Captain Ivan Drago

Techincal Analysis based on synergies between EW w/ Fibs alongside array of market indicators & sentiment gauges to identify winning trades.
Win big/ lose small

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

We're born w/a killer instinct u can't turn off & on like a radio.We hv 2b in the middle of the action bcoz we're warriors. W/out some challenge, w/out some war to fight,then the warrior may as well be dead. So I'm asking you,as a friend,stand by my side this 1 last time
- Apollo

[WALL ST JESUS @WallStJesus]

GS Risk Appetite Indicator

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

@WallStJesus Flat the new turbulent?

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

Now I dont trade with blinders so if bears are able to break such a setup which they havent for past 10 yrs.... LOB, find a bunker, and see you on rhe other side of the mayhem

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

So in conclusion, based on depth and breadth of the divergences now in place, the tea leaves point to possible 100% retrace of this pb with a chance to tag ATHs and race higher. This setup shud not b taken for granted and typically forms maybe 1 maybe twice every few yrs

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$iwm McOsc end day flat with HL vs $iwm LL. $iwm McSumm approaching Jan'16 levels...simply incredible

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$ndx McOsc ended day flat

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$spx McOsc HL vs $spx LL
$spx McSumm hovering around election 2016 levels

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$spx breadth momo entering Aug'15 bottoming zone.

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$spx %>50d HL vs $spx LL

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$spx %>50d hit 11 last wk and closed at 23 today. Since Mar 2009, only in summer 2010 did this indicator make a LL along with price. Since then either prices and this indicator v-shape recovered or prices made nominal quick LLs and this indicator made a HL, +div

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$spx HiLo index
only Sept'11, Aug'15, and Jan'16 higher. Just amazing!!

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$xiv Pac & Big
#GOAT

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

5d MA for total p/c, equity p/c, and index p/c all elevated but nothing extreme.
A/d:p/c HL vs $nyse LL
10d MA for p/c at loft 113%
Not a timing indicator, but 21d MA for p/c hitting its UBB, sentiment extreme

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$spx Bullish% Index wkly stoc at 0
$spx Bullish% Index/vix wkly stoc 0.
Extreme o/s obviously.

-div may hv played a part as markets topped, while $spx made HHs, these only made LHs.

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$spx Bullish% Index wkly stoch just entered o/s region.
$spx Bullish% Index/$vix wkly stoch extreme o/s, same for spx/vix. Neither of these embed. except Aug 2011.

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$vix & $vix term structure wkly stoch all begining to curl lower from somewhat neutral levels. $vix likely needs a 4-handle into MOC tomorrow to get stoch to head higher.

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

Hb/Lv wkly stoch only been lower 3x since 2011...
China recession BS summer 2012
Fall '15 and Jan'16.

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

$nyse advancers HL vs $nyse LL
A/d issues HL vs $nyse LL
McOsc $nymot HL vs $nyse LL
$nyse new lows LH vs $nyse LL

Simply incredible bullish setup.

McSumm OTOH abt 1wk away from Jan'16 levels, currently sitting at Ebola/ Aug '15 lows.

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

If $vix bulls got a 3-handle into todays flush that wud hv been a bit shocking for me. It wud hv meant this d/t is an initiation move. But $vix bulls out of gas

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

F&G at LoD 8, a HL vs $nyse and Co.
$vix LH vs $spx LL, typically a sign of selling exhaustion. Also, the $vix micro Hh made around the open had pretty heavy -div, so a double whammy so to speak

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

Now divergences are not a holy grail but when we see alignment at least was hv a very well defined r/r and relatively safe entry exit points

[Captain Ivan Drago @IvanDaDrago]

Lets talk divergences since we hv a LL for $spx $rut $nyse and potentially a double bottom for $Nq and of course $vix