IrishBull

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

@lastman3344 Scum

[EireX @lastman3344]

Sinn Féin are great at looking like the opposition. They were quick to show support for Garvaghy Road the other day, but where’s that same backbone when it comes to challenging the government? Feels like they remember the people when there are votes to win, then fall into line with the rest. Same shit, different day 🤦🏻

TRAITORS OF ÉIRE!!! 🇮🇪🇮🇪🇮🇪

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

@lastman3344 @CelticConnect_A Boss 🫡🫡

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

Legend in the game

[EireX @lastman3344]

NO, I’M NOT CHARGING YOU TO JOIN A TELEGRAM 😂

YES, I’m telling you to join FREE €0.

Here’s what CCA is. We watch high risk memecoins for the rare setups where the potential reward looks worth the risk. We share what we’re seeing and why it caught our attention.

Here’s what it isn’t. A stream of guaranteed calls or some “insider plays” nonsense. ( Although I get sometimes)

These are the coins behind the stories of someone turning $50 into $50,000. They’re also where someone can turn $500,000 into $5. That risk is real. Never put money into one that you can’t afford to lose.

The Telegram is free.
Join us and see what’s moving 👇
https://t.co/DQUTqQfLEd

The Discord is for education. I post my own trades there openly for people to see and follow for free 👇

https://t.co/0tlY4LZFUJ

There’s serious opportunity in this market if you respect how fast it can turn. Come learn, stay sharp, and make your own decisions. ☘️

[EireX @lastman3344]

NO, I’M NOT CHARGING YOU TO JOIN A TELEGRAM 😂

YES, I’m telling you to join FREE €0.

Here’s what CCA is. We watch high risk memecoins for the rare setups where the potential reward looks worth the risk. We share what we’re seeing and why it caught our attention.

Here’s what it isn’t. A stream of guaranteed calls or some “insider plays” nonsense. ( Although I get sometimes)

These are the coins behind the stories of someone turning $50 into $50,000. They’re also where someone can turn $500,000 into $5. That risk is real. Never put money into one that you can’t afford to lose.

The Telegram is free.
Join us and see what’s moving 👇
https://t.co/DQUTqQfLEd

The Discord is for education. I post my own trades there openly for people to see and follow for free 👇

https://t.co/0tlY4LZFUJ

There’s serious opportunity in this market if you respect how fast it can turn. Come learn, stay sharp, and make your own decisions. ☘️

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

@lastman3344 Gotcha 😉

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

☘️☘️

[EireX @lastman3344]

This could be one of the most important developments for oil today.

The US has confirmed it is actively talking with senior Iranian officials about a possible agreement to end the war, with reopening the Strait of Hormuz included in recent proposals.

Washington has now put a clearer condition on the table. JD Vance says Iran needs to make a meaningful reduction in its nuclear enrichment capacity, specifically pointing to its 60% enriched material.

That gives markets something concrete to watch.

If Iran makes concessions and negotiations move toward a settlement, the risk around Hormuz could fall significantly. That means safer shipping, lower insurance costs and potentially less pressure on oil and inflation.

But while diplomacy around Iran appears to be moving, another part of the Middle East is going the opposite direction.

The Houthis attacked Aden airport overnight with ballistic missiles and explosive drones. One missile reportedly landed near the runway just minutes before a Cairo flight was due to arrive.

The Saudi led coalition also says it intercepted another Houthi ballistic missile north of Riyadh, while Saudi backed Yemeni forces continue operations near the Bab el Mandeb.

So we now have two completely different forces developing at the same time.

Diplomacy around Iran and Hormuz is moving forward while military risk around Yemen and the Red Sea is escalating.

Meanwhile Brent is holding around $101.65 on the latest verified Reuters pricing after trading near $98 yesterday. We also have the developing Gulf of Mexico storm adding another supply risk into the mix.

I’m still watching $103 to $105 Brent closely.

If diplomacy gains traction, some of the geopolitical premium in oil can unwind quickly.

If talks fail while Hormuz or the Bab el Mandeb deteriorates further, that $103 to $105 area becomes much more important.

Don’t just watch the oil candle today.

Watch the negotiations behind it.

