π¨ FACT: BTC BEAR MARKETS LAST EXACTLY 365 DAYS
Another fact - bull markets last exactly 1064 days
Look at the chart
This pattern has repeated three cycles in a row without missing
And now we're currently on day 255 of this bear market
Good news: We still have 100+ days prepare money before the bottom is in
Bad news: Most traders will go bust before then
The final stretch of every bear cycle is designed to break conviction
Red candles, fake bounces, "Bitcoin is dead" headlines - all of it peaks in the last 100 days
That's not a coincidence - that's the flush that creates the next bull market
I'm not going bust
I predicted the BTC 2025 ATH (check the pinned thread)
All the local moves and bear market patterns you could have known too if you'd been following me
The next updates will be the most important ones as we're standing on the verge of a structure change
I'll let you know as soon as I start actively loading spot
Turn on notifications and you'll realize how much valuable info you've been missing by not doing it sooner
Mark my words. Bitcoin will close the FVG at $67K. Then the real move begins. Here is how Bitcoin plays out from here: - Rally to $67K - 10β14 days of distribution - Dump below $58K - Flush to $47K - Final bottom test in the $37Kβ$45K zone ]
Mark my words.
Bitcoin will close the FVG at $67K.
Then the real move begins.
Here is how Bitcoin plays out from here:
- Rally to $67K
- 10β14 days of distribution
- Dump below $58K
- Flush to $47K
- Final bottom test in the $37Kβ$45K zone
Most people think the bear market is over.
The final capitulation phase has not even started.
Reminder: Iβve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.
The next call will be even more important. Iβll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on. If youβre not following yet, youβll understand why that was a mistake later.
I WARNED YOU ABOUT THIS DUMP AT $83K.
Now itβs at $58K.
And the path is still unchanged:
$83K β $65K β $55K β $45K β $65K β $130K β $200K
The bear market is only 50% complete.
Do you honestly think the market will let everyone calmly buy the bottom before the next historic run?
It wonβt.
When Bitcoin loses $55K, billions of dollars in leveraged positions will be liquidated.
Stops will trigger.
Forced selling will accelerate.
And once the cascade begins, it will be unstoppable.
At $45K, your portfolio will be bleeding.
Your timeline will declare the bull market over.
The same influencers calling for new highs today will suddenly tell you Bitcoin is heading below $30K.
Most traders will believe them.
They will sell at the exact moment they should be preparing to buy.
And here is the part almost nobody understands:
That final collapse will not destroy the opportunity.
It will create it.
That will be the moment to buy.
Exactly when buying feels the most painful, dangerous, and completely irrational.
When leverage is destroyed, weak hands surrender, and everyone becomes convinced Bitcoin is going lower, that is when the final bear-market bottom will form.
This is how major market bottoms form.
The crowd will see the end.
The traders who remain patient will see the final accumulation window before $200K.
I expect the bear-market bottom to arrive in October.
Then the move nobody believes is possible begins:
$45K β $65K β $130K β $200K
When Bitcoin reaches the bottom, fear will be everywhere, and it will feel like the entire cycle is over.
That is exactly when the next call will matter most.
Because surviving the decline is only half the trade.
The other half is having the conviction to buy when everyone around you is convinced you are making a catastrophic mistake.
Follow me and turn on notifications so you donβt miss that call.
$BTC
CYCLE CLOCK HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG Bear: 365 days Bull: 1,064 days Then repeat Every previuos cycle - 2015, 2018, 2022 - confirmed every time without exception We're on day 252 of the current bear. That means we could expect reversal around 110 days out Most of CT is debating macro and waiting for a catalyst - completely missing the one pattern that has called every cycle The 1,064-day bull that follows is where the real move happens - not in the recovery tweet you see after it's already up 40% This is basically the simplest model in crypto with perfect track record - three cycles, zero misses As for me, everything below $59k is worth DCA'ing, but Q4 is the window I'm building for Everything between now and then is positioning, not panic Don't say you weren't warned later
$BTC
CYCLE CLOCK HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG Bear: 365 days Bull: 1,064 days Then repeat Every previuos cycle - 2015, 2018, 2022 - confirmed every time without exception We're on day 252 of the current bear. That means we could expect reversal around 110 days out Most of CT is debating macro and waiting for a catalyst - completely missing the one pattern that has called every cycle The 1,064-day bull that follows is where the real move happens - not in the recovery tweet you see after it's already up 40% This is basically the simplest model in crypto with perfect track record - three cycles, zero misses As for me, everything below $59k is worth DCA'ing, but Q4 is the window I'm building for Everything between now and then is positioning, not panic Don't say you weren't warned later
π¨ $BTC CYCLE CLOCK HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG
Bear: 365 days
Bull: 1,064 days
Then repeat
Every previuos cycle - 2015, 2018, 2022 - confirmed every time without exception
We're on day 252 of the current bear. That means we could expect reversal around 110 days out
Most of CT is debating macro and waiting for a catalyst - completely missing the one pattern that has called every cycle
The 1,064-day bull that follows is where the real move happens - not in the recovery tweet you see after it's already up 40%
This is basically the simplest model in crypto with perfect track record - three cycles, zero misses
As for me, everything below $59k is worth DCA'ing, but Q4 is the window I'm building for
Everything between now and then is positioning, not panic
Don't say you weren't warned later
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!
