Mark Jarvis

General Manager @Agents4Players
Former Sac State player personnel

"Beliefs are hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be guarded."

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

Let's get to work!!

[Agents for Players @agents4players]

AFP is excited to welcome @JarvisAFP as General Manager. Coming from Sacramento State, Mark brings a decade of scouting and player evaluation experience to the AFP family.

[Rivals High School @RivalsHS]

NEW: Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has signed Senate Bill 178 (Teddy Bridgewater Act) into law.

Allowing middle and high school coaches to use up to $15k of their own funds to support student-athletes with food, transportation and recovery services.

Read: https://t.co/fI81dY4v11

[Adam Breneman @AdamBreneman81]

The inner circle around a player is more important than ever in college football because of NIL and revenue sharing.

Virginia Tech GM Andy Frank told me parents can and have cost their kids scholarships in the past.

@NextUpBreneman x @TRAVISMATHEW

[College Transfer Portal @CollegeFBPortal]

NEW: Western New Mexico has hired AC Patterson as its Offensive Coordinator.

Patterson was the Director of Recruiting/Pro Liaison at Sac State @coachapatterson 🚨

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

@tommyreamon For sure. If they're big time dudes, smaller schools make them 5x more dominant anyways. I do think at that level they tend to have more bad habits that they can get away with due to comp level + it still slows them down hitting a CFB field. But it won't matter much by Y4-Y5.

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

I wanted to believe this for a long time because it felt unfair the degree to which smaller school kids get underrecruited. But I think the unfortunate reality is that for most kids (especially non P4) it matters a lot where they go to school.

[Tommy Reamon Jr. @tommyreamon]

If you’re really that good.. the high school doesn’t matter.

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

Smaller school kids are more likely to redshirt (adjusting to size & speed), go JC, or go underrecruited due to lack of awareness from coaches who recruit their area. I'd estimate about 15-20% of JC to be D1 level guys who played at a smaller school & got overlooked.

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

Bigger schools often mean access to better resources and coaching, a higher level of competition that improves feel for play speed, and easier access to college coaches. It's unfair for kids who can't easily change schools, but I think it does matter.

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

@benj_robinson I reworded it a few times trying to sound less doom and gloom about it, but it's moreso a fear of using it as an excuse to downsize or replace entry level staff, or to put them on a task w/o offering real development in their skills.

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

It would be fascinating to see what things an AI model that watches film keys in on. Can it accurately approximate size & speed? Can it incorporate level of competition? Can it adjust for the field being poorly maintained bc the player is coming out of an impoverished area?

[Chris Vannini @ChrisVannini]

AI has made its way into college football recruiting, from filtering through highlights to making graphics to... fake film.

Good story from @AntonioCMorales: https://t.co/4j5v121gWU

[Lindsay Rhodes @lindsay_rhodes]

I’m not sure why he’s getting ripped for this.

Of course the coach’s starting point isn’t to dive into full games- that’s what the scouting department is for.

These “highlight” tapes he’s talking about aren’t like recruiting videos HS kids make to get noticed by colleges.

They’re made by the scouts to showcase the things the coach needs to see. (Best practice is to include good and bad in those cut-ups so the picture is more complete.)

This conversation *does* highlight the absolute importance of having a scouting department and coaching staff that are swimming in the same direction and who respect each other’s processes.

It’s a massive advantage to be on the same page.

And not every team has that.

[Ari Meirov @MySportsUpdate]

#Ravens GM Eric DeCosta was asked about the consensus board and gave a really interesting answer about how, from what they’ve seen, a lot of teams around the NFL are drafting similarly to the Ravens and how their board is set up.

This is fascinating stuff for draft junkies.

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

For ex - my QBs were

Mendoza
-
Payton
-
Simpson
Beck
Allar
-
Green
-
7 different QB3/PS level guys where it was really a "pick your flavor"

Consensus board is great at separating the top end. Is failure to separate that bottom bucket due to lack of input or talent leveling off?

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

One of the things that interests me with this - is it due to a lack of attention/resource expenditure on non-t100 players? Or is the curve of talent moreso that the t100 players are more scheme agnostic + being likely starters creates less path dependency than later round picks?

[Matthew Coller @MatthewColler]

I really think we need to start differentiating between Day 1 and 2 picks vs. consensus and Day 3 picks. The historical data shows the predictive nature of consensus runs out after like 100 picks.

Also there are playoff teams using consensus boards in their draft conversations

[Ari Meirov @MySportsUpdate]

#Jaguars GM James Gladstone on the consensus board debate:

“We build consensus internally, and that is leveraged at every pick point.”

He added that consensus doesn’t always align because they don’t take into account scheme or the situation a player is coming into.

(🎥 @Jaguars)

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

@CDonnick1 They probably did try and failed. Any quality G6 QB is gonna get tampered with in some capacity, it's just a question of whether or not their team can match or compete w/ offers.

Check out Atkinson at ORST, from Mercer. Great touch & arm, just got underrecruited out of HS.

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

And from that - it all just turns into a question on how efficient of a market you believe it to be, if you care about a market price where you *assume* it's accurate but you can't open the black box to see what's inside, & if you believe a player has differential value for YOU.

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

The idea is that generally speaking, the consensus board prices *most* information into the valuation of players. Think of it like the accuracy of a stock price - how much information is priced into it effectively & what would you have to know to "beat the market" on that stock?

[Damian Parson💰 @DP_NFL]

Ok I’m confused I guess, yall help me out lol.

Are the pro consensus board crowd saying nfl teams should draft based on that instead of their actual board that includes, character reports, inside information, and their team specific data points?

Just trying to get a grip on this conversation

[Aaron Wilson @AaronWilson_NFL]

Oregon State @BeaverFootball edge Nikko Taylor invited, and accepted invites to #Chiefs and #Bears rookie minicamps, per a league source

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

@ArifHasanNFL FWIW even if just blind ranking on profile, still a fairly good indicator for the power of consensus board. Watching tape on WR82 vs. WR89 would be mostly just wasting time for anyone not w/ a team or w/o analytical alert to eval.

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

Saw the consensus board topic floating around here yesterday and wanted to add my own thoughts to the discussion.

[Mark Jarvis @JarvisAFP]

@ArifHasanNFL It would be interesting to see the extent of their evals/notes on him - or if it was more of a blind ranking on overall profile. Think that issue is very prominent w/ how transfer portal & HS recruiting play out. Quantity of players & timing component can be overwhelming.