Jeff

Former Amateur Baseball Scout; Christian; Austro-Libertarian; Jeffersonian; Latin Enthusiast; Classicist; Stoic

[Mel @Villgecrazylady]

On June 5th Israel attacked the home of world famous Lebanese sea turtle conservationist Mona Khalil. Mona was hospitalized with burns and injuries to over 70% of her body.

Yesterday, June 19th, Mona died from her injuries.

This wasn’t an accident. They didn’t make a mistake. Mona’s home was also where she ran her sea turtle conservatory- which she aptly named the Orange House Project- because, after all, her house was painted top to bottom in a deep, bright orange, the color of a late summer sunset.

The Orange House Project has been in operation for almost 30 years. You can find it on Facebook and Google Maps, along with dozens of reviews from visitors over the years.

So no, it wasn’t an accident or a mistake. Israel knew exactly what it was doing when it bombed the Orange House Project on June 5th.

It’s exactly what they’ve been doing since the war with Iran started: ethnically cleansing all of Southern Lebanon so they can steal the land and occupy it for themselves.

[Libertarian Mama 🔔 @LibertarianMama]

@RoKhanna The problem is spending, printing, and borrowing. It’s not that you don’t take enough.

[Glenn Greenwald @ggreenwald]

Adam Schiff is angry that Trump "capitulated" to Iran and tons of neocons and Israel Firsters are so shocked in response: "Oh wow, I can't believe I agree with Schiff."

The Democratic Party is not anti-war, nor anti-Israel, nor "soft on Iran." Those are idiot partisan narratives fed to you by Fox News and its ilk.

The Dem Party is filled with AIPAC-funded candidates and those who revere Israel above all. The Senate Dem leader Chuck Schumer is both of those things and favors war with Iran. Schiff is the same. Of course Schiff's views align with Israel's and he wants more war with Iran every bit as much as Ben Shapiro and Mike Huckabee.

Endless wars, financing Israel, and regime-change wars in the Middle East have been a fully bipartisan passion for decades.

[Jeff @Ioffridus]

@AGretz To an extent, but he walked a lot of batters in AAA too.

[Cenk Uygur @cenkuygur]

Now that they got Massie, Trump and the Epstein Class are turning all their attention to @RoKhanna. The Israelis can't stand to have even one legislator who represents Americans in Congress. They want complete control. Imagine if Americans found out what Israel did with Epstein.

[Peter Schiff @PeterSchiff]

When people blame resurgent inflation on tariffs or the war, they ignore the far bigger culprit: Trump’s Big, Beautiful Bill. Of all the damage Trump and Republicans have done to fuel inflation, nothing comes close to that ugly bill. That’s why @RepThomasMassie voted against it.

[Willem Middelkoop @wmiddelkoop]

Another great quote

[Jeff @Ioffridus]

@WanjiruNjoya The Republicans are just as evil.

[Ann Coulter @AnnCoulter]

This term, House Republicans voted four times for the Iran War, passed multiple foreign aid bills totalling $50 billion, and voted to fund the Democrats' "Disinformation" office.

Voting 77% with Republicans THIS term is the pro-American position. He's MAGA, you're Make Other Countries, Raytheon, Boeing, Dead School Girls and Censorship Great Again.

[Liam McCollum @MLiamMcCollum]

Before my generation even cared about Donald Trump politically, we were watching Thomas Massie and Ron Paul clips on YouTube, like this one from 2015, where Thomas Massie voted to force a debate on Obama sending troops to Iraq and Syria

The reality is that they hate Massie because he has a longer track record of being more consistent and more America First than they are

This also explains the generational divide on Massie, because younger generations have been able to track these votes with new media while everyone else was waiting to hear what Sean Hannity had to say about him

[Carrie Prejean Boller @CarriePrejean1]

I STAND WITH MASSIE.
@MassieforKY
@RepThomasMassie

America for Americans only.

[Ann Coulter @AnnCoulter]

Is there anyone with a room temperature I.Q. opposing Massie?

