Europe’s summer charm offensive has failed.
Let’s review European diplomatic achievements so far this year. 2025 started with JD Vance making his famous “stepping up” speech in Munich, and alarm bells started ringing.
Unfortunately — Europe didn’t even wake up, let alone step up.
Europe instead based its summer security strategy on three pillars:
1. Appeasing President Trump.
This pillar can be summarised as paying and praying — paying with tariffs and promises of equipment purchases and worshipping Trump with pilgrimages to DC, video calls and public declarations of devotion.
2. Hoping that Putin will be satisfied with what he currently has.
This has been expressed in announcements by European leaders suggesting that brutal realities might force Ukraine to cede territories to Putin, using Baltic or Finnish historical examples. Nothing points to Putin being satisfied with that, but ok, hope springs eternal.
3. Praying that Ukrainians will not get tired
An essential component of the European inaction plan is that Ukrainians will continue fighting for both Ukraine and Europe, while Europe finishes its Aperol spritz and figures things out.
Now what?
When the United States announced the cancellation of the Baltic Security Initiative, many were shocked. I was more shocked at how much time we wasted praying that things would magically improve, rather than heeding the warnings and making preparations for this inevitable scenario.
So now what? Now we have to prepare for a reduction of US troops in Europe, likely in very significant numbers. And yes, it is possible that troops will be withdrawn from the Baltic region. What else should we be prepared for? Simply what has already been said: Ukraine will most likely be left without US assistance. Russia will no longer be sanctioned because of changes in US strategic calculations. Europe will have to face the Russian threat on its own. And frontline countries will have to figure out a plan B, to resist and win in a post-American Europe.
This should not come as a surprise, because we were warned long ago. If we wasted time, that’s on us. As the saying goes: The best times to stop wasting time are ten years ago, and today.
And if there is a question about how this should look in practice — look no further than Ukraine. President Zelenskyy might be saying many thank yous, wearing a suit and solemnly praising the American administration, but… at the same time, Ukraine has launched its biggest air raids on Russian oil refineries, reducing oil output by about 20 percent.
Europe is simply increasing the volume of its rhetoric as two of the three pillars of its 2025 strategy crumble. Meanwhile, Ukraine is introducing new weapons that will strengthen its position even further. Ukraine is talking softly AND developing a range of new sticks. Of course, Ukrainians would rather fight alongside Americans and Europeans, but even if Europeans and Americans are unwilling — Ukrainians are showing what they can achieve on their own.
Time to be brave like Ukraine
Europe, which has lost its belief in its own ability to fight any war, should be inspired by Ukraine and follow her shining example. If a country of fewer than 40 million people can keep stepping up further, even after three years of war, surely similar progress could be made by pooling the wealth of the EU’s 450 million inhabitants?
Read the full article and my conclusion at the link below…
@Jaanus47597808@ohtlik_lind Mõlemat, arvatavasti, väga kole ikka näha jah, mis soon kommentaarides toimub ikka, vaadates palju kukub rakette igapäev ukrainasse, ei tohiks üldse mingit vingumist olla ukraina vasturünnakute kohta.#SlavaUkraini
"You have no cards in hand, you should be grateful to us. You can't tell us 'I want this, I want that,'" – Trump to Zelensky. He added: "You should be grateful. It will be very hard to 'do business' this way."
Trump would also allegedly have said: "Either you make a deal or you walk away from it."
Zelensky should give Trump the middlefinger. And retract any involvement to his so-called peace initiatives.
Don't be extorted by a crook. A felon.
If you're going to have an argument about Ukraine on here or on TV please read this ISW factsheet first.
- Zelensky does not imminently risk losing all of Ukraine. At the current rate of advance, it would take Russian forces over 83 years to capture the whole of Ukraine.
- Ukraine has not suffered millions of losses. US officials have placed the number of Ukrainian military losses between 60,000 and 70,000, but no reputable source places casualty estimates in the millions. The UN confirmed that Russia had killed over 12,000 Ukrainian civilians.
- Europe provides about as much direct aid to Ukraine as the United States. Europe has provided and pledged approximately $204.1 billion in all, which is actually slightly more than the US.
- Ukraine did not misuse or lose half of the aid the United States has provided. The majority of the funds the United States has allocated for Ukraine stays in the United States to fund domestic defense industrial base and replenish US stockpiles.
https://t.co/g66tjfbAnA
Europe is far from united, and I’m not just talking about Slovakia and Hungary. Some countries are seriously preparing for the worst while simultaneously sending significant amounts of aid to Ukraine. Not surprisingly, these countries share borders with Russia and have been invaded by them in the past.
The economic powerhouses (except for Poland) are more focused on rhetoric and grand speeches than on actual commitments to securing peace in Europe. When you look at the aid sent to Ukraine by country and compare it to their GDP, the top donors are as follows:
1) Estonia (2,2%)
2) Denmark (2,17%)
3) Lithuania (1,8%)
4) Latvia (1,53%)
5) Finland (0,98%)
6) Sweden (0,92%)
7) Poland (0,8%)
8) The Netherlands (0,78%)
9) Norway (0,75%)
10) Slovakia (0,65%)
For the major European countries, these numbers are much smaller: the UK is at 0.51%, Germany at 0.44%, France at 0.18%, and Italy at 0.12%. While the Ukrainians are no doubt grateful for all the aid they've received, we’re in a situation where the biggest donors (by GDP %) are keeping quiet and sending everything they can, while the larger EU countries and the UK are eager to lead a pro-Ukraine coalition but aren’t willing to put much skin in the game.
At the same time, countries like France, Belgium, and Spain are purchasing massive amounts of LNG from Russia, spending similar sums on Russian gas as they do on military aid to Ukraine. Meanwhile, most Italian companies continue to operate in Russia, supplying Moscow and St. Petersburg with luxury goods. On top of all this, our electoral system is being heavily influenced by hostile powers - not only from Moscow but also from the United States.
This is not a winning strategy against the Kremlin, and we will eventually be invaded by them if things don’t change.
Less talk, more investment in European defense and support for Ukraine.
This speech is full of half-truths, distortions, misleading claims and outright lies.
Basically living up to every meme, trope and unfair stereotype, of Americans being ignorant morons.
I'll go through each of the claims he made in this segment and what the actual facts are. /1
SitRep - 15/12/24 - North Koreans are attacking in big meat waves
An overview of the daily events in Russia's invasion of Ukraine. A blown railtrack, destroyed fuel train and more and more North Koreans are (dis)appearing in the Kursk region.. 🥶
REPOST=appreciated
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