Stock Climber

Old New Dad

[Stock Climber @JasonLeech16]

@frogbling @irigstocks 🤣 PUTs are paying me well 🤑

[3 STOCKS A DAY @3Stocksaday]

Go Long, Go Short… The Market Won’t Stay Still Much Longer

My Market View: Pressure Is Building
Right now we are seeing one of the most unusual setups in modern market history.
The S&P 500 has been stuck in a 5% range since November 2025, more than three months without a real directional move.
Even more extreme, the first 41 trading days of 2026 have traded in just a 2.7% range, the tightest start to a year since records began in 1928.
Markets do not stay compressed like this for long.
When pressure builds like this, the move that follows is usually violent.
And right now the macro environment is getting worse.

The Bad News Piling Up

Recent layoffs announced:
US Government: 300,000 jobs
UPS: 78,000
Amazon: 30,000
Intel: 25,000
Nissan: 20,000
Nestlé: 16,000
Microsoft: 15,000
Bosch: 13,000
Verizon: 13,000
Dell: 12,000
Accenture: 11,000
Ford: 11,000
Novo Nordisk: 9,000
PwC: 5,600
Dow Chemical: 4,000

At the same time:

Oil just posted its largest weekly gain on record, up +34.5%

The Dow dropped 1,500 points this week, the worst week in almost a year

Inflation risks are rising again if energy continues higher

The Iran Risk
Everything right now revolves around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz.
About 20% of global oil flows through that corridor.
If tensions escalate and oil moves above $100, markets will likely enter correction territory.
Higher oil means inflation fears return quickly.

My Prediction

The next 2–3 weeks will decide the direction of the market.
If the conflict with Iran ends or de-escalates, uncertainty disappears and the market could break out of this historic compression.
In that case, April could be a strong up month and the S&P 500 could push to new all-time highs.
But if tensions escalate and oil spikes above $100, the market likely breaks down into a correction.

One More Factor: Midterm Elections

Historically, the president’s party loses seats in midterm elections almost every time.
That political uncertainty will add another layer of volatility to markets as we move into 2026.

The Bottom Line

The market is sitting in one of the tightest ranges in history while bad macro news continues to build.
Layoffs are rising.

Oil is surging.
Geopolitical risk is increasing.
Periods of extreme calm like this rarely last long.

The market is coiled like a spring, and the next move will likely be big. 📈📉

BE READY.!
$SPY $QQQ $SPX $IWM $DJIA $VIX

[Stock Climber @JasonLeech16]

@dividendology Who are the top players for AI cybersecurity? I would think it would be a promising sector as well?

[Stock Climber @JasonLeech16]

Mom arrested for letting 10-year-old walk alone less than a mile shares her side

https://t.co/uKLluQps0r

[Brennan Schlagbaum, CPA @Budgetdog_]

It costs $300 per month for your kid to be a trust fund baby if you start early.

Here's the hack all smart families use:

[Stock Climber @JasonLeech16]

@clownworld Mask on so we know she/he is keeping everyone safe. Guessing California but could be any major city. Now try guessing male or female then again in this world it could be nether of those 🤔

[Stock Climber @JasonLeech16]

@dividendology $V

[Stock Climber @JasonLeech16]

@Disneybeachlv $O
$MO
$SCHD
$VOO

[Stock Climber @JasonLeech16]

@3Stocksaday

[3 STOCKS A DAY @3Stocksaday]

Results since the new community:

Past 20 trades:
17 positive
3 negative
7 over 100% / 2 over 400%
All time stamped

$SPY 432p 47%🟢
$SPY 442p 20%🟢
$AMZN 138p 94%🟢
$AAPL 175p 90%🟢
$SPY 443p -24%🔴
$SPY 442p -56%🔴
$SPY 440p 445%🟢💥
$AFRM 22.5p 100%🟢💥
$TEVA 10.5p 40%/111% 💥🟢
$ABNB 140p 505%🟢💥
$SPY 435c 26%🟢
$SPY 442p 65% | 170%🟢💥
$SPY 433p 111%🟢💥
$NVDA 220c -38%🔴
$SPY 428p 25% 1/2 38%🟢
$SPY 429p 35%🟢
$SPY 431P 25%🟢
$AAL 10/6 13C even
$AAPL 10/13 170P 60%🟢 open
$SPY 431P 107% 🟢
$M $11C 5%🟢

[Stock Climber @JasonLeech16]

@brendanschema Now everyone under 30 that can’t read cursive can read it. Sad but true. In another decade all companies will have to have a picture for a logo no written logo more and more illiterate graduates every year 🤦🏼‍♂️

[3 STOCKS A DAY @3Stocksaday]

US FUTURES
$SPY $QQQ $DJI

[3 STOCKS A DAY @3Stocksaday]

Binance US CEO Departs as Crypto Platform Cuts Third of Staff $BTC

[3 STOCKS A DAY @3Stocksaday]

What a trade..! Congrats.

[3 STOCKS A DAY @3Stocksaday]

$BP BP CEO resigns after probe reveals undisclosed relationships with colleagues

[Dividendology @dividendology]

Just hit 20,000 followers!

Thanks for joining me on this dividend investing journey!

If anyone can guess the exact amount of my next Twitter (X) payout that I get, then I will send them the payment for that amount! 🔥

Ready...Go! 👇

[3 STOCKS A DAY @3Stocksaday]

🚨💣🇺🇸📉📈🫡
For those wondering why I anticipate a market downturn, here are 17 reasons why….

1- US banks witnessed their largest weekly deposit outflows since the SVB collapse, with a $70 billion drop in total deposits.

2- The Fed's emergency bank funding facility usage surged to a record $108 billion, despite claims of the regional bank crisis being over.

3- Credit rejection rates are on the rise, particularly for auto loans (14.2%) and credit card limit increases (30.7%), while consumers seek more debt.

4- Global liquidity has dwindled by $1 trillion in the last 10 weeks, reaching pre-pandemic levels.

5- Existing home prices are set to surpass new home prices for the first time since 2005, signaling shifts in the real estate market.

6- The US corporate default rate doubled to ~2% since the Fed began raising rates in March 2022.

7- Student loan payments are resuming, impacting 45 million borrowers and consumer spending by approximately $100 billion per year.

8- Small banks face a record-high credit card loan default rate (7.5%) and must refinance $1.5 trillion in commercial real estate loans by 2025.

9- Revolving credit in the US hit a record $1.27 trillion in August, despite a declining personal savings rate (3.5%).

10- Excess savings have been depleting by $100 billion monthly since January 2022.

11- Debt-to-income ratios for US homebuyers reached 40%, driven by rising household debt and record credit card debt.

12- The average interest rate on a 30-year mortgage stands at 7.62%, impacting mortgage demand and home sales.

13- US deficit spending, with $1 trillion of bonds to be issued this quarter alone, is pushing bond prices down and rates up.

14- A record $7.6 trillion of US debt is set to mature in the next year, accounting for 31% of all outstanding government debt.

15- Monthly payments for new cars hit an all-time high of $733, with interest rates reaching 9.5%.

16- Bankruptcies in 2023 are surpassing 2022 levels, approaching a level not seen since 2010.

17- Current debt levels in the US have reached record highs, with interest rates soaring across various categories.

[Stock Climber @JasonLeech16]

@3Stocksaday

[3 STOCKS A DAY @3Stocksaday]

😃😜🤩😂

[3 STOCKS A DAY @3Stocksaday]

After September 15, we'll see the beginning of the downside move.
-10% / 15% before 2024 $spx $spy