Heritage Foundation Scorecard: Massie gets a 96% score, compared to the average Republican score of 89%.

[Jeff @Ioffridus]

@jeffreytucker @NSKinsella That just makes me sad. I visited daily until you departed. Afterwards my visits became less frequent. I didn't realize how much turmoil there was behind the scenes.

[TenthAmendmentCenter @TenthAmendment]

Yeah, the founders set up a system where they told us over and over that a single person would never have the power to decide the question of or or peace, but

they just put a big loophole in there so that one person could decide that question for 60 days

then pause it and then decide that question again for another 60 days,

then pause it and resume again

being a single person deciding war forever.

Only retards, red coats, and traitors believe this is the system under the constitution

[An0maly @LegendaryEnergy]

Elon pledged to donate to Thomas Massie last year.

This year, Axios is reporting that he hasn’t lifted a finger to help Massie despite donating to other GOP campaigns.

[Justin Amash @justinamash]

It’s pretty simple:

If your member of Congress votes to extend FISA 702 without a warrant requirement, then vote that person out.

That member of Congress doesn’t take their oath to uphold the Constitution seriously, doesn’t care about you, and is unfit to serve.

[Jeff @Ioffridus]

@WeTheBrandon They already deserve to lose in Novrmber. If they do this, there should be treason trials.

[Peter Girnus 🦅 @gothburz]

I have three monitors on my desk. The left one shows the order book. The middle one shows Truth Social. The right one shows the investigation queue.

On April 21st, the left screen moved first.

I am a Senior Surveillance Analyst at a commodities exchange. I have held this position for nineteen years. My job is to monitor trading activity for suspicious patterns and generate compliance reports. I am employee of the quarter. I have a mug.

At 19:54 GMT on April 21st, someone placed 4,260 sell orders on Brent crude futures. They did this during post-settlement. The window after the market closes when daily volume is typically in the dozens. Sometimes single digits. Sometimes I watch the screen and nothing happens for forty minutes and I think about whether my daughter is happy.

On April 21st, someone placed $430 million in directional bets in 120 seconds during that window. One hundred and twenty seconds. I timed it on my watch because the system clock rounds to the nearest minute and I have found, in nineteen years, that precision matters to no one but me.

At 20:10 GMT, the President posted on Truth Social that he was extending the Iran ceasefire.

Brent dropped from $100.91 to $96.83.

I flagged the trade. I flag a lot of trades. I want to tell you what happens to my flags.

My flags go into a system called TRACE. Trade Review and Compliance Evaluation. I did not name it. The system generates a report. The report goes to a committee. The committee has a name I am not allowed to share but I can tell you it meets quarterly and the conference room has a credenza with bottled water that is sparkling because someone once put still water in the room and a managing director sent an email about it that was longer than most of my surveillance reports.

The committee reviews my flags. The committee has reviewed all of my flags. Here is the complete record of actions taken on my flags in 2026:

Reviewed.

That's it. "Reviewed" is a status. In compliance, a status is the absence of an action that has been given a name so it looks like one.

Let me show you my flags.

March 9th. Someone bet millions on oil falling at 18:29 GMT. Forty-seven minutes later, a CBS reporter posted that the President said the Iran war was "very complete, pretty much." Oil dropped 25%. Forty-seven minutes. I flagged it.

March 23rd. Someone sold 5,100 lots of Brent and WTI crude futures between 10:49 and 10:50 GMT. Fourteen minutes later, the President posted on Truth Social about a "COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION" to hostilities. Oil dropped 11%. Over 13,000 contracts traded in sixty seconds after the post. Fourteen minutes. I flagged it.

April 7th. Someone established a $950 million short position in oil futures at 19:45 GMT. Three hours later, the President declared a two-week ceasefire. Nine hundred and fifty million dollars. I flagged it.

April 17th. Someone placed $760 million in bearish bets twenty minutes before Iran's foreign minister confirmed the Strait of Hormuz would reopen. Seven hundred and sixty million. I flagged it.

April 21st. The $430 million. Fifteen minutes. I flagged it.