π¨ $BTC CYCLE CLOCK HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG
Bear: 365 days
Bull: 1,064 days
Then repeat
Every previuos cycle - 2015, 2018, 2022 - confirmed every time without exception
We're on day 252 of the current bear. That means we could expect reversal around 110 days out
Most of CT is debating macro and waiting for a catalyst - completely missing the one pattern that has called every cycle
The 1,064-day bull that follows is where the real move happens - not in the recovery tweet you see after it's already up 40%
This is basically the simplest model in crypto with perfect track record - three cycles, zero misses
As for me, everything below $59k is worth DCA'ing, but Q4 is the window I'm building for
Everything between now and then is positioning, not panic
Don't say you weren't warned later
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!
im probs gonna get a fair bit of back lash for this take, but im gonna say it anyway.
the amount of ppl out there that genuinely believe $sol is paying ppl to shill it feels like disbelief in real time.
chart for future reference.
This is manipulation mixed with 4-year cycle.
Since the October 10th crash, the biggest liquidation event in crypto history which wiped out $19 billion in 24 hours, Bitcoin has not been the same.
After that, Bitcoin crashed -54% from $126K to $58K with no real bounce like we saw in 2018 and 2022 bear markets.
We saw a nonstop dump in Bitcoin and this cycle ended with no altseason at all.
The weird thing is, since the Oct 10th NASDAQ is up 28%, reaching a new ATH of 30,764, with many stocks hitting new all-time highs.
Historically Bitcoin correlates with the US stock market, but this time almost every pump gets sold off.
Bitcoin followed and recovered with stocks even during the 2025 tariff crash, but recently it has massively diverged since the October 2025 crash, and we continue to see hundreds of millions in liquidations every other day.
I think the 4-year cycle is still intact and the crash to the bottom feels aggressive due to leverage manipulation and algo trading by big firms like Jane, which makes money from arbitrage volatility rather than price going up.
Do you think there is manipulation involved or market is following 4 year cycle ?
π¨ SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS HAPPENING RIGHT NOW...
$MSTR DOWN 81%. $94 BILLION GONE. $STRC BROKE ITS PEG.
The BIGGEST crypto treasury is collapsing in real time.
MSTR built its entire identity around one idea:
"Buy Bitcoin. Keep buying Bitcoin."
At ATH it worked. MSTR went parabolic. Saylor became a prophet.
Every corporate finance department started asking if they should do the same thing.
Now over $94 billion in market cap is gone.
-81% from ATH. Not a correction. Not a drawdown.
A near-total destruction of a company whose only real asset is Bitcoin, which is also falling.
But this is just the beginning...
STRC just made the situation much worse.
This stock was designed to hold a $100 peg.
Now it's trading at $75. All-time low.
The leverage is unwinding now:
- MSTR didn't just buy Bitcoin.
- It borrowed to buy Bitcoin.
- Issued convertible notes.
- Raised capital through ATM offerings.
- Built a structure that works beautifully when Bitcoin goes up and becomes catastrophic when it goes down.
Forced selling isn't a risk anymore. It's a process that's already in motion.
When a leveraged buyer starts unwinding, $BTC doesn't lose a buyer.
It gains a HUGE seller.
A large, motivated, involuntary seller with a fixed schedule determined by margin requirements.
This is contagion, starting at the edges, moving toward the center.
MSTR was the loudest voice telling the world that Bitcoin was the ultimate treasury asset.
The balance sheet that proved the thesis.
$94 BILLION gone and it says something different.
The bubble is cracking.
Gold and silver lost $12 trillion.
SpaceX unlocks are coming soon.
And now the crypto treasury trade, the last narrative holding Bitcoin's institutional bid together, is falling apart at 81% down.
There is no corner of this market that isn't under pressure simultaneously.
This sounds SCARY, but I will keep you updated on everything here.
When I rotate money, I will post my moves here so my FOLLOWERS can SAVE their money.
Follow me and turn NOTIFICATIONS ON, as I will share my strategy soon.
Many will regret not following me earlier...
I warned about the $82K trap and the $67K fake bounce.
This dump was also predicted perfectly.
Now Bitcoin might attempt a relief rally to $62K before going deeper.
Here's how I see the path from here:
$59K β $57K β $62K
$62K β $55K β $47K
$47K β $75K β $180K
$47K zone will be the cycle bottom.
After that the next bull market starts.
Remember, I've called every major turn for the last 10 years, including short BTC from $111K in October.
You don't want to miss my next call.
Turn on notifications. Most people will follow me too late.