Alex Hayes

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[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

What does the oil market think?

Both the July (orange) and December (blue) Brent Crude Oil Futures Contracts are at new highs.

The December contract is now signaling that the market expects crude oil to be above $90 for the next seven months.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

The 30-year yield is now 8 bps away from a new 18-year high.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

Having the best LLM barely matters. The best distribution does. $GOOGL has search, android, chrome, youtube and cloud growing 63% YoY. Revenue conversion and distribution moat is what moves the stock. Benchmark leaderboards are irrelevant.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

Combined Q1 2026 capex is $130B in a single quarter for $GOOGL+ $AMZN + $MSFT + $META

Their average quarterly capex in 2024 was roughly $60B The whole AI supply chain benefits. But not equally, the structural bottlenecks win first.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

$POET down 45% Marvell canceled all Celestial AI orders citing NDA breach.
$POET confirmed the deal publicly but
$MRVL stayed silent. The asymmetry was already there. Peak retail CEO behavior. The photonics thesis is intact.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

Tech is 35% of the S&P 500. According to UBS it has driven 57% of the rally since the conflict started. Earnings momentum was already there. The conflict just accelerated the rotation away from oil exposed sectors.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

Most traders lose to their own minds, not the market.

Stop overcomplicating. Your edge is in simplicity: spot the signal, trust it, manage your risk, walk away.

The market moves, your job is to not get in your own way.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

Trading is all about numbers and discipline.

Stick to your proven method, repeat it consistently.

High win rates aren't required, just focus on solid risk-reward and let your edge do the work.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

Trading is the ultimate personal development tool:
- It exposes your fears.
- Tests your patience.
- Punishes ego and rewards discipline.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

There is one name that is about to dominate the rapidly scaling drone theme…

That is $ONDS

With 560% growth in backlog over the last 3 months, $1.5B in cash, & with a 35% short interest the upcoming squeeze can get serious.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

These next 24 hours are going to make, or break many portfolios

$MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN & $META all report earnings after the bell tomorrow

Not only this, but Jerome Powell will have last ever FOMC speech as FED chairman

This is a day thats going to be remembered for months

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

Rare earths are going to boom very soon…

The US Government has stakes in $MP & $USAR

Even Nancy Pelosi has been loading $VST

This theme will soon see exponential 50-60% upside within a few weeks.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

$NOW will go down as the greatest dip-buying opportunity of 2026…

Currently down -62% from ATH’s, markets are pricing LLM’s to replace software.

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

Famous words from the most renowned hedge fund billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller…
"You don't get rich by diversifying into 50 mediocre assets. You get rich by finding 2 or 3 asymmetric home runs."
The 3 next home runs for 2026 will be:
1. $CRWV

2. $AMD

3. $RKLB

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

jim cramer saying he's buying because the market is oversold might be the most reliable inverse signal we have right now and i say this as someone who's actually bullish on btc this week which means i'm either right or about to learn something

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

the SEC considering an innovation exemption for tokenized securities feels like watching someone finally admit the workaround everyone's been using actually makes sense but i can't shake the feeling this is just regulatory catch-up disguised as forward thinking

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

the world uncertainty index just hit the highest level in recorded history and i can't stop thinking about how that's exactly the moment everyone's launching crypto regulation frameworks like maybe structure is what people build when everything else feels random

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

michael saylor buying another $204m in bitcoin while the fear & greed index hits 14 is either galaxy brain contrarian or just rich guy immunity to caring about entry points and i can't decide which

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

the same AI tools that just cost 4000 people their jobs at Block are being sold to the Pentagon for "classified networks" and somehow we're supposed to believe this is all moving too fast to regulate properly

[Alex Hayes @ItsNanSilly]

nvidia beats estimates and drops 5% while my €200 bag of some random altcoin pumps 12% on literally zero news and this is why i stopped trying to understand markets rationally