Jonny Spicer🔸

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now: finding aliens, trying to make AI evals that don’t suck
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[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

today I took the @givingwhatwecan pledge to donate 10% of my income to effective charities for life. I tried to write a blog post about my motivations for doing so, but it mostly came out as self psycho-analysis: https://t.co/XbRluBYvLe

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

I have a list of influences on my personal site and the ones people comment on the most, by far, are Jake and Amir

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

I’ve tried every galaxy-brained productivity system under the sun, and it turns out the most effective by far is just having a “standup” whatsapp gc with friends

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

@gemlpaterson Yes, specifically trained models are good at reproducing handwriting, there are a bunch of libraries for this iirc. I’m less certain about whether off-the-shelf image models could generate images of handwriting well though

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

I’m back in the UK which means a return to ramping up the unhingedness of my tweets

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

Re both the possibilities of non-Earth-life in the Solar System, and that some-UFOs-are-aliens, reasonable priors are pretty high. So Bayesian analysis does NOT recommend treating these as "extraordinary" hypotheses demanding very strong evidence.
https://t.co/hetsmPelRJ

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

@NathanpmYoung Funny bc today I literally met this guy who told me not to take that mark 😅

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

I’m shook to discover that Natalie has decided to become exactly the same person as me

just need to get her on the DFW train to complete the trifecta

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

@singareddynm I’ll check it out, thanks for the tip!

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

I wrote a very brief post giving an overview of some promising applications of AI to psychiatry/psychotherapy. It has ~0 detail, but I will flesh things out in future posts, this is just a taster!
https://t.co/GntbjaM2EZ

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

@NathanpmYoung afaict they suffered from the “there are only three probabilities; 0%, 50%, 100%” problem, and so their p(alien) is 1

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

there is a surprising amount of overlap in the language/framings used at this UFO conference and in the rationalist world

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

@NathanpmYoung

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

@NathanpmYoung the booth two down from ours has a sign that says something like “become more rational and improve your decision making”. There is a lot of discussion of “science” and “research”, and, to my surprise, even “epistemology”

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

@NathanpmYoung Adler’s separation of tasks is a good and useful framework

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

the UFO conference has a protestor! he says aliens are fallen angels that are here to prevent us from finding salvation in Jesus

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

@davidhooperr MUFON symposium! Alex Dietrich gave the keynote this morning, it was pretty great

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

now they’re playing the cantina band theme, these guys have a great sense of humour

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

there are many things I could say about the UFO conference, but they have *extremely* good taste in lobby music

(they’re currently playing Herbie Hancock’s Watermelon Man)

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

there are many things I could say about the UFO conference, but they have *extremely* good taste in lobby music

(they’re currently playing Herbie Hancock’s Watermelon Man)

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

@MomaBera A lobotomy

[Jonny Spicer🔸 @jjspicer]

people always talk about how twitter is a dating app, but actually it’s an app for finding a therapist

and the Lord knows that some of you need one of those more than you need a partner

[moma (peptide arc) ⛓️ @MomaBera]

@jjspicer I got some great European cheap therapist recommendations should you ever need them