Jean Surette

J'aime : vinyle, drums, Tolkien, café. I'm here for the politics, but mostly for the intelligent snark. my band: Settler.

[Daniel Mahncke @MnkeDaniel]

12 Biases that distort your Decision-Making:

1. Confirmation Bias - We interpret new information as confirmation of our existing beliefs.

2. Availability Bias - We tend to rely on information that comes to our mind easily/the quickest.

3. Action Bias - We favor action over inaction. That's why we sell or buy prematurely.

4. Zero-Risk Bias - If a risk is considered small, we assume there is no risk at all.

5. Overconfidence - We overestimate our own knowledge and ability.

Often because we know too little to know better. (Less knowledge => more confidence)

6. Survivorship Bias - This is a sample bias that occurs when we assess only successful outcomes and disregard failures.

7. Gambler’s Fallacy - We tend to think that past events affect future possibilities.

8. Dunning-Kruger Effect - The less you know, the more confident you are.

The more you know, the less confident you are.

9. Cause-Effect Fallacy - We always look for cause-effect relationships.

Thus, we find patterns even in totally random data.

10. Hyperbolic Discounting - We are wired to prefer instant gratification (e.g. payouts).

Even when offered significantly more in the future.

11. False Consensus Effect - Too often, we overestimate the degree to which others agree with us.

12. Psychological Denial - When something terrible happens, we tend to fall into a state of denial.

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

@RayDoesData I’m thinking the middle of the Moncton/Dieppe traffic circle. No need for security… no one could ever get out.

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

@ofMenegroth This could be a certain bearded Maia doing some research on a certain piece of jewelry in the archives of a certain Tower of watch. Wonderful as always.

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

@TorrensJonathan And doing very well ;)

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

@TorrensJonathan Near the river that bends like a bow

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

Happy Bantha Fodder's Day

#StarWars

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

Person : “No politician would choose to die on that hill”

B. McShouty: “Hold my beer”

#nbpoli

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

@ThatEricAlper A skill needed to : make mixed tapes and cueing a song for radio when you have less than ten seconds before the one playing ends.

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

@atRachelGilmore Hehe… that is a great screen cap 😏

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

Sooo he can only move one square at a time in all directions and she is the same but can move further.

[Vinny Thomas @vinn_ayy]

at least put a hand on a hip or something damn giving us nothing!!

[East Coast Music Association @ecmaofficial]

Congratulations to @mylesdavid on his win for Solo Recording of the Year, presented by @TheGingerAgency, for It's Only A Little Loneliness! #ECMA35

[East Coast Music Association @ecmaofficial]

Congratulations to Heidi-Lyn O'Connor on her win for Media Person of the Year, presented by @pattisonoutdoor! #ECMA35

[East Coast Music Association @ecmaofficial]

Congratulations to @HFXJazzFest on their win for Event of the Year, presented by @Ticketpro_Ca! #ECMA35

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

@vivbastarache L’article de Joël Robichaud de l’AN de la semaine passée donne du insight intéressant par rapport à l’histoire du nom.
J’agree : U. de l’Acadie n’est pas un bon nom pour toute sorte de raisons.

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

@TolkienWonder Yikes… i need to re read before posting… geez.

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

@TolkienWonder There are quite a few, but the lore of these scenes get me ever time:
- when Elrond talks about the swords
- when Gandlf goes to the tomb of the Witch King.

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

Mr. Tweet is my name. That name again is Mr. Tweet

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Changed my name to Mr. Tweet, now Twitter won’t let me change it back 🤣

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

Jan 24: Nowhere Man

#SongsInMyHeadWhenIWake

[Jean Surette @JeanSurette]

@TheFwordNB *takes notes*
*thinks for a minute*
...

twitter is hard.