CCA | EireX

[EireX @lastman3344]

This could be one of the most important developments for oil today.

The US has confirmed it is actively talking with senior Iranian officials about a possible agreement to end the war, with reopening the Strait of Hormuz included in recent proposals.

Washington has now put a clearer condition on the table. JD Vance says Iran needs to make a meaningful reduction in its nuclear enrichment capacity, specifically pointing to its 60% enriched material.

That gives markets something concrete to watch.

If Iran makes concessions and negotiations move toward a settlement, the risk around Hormuz could fall significantly. That means safer shipping, lower insurance costs and potentially less pressure on oil and inflation.

But while diplomacy around Iran appears to be moving, another part of the Middle East is going the opposite direction.

The Houthis attacked Aden airport overnight with ballistic missiles and explosive drones. One missile reportedly landed near the runway just minutes before a Cairo flight was due to arrive.

The Saudi led coalition also says it intercepted another Houthi ballistic missile north of Riyadh, while Saudi backed Yemeni forces continue operations near the Bab el Mandeb.

So we now have two completely different forces developing at the same time.

Diplomacy around Iran and Hormuz is moving forward while military risk around Yemen and the Red Sea is escalating.

Meanwhile Brent is holding around $101.65 on the latest verified Reuters pricing after trading near $98 yesterday. We also have the developing Gulf of Mexico storm adding another supply risk into the mix.

I’m still watching $103 to $105 Brent closely.

If diplomacy gains traction, some of the geopolitical premium in oil can unwind quickly.

If talks fail while Hormuz or the Bab el Mandeb deteriorates further, that $103 to $105 area becomes much more important.

Don’t just watch the oil candle today.

Watch the negotiations behind it.

CCA | EireX

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

@lastman3344 🫡🫡

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

@lastman3344 🔥🔥🔥

[EireX @lastman3344]

🚨 Black Sea risk has moved another step higher this morning.

One merchant ship has now sunk and another has been damaged after drone strikes inside Bulgaria’s Black Sea economic zone. Bulgarian authorities have confirmed the incident and the government has called an emergency security meeting. Right now there is no confirmed attribution, so anyone claiming Russia or Ukraine definitely carried this out is getting ahead of the evidence.

At the same time Russian officials say Ukraine launched more than 650 drones toward Moscow overnight, with 2 people killed and 9 injured in the Moscow region.

Again, important distinction here. The 650+ figure comes from Russian officials. I’m treating the scale as a claim until we get stronger independent confirmation.

But look at the wider picture developing across the Russia Ukraine war and Black Sea.

Commercial shipping has increasingly been caught in the conflict. We’ve now had vessels struck around Ukrainian ports, a fatal sinking outside Romania’s territorial waters, and today another ship sunk inside NATO member Bulgaria’s economic zone.

That does NOT automatically make this an Article 5 situation. An exclusive economic zone is not the same thing as sovereign territorial waters.

But from a market perspective the direction of travel matters.

Black Sea shipping risk is expanding while the war is reaching deeper in both directions.

And here’s the interesting part for markets.

Despite all of this, Brent remains below $100 this morning.

So the update to my earlier post is actually pretty clear. The geopolitical risk has increased, but the oil market still isn’t rebuilding a meaningful crude risk premium.

That tells me physical supply is winning that battle for now.

What I’m watching next is attribution for the Bulgarian ship attacks and Russia’s response to the Moscow drone wave.

If retaliation expands further into Ukrainian ports, energy infrastructure or commercial shipping, this becomes a much bigger market story very quickly.

Until then I’m not front running the evidence.

CCA | EireX

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

@lastman3344 In 💯

[EireX @lastman3344]

So I was sitting having a conversation with a fella who seen my Irish flag 🇮🇪 on my hoodie, Clear as day he is Somalian so we get talking.

He asked me can I help him get IDs 🪪 🤣🤣

So anyway I played along with this chap for a while we got talking about routes, About money etc.

Crazy really, So Serbia 🇷🇸 is very easy for them to access and also Ireland has gotten harder over the past few months.

They want to be in Ireland and the UK, not Germany, Not the Netherlands, nowhere else as those lands are already on route down a road if no return anyway.

