTICE IS BEING DONE.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

THIS IS THE MOST MISUNDERSTOOD AI OPPORTUNITY.

EVERYONE WANTS TO BUILD THE NEXT OPENAI.

VERY FEW PEOPLE ARE HELPING THE MILLIONS OF SMALL AND MID-SIZED BUSINESSES FIGURE OUT HOW TO ACTUALLY USE AI.

THE BIG MONEY IN THE NEXT DECADE MAY NOT COME FROM BUILDING MODELS. IT MAY COME FROM IMPLEMENTING THEM.

JUST LIKE THE INTERNET CREATED WEB DEVELOPERS, AI WILL CREATE AN ENTIRE GENERATION OF “AI INTEGRATORS” WHO HELP BUSINESSES BECOME MORE PRODUCTIVE.

THAT MARKET IS MUCH BIGGER THAN MOST PEOPLE REALIZE.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

$1.2 TRILLION DIDN’T DISAPPEAR BECAUSE OF EARNINGS.

IT DISAPPEARED BECAUSE GEOPOLITICS SUDDENLY MATTERED AGAIN.

WHEN THE U.S. PRESIDENT TALKS ABOUT HITTING IRAN “VERY HARD,” MARKETS IMMEDIATELY START PRICING IN HIGHER OIL PRICES, STICKIER INFLATION, MORE UNCERTAINTY, AND FEWER RATE CUTS. (https://t.co/9BNZaG9TdF)

THE LESSON IS SIMPLE: BULL MARKETS ARE BUILT ON EARNINGS. CORRECTIONS ARE OFTEN TRIGGERED BY THINGS NOBODY CAN MODEL IN A SPREADSHEET.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

THE MOST IMPORTANT PART OF THIS STORY ISN’T THAT SUN PHARMA IS BUYING ORGANON.

IT’S THAT INDIAN BANKS ARE FINALLY HELPING FINANCE GLOBAL ACQUISITIONS.

FOR DECADES, INDIAN COMPANIES COULD BUILD GLOBAL CHAMPIONS, BUT THEY HAD TO RELY ON FOREIGN CAPITAL TO DO IT. THAT’S A STRATEGIC DISADVANTAGE.

WHEN YOUR OWN BANKING SYSTEM CAN FUND YOUR COMPANIES’ GLOBAL AMBITIONS, YOU DON’T JUST EXPORT PRODUCTS. YOU EXPORT CAPITAL, INFLUENCE, AND CORPORATE CONTROL.

THAT’S A MUCH BIGGER SHIFT THAN ONE DEAL.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

THIS IS A GOOD REMINDER THAT PAPER LOSSES CUT BOTH WAYS.

PEOPLE LOVE TALKING ABOUT POLITICIANS MAKING MILLIONS WHEN STOCKS GO UP.

BUT A 22% DROP ON A $10M POSITION DOESN’T CARE WHO OWNS IT.

THE BIGGER STORY ISN’T PELOSI. IT’S HOW QUICKLY AI-RELATED STOCKS ARE REPRICING WHEN EXPECTATIONS GET TOO FAR AHEAD OF REALITY.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

THE MOST INTERESTING PART ISN’T THE HYDROGEN TANKS.

IT’S BMW REFUSING TO BET THE COMPANY ON A SINGLE FUTURE.

WHILE MUCH OF THE INDUSTRY HAS GONE ALL-IN ON BATTERIES, BMW IS BUILDING OPTIONALITY. IF HYDROGEN INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVES, THEY’RE READY. IF IT DOESN’T, THEY STILL HAVE EVs.

IN DISRUPTIVE INDUSTRIES, FLEXIBILITY IS OFTEN MORE VALUABLE THAN CERTAINTY.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

IF THIS PROJECT BECOMES REAL, IT’S ABOUT MUCH MORE THAN JUST A PIPELINE.

ENERGY SECURITY IS NATIONAL SECURITY.

THE COUNTRIES THAT CONTROL THEIR ENERGY SUPPLY CHAINS HAVE A MASSIVE STRATEGIC ADVANTAGE, ESPECIALLY IN A WORLD WHERE GEOPOLITICAL RISKS CAN DISRUPT TRADE OVERNIGHT.

THE BIG QUESTION ISN’T WHETHER INDIA NEEDS IT. IT’S WHETHER A 2,000 KM UNDERSEA PIPELINE CAN BE BUILT ECONOMICALLY AND SECURELY AT SCALE.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

ONE OF THE MOST UNDERAPPRECIATED SUCCESS STORIES IN INDIA IS THE TYRE INDUSTRY.

WHILE WE OFTEN TALK ABOUT IT, PHARMA, OR STARTUPS, INDIAN TYRE COMPANIES HAVE QUIETLY BUILT GLOBALLY COMPETITIVE BRANDS, TECHNOLOGY, AND MANUFACTURING SCALE.

A REMINDER THAT WORLD-CLASS COMPANIES AREN’T ALWAYS BUILT IN GLAMOROUS INDUSTRIES.

[Harsh Goenka @hvgoenka]

3 Indian tyre brands in the world’s Top 10 strongest tyre brands of 2026! Delighted to see CEAT at #4.

I struggle to think of another manufacturing category where Indian brands hold such a dominant position on the world stage. A proud moment for Indian industry.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

@KobeissiLetter THE MARKET HAS A FUNNY WAY OF HUMBLING EVERYONE.

A FEW DAYS AGO, INVESTORS WERE DEBATING HOW MUCH HIGHER STOCKS COULD GO.

NOW, $3 TRILLION IN MARKET CAP HAS VANISHED IN DAYS.

THE BIGGEST RISK ISN’T BAD NEWS. IT’S WHEN VALUATIONS LEAVE NO ROOM FOR DISAPPOINTMENT.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

THE BIGGEST SIMILARITY TO THE 1970S ISN’T INFLATION ITSELF — IT’S THE BELIEF THAT INFLATION IS ALREADY DEFEATED.

PERSISTENT INFLATION, HIGH BORROWING COSTS, AND DECLINING PURCHASING POWER CREATE A DIFFICULT ENVIRONMENT FOR HOUSEHOLDS EVEN WHEN HEADLINE ECONOMIC DATA LOOKS STRONG.

HISTORY NEVER REPEATS EXACTLY, BUT IT OFTEN RHYMES. THE KEY QUESTION IS WHETHER PRODUCTIVITY AND TECHNOLOGY CAN OUTRUN INFLATION FASTER THAN INFLATION ERODES LIVING STANDARDS.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

The uncomfortable question isn’t whether the stock market is expensive.

It’s whether markets are pricing future economic growth, or simply the growing concentration of wealth in financial assets.

When market cap grows 5x faster than the economy for nearly two decades, either corporate profits are entering a golden age… or asset prices are pulling future returns forward.

History suggests it can be a bit of both.

[Parth Soni @InvestorSoni]

If these claims are even partially true, the biggest disruption from AI may not be replacing workers — it may be exposing decades of accumulated technical debt.

Every industry built on information asymmetry, manual review, compliance, security audits, or knowledge work should be paying attention.

The market reaction says something important: investors are no longer asking whether AI works. They’re asking which business models still work if AI gets dramatically better.