JThom Analytics

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

We believe in accountability. Below summary of last year’s preseason NCAA tournament projections vs actual results. For the most part, projections aligned with results. Teams with highest preseason probability to miss tournament: Baylor, USC, Auburn, Oregon, Miss St.

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

Link for more details: https://t.co/MvLp7FCe8P

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

Comparing completed games for top 3 #1 candidates today. Higher = more difficult game. Miami significantly easier schedule. ND/IU similar for best wins. OSU 2nd best win better than BYU's 2nd, but BYU top 4 better than OSU top 3. OSU with blemish; none for BYU. Who deserves #1?

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

First look of 2026-27 basketball season now available at JThom Analytics. 37 teams have >80% probability to make the NCAA Tournament. Last season, all 22 teams identified as >80% probability in the preseason actually made the tourney. Find details here: https://t.co/1ZeGnPH9hY

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

See current CFP probabilities for top teams as compared to preseason one month ago. Florida, Alabama and Utah have risen the most while Texas A&M, Texas Tech and Oregon have dropped the most. More details at https://t.co/Ywo4oWoAMn

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

Analysis of multi-bid probabilities for CFP of the Big 12 and ACC conferences. Each conference currently has around a 1 in 3 chance to receive multiple bids. See additional information here: https://t.co/5Yj62Q7vB5

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

LSU currently has 28% probability to make SEC conf champ game. With win vs Ole Miss that increases to 36% (drops to 17% with a loss). For CFP, LSU 75% with win and 46% with loss; Ole Miss is 40% to CFP with win and 16% with loss. More details here: https://t.co/6AbcxBUDv8

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

After week 2 - summary of CFP and conference championship probabilities. See more details at https://t.co/bRNth69pPu

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

In Group of 6, BSU has highest probability to make CFP; Memphis 6th. Big probability swings based on today's game. BSU (26% chance now) up to 31% with win or down to 9% with loss. Memphis - 6% now - will end at 4% or 12%. More details at link: https://t.co/6AbcxBUDv8

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

New feature - in Season Info tab see Biggest Upsets, Best Wins, and Worst Losses for past week, 2 weeks, 4 week or the season.

https://t.co/vgh9wOzjiR

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

Last night UMass won their most difficult projected game of the season and Rutgers lost their 2nd easiest projected game.

See how your favorite team’s schedule stacks up here: https://t.co/RdLIox4S0t

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

New feature - Game Impact for current week games. Select team to see which impact their CFP chances. For Notre Dame their game is most critical - next biggest swings are UTEP/OU; Miami/Stanford; and N Texas/Indiana.

See summary for your team here: https://t.co/6AbcxBUDv8

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

Below are 4 teams with highest probability to win college football conference championship - based on preseason ratings.

See more details here: https://t.co/wCUGgRXBSy

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

Preseason college football projections loaded at JThom Analytics. Summary below of performance last season vs preseason CFP probabilities. All playoff teams were in the top 36 playoff probabilities. Is your team among the top 36 this preseason?

https://t.co/8mQGGZmetI

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

Dark mode - unlocked. When dark mode is selected in system settings, JThom Analytics will now display in dark mode.

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

First look at projections for 2026-27 football season at https://t.co/8CAl97gvBB using pre-season rating projections. Big 12 is conference most likely to join Big Ten and SEC as multi-bid leagues in playoff.

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

@_AlexGookin Kansas could fall to 6 if they lost both their games and UCF won both their games.

Can run whatif scenarios and see probabilities here:

https://t.co/Kw8jc9oHgM

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

New feature: Next Game Preview. From team page, on Schedule Chart click Preview to access key stats, information and probability impacts related to the next matchup. Sample of output provided for today’s top 15 matchup between Kansas and Arizona. Follow link to check your team’s preview: https://t.co/v17jr4T1Yi

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

Big implications for Big Ten showdown. Winner of MSU-Purdue likely to end top 4 in Big Ten and bye to conference tournament quarterfinals. Loser likely to be 5th or worse, forcing a Thursday game on Championship Week. In NCAA - win likely leads to one seed line improvement for each team vs a loss. See summaries for other games: https://t.co/dJFgGI85Px

[JThom Analytics @JThomAnalytics]

New feature: Next Game Probability Impact. See how your team’s conference and NCAA tournament seeding probabilities change depending on whether they win or lose their next game. Featured here are outcomes for the 4 teams participating in ranked matchups today (Houston, Kansas, UNC and Louisville). Follow link in profile to see projections for your team: https://t.co/dJFgGI85Px