Since 2017 Bitcoin dropped 50% five times, excluding the current drop from October 2025
On the table below, you can see the average % gain of counter rallies during these sell-offs: about 40%
On the current counter rally Bitcoin increased 32% since marking a local low in February, with continuously decreasing volume.
No, we are not back.
On today’s update I explained the 2 main trade setups I am looking at this week
One is playing out right now
Watch if you have missed and subscribe if you like what you see
https://t.co/DjNwah53SM
"Dark fleets" have been a known thing since the beginning of the war, but satellites can't see ship names and flags.
This report confirmed that the "dark fleet" is indeed existing and ships do pass through the Straight daily.
The report also points out that there is a 50% under reporting on the number of ships passing, which basically means almost double traffic than accounted for by most experts.
Even if so, traffic through the straight is still 10-15% of pre-war levels.
This information does change my thesis re long oil. If there is no escalation today, delay by Trump again or a potential deal, that is most likely the top for oil.
If there is no deal, and continued escalations, the push towards $125 - $150 oil will be a potential great entry for a generational oil short.
By longing oil, you are longing the asset at historic highs, that every single country wants lower. It was the play til now. Might have changed.
Trading plan for today and this weekend
Don’t believe headlines
Don’t believe the pump
Max short Bitcoin when the time is right
Max long oil when the time is right
The S&P500 just printed a weekly market structure shift, a textbook reversal pattern.
Last 4 times this happened the index dropped 30-50%.
The S&P is going sub $6.000, potentially sub $5.000
It's happening. Buckle up.
A bounce is coming, sooner than you think — here is why...
The discrepancy between these two charts tells you everything you need to know
The weekly TOTAL Crypto Market Cap chart is going into a very strong weekly demand zone
This demand zone was formed in April 2025 and has added $2T to the crypto market cap.
This is a very clear retrace and a high probability textbook long setup on a high timeframe chart
The Bitcoin weekly chart had a similar setup, yet failed to hold the bottom of the weekly demand zone, the level that took Bitcoin from $73K to ATH.
Based on my experience, this is nothing else but a trap for retail traders to analyse bitcoin, panic sell on a weekly break, then buy back on the complacency bounce that's coming just to be flushed yet again.
This was the 4h bottom formation of the TOTAL Market Cap in April 2025:
Overlaying this bottom formation to the current chart, it becomes clear what to look for to time the beginning of the complacency bounce:
Don't f**k this up.
🔮 Today, the daily update video on the 100XClub YouTube channel (link below) was titled “THIS BITCOIN MOVE WILL TRICK YOU”
I explained EXACTLY what will happen to Bitcoin and why the vicious up move will be sold off and trick you…
Once the move happened, I shared my exact short trade setups in the community on the telegram - banking massive profits within hours.
Subscribe to the channel and join the Telegram, it’s free, it’s worth it.
Links below
Dear @TeamYouTube , @YouTube@YouTubeCreators !
We just got a warning on one of our YT channels.
Once again we have no idea why.
To a make matter worse, the warning came when @FefeDemeny made a video on this channel.
You will recall that @FefeDemeny had his channel striked last week and eventually managed to get it back!
There is clearly an issue with your system that is flagging or targeting his videos.
I have reviewed the video and there is no "harmful or dangerous content".
We have appealed and the appeal has been rejected!!!
And yet again, a falsely given warning
This is the 3rd false warning I received besides the 1 channel take down - all mistakenly.
I genuinely have not been stressed like this for the past decade
I wake up every morning and check if my channel is still there, and assure my team they still have a job…
Sickening
@YouTubeCreators@YouTube@TeamYouTube@nealmohan
Please, talk to us, let’s work together to make the YouTube a better and safer place for content creators