founder/developer OWS || high-stakes DFS champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat, King of the Hill/Beach, Spy, etc.) || we’ll teach you to fish
Shoutout to the @oneweekseason team for the unbelievable consistency and quality.
(& shoutout to @LordReebs for such consistently high-quality work as well)
Welcome to the new OWS Props account 👀
The interns misplaced the login (don’t ask)… so we upgraded.
To kick things off, we’re giving away 5 weekly NBA Props Insider packages.
Follow + Like + RT to enter.
Win it for yourself… or gift it to someone who needs a W this holiday season. 🎁🔥
ICYMI ::
I have some new foundational // favorite building blocks for this week's slate that I dropped in my Journal last night.
IMO, this is one of the sharper angles available on the slate for contests of 4k or fewer entries (and it works in contests of all sizes).
If you don't follow along in my Journal, Winner Circle will also be live soon, where I'll talk about this, and my Player Grid Update will be live around 8 PM Eastern as well.
Apparently, this is a hot take(?) — but if the Chiefs win out, I think they make the playoffs.
Look at the Colts’ schedule.
Look at the Chargers’ schedule.
They need to pass those two teams in order to make it.
I don’t think the Colts finish 10-7 or better.
The Chargers can, but I honestly think they’re underdogs to get there (Eagles // at Chiefs // at Cowboys // Texans // at Broncos). I don’t know what the tie-breakers shake out to if Chargers and Chiefs are both 10-7 with a split in their games. But it seems the hand-wringing and grave dancing has started a little bit early.
It’s harder for me to see the high-end runout in that matchup, but it would have been hard for me to see it vs Philly, too.
It’s also a perfect block, in that neither player will be popular — so regardless of how the points shake out, you benefit from the block.
I don’t see the Certainty with it…
…but I certainly see the runout in which it works.
Sharp call, for sure. High-variance, but powerful if it hits.
OWS szn!
I sometimes check out and take some time offline as soon as the late games end, and don’t always do a great job shouting these out.
It’s been a full season like this — but looks like this was one of our bigger ones.
Congrats, fam!
Let’s run it back next week.