Trading humbled me.
Trading broke me.
Trading rebuilt me.
Trading transformed me.
Trading freed me.
This path will destroy who you were.
And create who you were meant to be.
SoSoValue Flash: Strait Reopening Fixed for Friday, BoJ Hikes 25bp, Markets Await Warsh’s Horizon Speech
💥 Core Catalyst:
Strait Reopening & Russian Oil: At the G7, Trump stated the Strait of Hormuz will fully reopen Friday and hinted at restoring sanctions on Russian oil soon, shifting his focus to the Russia–Ukraine conflict.
Switzerland Meeting: Iran's FM confirmed Iranian and U.S. delegations will meet June 19 in Switzerland to sign the MOU, followed by the first round of follow-up talks.
$300B Private Fund: The framework agreement includes a $300B private investment fund for Iran (zero U.S. government money), with over half of the capital already firmly subscribed.
BoJ Hike: The Bank of Japan raised rates by 25bp as expected and will pause its bond-buying taper next April; the deputy governor turned hawkish, signaling another potential hike in Q4.
🔍 Key Logic Shifts:
1️⃣ Macro Uncertainty Slams Shut: Emerging details and narrowing gaps in the upcoming 60-day talks sharply lower macro overhangs. Trump's clear intent to disengage favors reaching a final deal rapidly. Brent has dropped below $80, and Goldman expects Middle East oil exports to normalize by late July.
2️⃣ AI Dominance Intact: AI remains the vital secular theme amid a peaceful macro backdrop. Mega-cap tech extends its rebound while AI hardware executes a healthy pullback after a sharp bounce. The sector should consolidate at elevated levels, with memory and CPU remaining the highest-conviction clusters.
3️⃣ Fed & Warsh Focus: Immediate market focus shifts to Warsh's upcoming speech. Rates are locked in for a pause at this FOMC, and the removal of historical dovish phrasing is already fully priced; with oil plunging, the market's key expectation is for Warsh to strike a dovish tone.
📊 Trade Setup:
Core: $USTECH-100 | $CL | $XAUT | $BTC
MAG7: $NVDA | $AMZN | $GOOGL | $META | $MSFT | $TSLA | $AAPL
AI Hardware: $SNDK | $MU | $AMD | $INTC | $TSM
Good morning builders.
50 trades with 1 system
Copy your wins
Study your losses
Repeat...
This game is about consistency, not perfection.
If you master the boring stuff,
You’ll thank yourself in 5 years.