In this guys mind the Irish are the best people in the world for supporting immigrants and they always supported he wants to go to Ireland and says if I help him I’ll get a 10k per if I can bring back .

You see the reason it important for the Adan(white man in Somali) is because during the travel and on route the white man needs to have control of the passports in certain points . 2 Somalians can’t travel together and pass ids over and back on flights, during transfers etc.

From the horses mouth, I also may have some recording of this going on, I may also have hours of footage.

Damn I may even have names and addresses of the houses they go to in Dublin when they land

Arrests need to be made

[EireX @lastman3344]

500 USDT POSITION AIRDROP 👀

The new CCA × BitBase campaign is LIVE.

New users joining through CCA can qualify by:

Deposit 100+ USDT
Complete 1,000 USDT futures volume
→ Unlock a 500 USDT Position Airdrop if eligible.

There are also further rewards across the campaign, with up to 10,520 USDT available depending on the requirements completed.

But lads — don’t start forcing trades just because there’s a reward attached.

If you were going to join and trade anyway, take advantage of it.
If it doesn’t make sense for you, leave it. 🙏

CCA link in comments.

[EireX @lastman3344]

Still in my prime and wanna take what’s always been destined to be mine.

I WILL FIGHT AGAIN, AND I WILL BE A CHAMPION AGAIN!!

Healthier today than I was back fighting on the Irish team international, Literally drinking the night before taking flights to go fight for European titles. Crazy 😔

Watch me prove them all wrong !!

IRELAND TO THE WORLD 🇮🇪

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

@lastman3344 Slick

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

@lastman3344 @CelticConnect_A 🫡🫡

[EireX @lastman3344]

Lads, the biggest thing I’m watching tonight is not the PCE headline itself. It’s what the bond market did with it.

As of around 9.30 pm Amsterdam time, the US 10 year has rejected the move down toward 5.20 percent and pushed back toward the 5.30 area.

That matters.

The inflation print itself was softer than expected. Headline PCE came in at 0.3 percent on the month against 0.4 expected, while core also came in cooler. October hike expectations dropped, the front end eased, the dollar softened and tech initially liked it.

But there are two things worth remembering here.

This was August PCE, so it does not capture the more recent diesel and energy pressure we are now dealing with from the Iran situation.

There were also methodology changes inside the BEA data that helped the softer reading.

So I wouldn’t look at today and say the inflation problem has suddenly disappeared.

What interests me far more is the split inside the bond market.

The front end believed the softer inflation story because traders reduced expectations for another immediate Fed hike.

The long end has been far less convinced.

That is where the bigger macro argument sits.

Government borrowing, Treasury supply, long term inflation expectations, strong nominal growth and the enormous amount of capital being poured into AI infrastructure are all possible parts of that story.

We don’t need to pretend we know which one is responsible for every basis point.

We just need to respect what the market is showing us.

Equities have actually held up very well through all of this, particularly tech, so this is absolutely not me calling for some huge risk off move.

It’s the opposite.

I’m saying we still don’t have enough confirmation to call this a proper risk on regime either.

bitcoin:native is another good example.

We’ve been working around that 83K to 84K area and I still want to see proper acceptance above 85K before treating the move as confirmed.

A tag above 85K means nothing to me.

I want to see price get above it, hold it and prove buyers are actually willing to conduct business there.

If Bitcoin starts losing the 83K area while the US 10 year is pressing back around 5.30 percent, then the rates pressure becomes far more interesting from a crypto perspective.

Geopolitically nothing is properly resolved either.

The US and Iran are still talking indirectly through Qatar, but there is still no confirmed ceasefire and no confirmed return to normal traffic through Hormuz.

So I’m keeping the CCA board patient here.

The market got the good inflation number.

The front end believed it.

The long end did not.

That is the story right now.

If the 10 year can properly break back below 5.20 percent and hold there, then we can start talking about a genuine macro relief move.

If it establishes itself above 5.30 percent, the structural rates problem becomes much harder to ignore.

Until one of those happens, I’m not forcing a narrative just because the market gave us one good inflation print.

Let the market confirm it.

Celtic Connect Alpha

EireX

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

@lastman3344 Things are starting to get going

[IrishBull @IrishBullx]

@celticwarfare @lastman3344 100%