That is $2.1 billion in directional oil bets in April alone. Every one of them landed on the correct side of a presidential announcement. Every one of them was placed in a window so narrow you could measure it in bathroom breaks. I flagged every single one.

The CFTC chair told a Congressional committee that his organization has "zero tolerance" for fraud and insider trading. I wrote that quote on a Post-it note and stuck it to my right monitor. The one that shows the investigation queue. The investigation queue has not moved since March.

Zero tolerance. Zero staff. Zero budget. Zero prosecutions under the STOCK Act since it was signed in 2012.

Fourteen years. The law has existed for fourteen years and has been enforced zero times. In compliance, we call that a compliance rate of one hundred percent. No cases filed means no cases lost. You cannot fail an audit you never conduct. We call that excellence.

Last month the White House sent an internal email to staff. I was not on the distribution list but I have read reporting on it and I need you to sit with what I am about to say. The email instructed White House staff not to use insider information to place bets on prediction markets.

The White House had to send a memo telling its own employees not to insider-trade.

I want you to read that sentence again. Not because the instruction was unclear. Because the instruction was necessary. Because someone in the building looked at the same pattern I have been flagging for months on my three monitors and decided the appropriate response was an email.

The President's son sits on the advisory board of Kalshi. He is an investor in Polymarket. Both are prediction markets. Both saw accounts created days before U.S. military action.

One account. I cannot stop thinking about this account. It was called "Burdensome-Mix." It was created in December. On January 2nd, it placed $32,500 on Venezuela's president being removed from power. On January 3rd, Maduro was seized by U.S. special forces. Burdensome-Mix collected $436,000. Then it changed its username. Then it disappeared.

One account is a coincidence. But there were six.

Six accounts were created on Polymarket in February. All bet on U.S. strikes on Iran by the 28th. When the President confirmed the strikes, the six accounts collected $1.2 million between them. Five of the six never placed another bet. The sixth went on to correctly predict the ceasefire date and made another $163,000.

My surveillance system logged all of this. My system logs everything. My system does not have opinions and neither do I. I generate reports. The reports go to committees. The committees meet quarterly. Between meetings, the windows get shorter and the bets get larger.

March 9th: 47 minutes. March 23rd: 14 minutes. April 17th: 20 minutes. April 21st: 15 minutes.

The window is compressing. In March, you had time to make coffee between the trade and the announcement. By April, you had time to send a text. By summer, at this rate, the trade and the announcement will be the same event.

The spokesman said any implication that administration officials are engaged in insider trading is "baseless and irresponsible reporting."

Then the White House sent the email again.

I have been in compliance for nineteen years. I have seen insider trading run out of strip mall offices by men who could not spell "derivative." I have seen pump-and-dump schemes coordinated over WhatsApp by people who used their real names. I have seen a man try to manipulate soybean futures from a Panera Bread.

I have never seen $2.1 billion in perfectly timed trades across five presidential announcements in a single month go uninvestigated.

But I have also never seen a compliance system work this beautifully. Every trade flagged. Every report filed. Every committee briefed. Every quarterly meeting attended. Bottled water: sparkling. Minutes: distributed.

Zero prosecutions.

As long as the flags go up and the cases don't, my performance review says I am meeting expectations.

I am meeting expectations. The system is meeting expectations. The $2.1 billion is meeting expectations. The fourteen-year-old law with zero prosecutions is meeting expectations.

The left screen moves. The middle screen moves. The right screen stays perfectly, immaculately still.

In my field, we call this price discovery.

[Monty Fritts @MontyFritts4TN]

I get paid $0.00 to post or promote for AIPAC or any foreign lobbying group.

I work for Tennessee, not a foreign government’s lobby.

Vote for Fritts on August 6th. It's your best choice for Governor in Tennessee.

[Thomas Massie @RepThomasMassie]

Last night between midnight and 2am, they tried to pass two bad versions of FISA…

Both would have allowed Feds to unconstitutionally spy on Americans.

We stopped both versions, but the fight isn’t over. Eventually, it was decided to give them two more weeks to fix FISA.