Jef

come this far, not changing course

[Jef @JefHall6]

@ChrisWi78794750 @DougPolkVids pick another person quick!

[Jef @JefHall6]

@blitzology

[ClubWPT Gold @ClubWPTGold]

🚨GOLD MILLION GIVEAWAY🚨

The Gold Million is tomorrow at 12:30PM PT!! One Day 1,000,000 🔥

We are giving away 3 tickets to it 🎟️

All you need to do to enter is RT this post and tag a friend in the replies

[Jef @JefHall6]

Jef6

[Doug Polk (Code Doug) @DougPolkVids]

🚨FLASH GIVEAWAY

There's 1 hour of late registration left in the WPT Prime event on @clubwptgold. This is the last flight.

1.5 million GTD. 1,100 chip buy-in.

I'm giving away 1 ticket to someone who retweets/likes this + drops their username below.

Picking the winner in ~30 minutes. This will happen fast. Gogogo.

[bloody final girl @bl00dyfinalgirl]

Curry Barker you sly dog 😮‍💨
I love that I continue to discover new things about Obsession that were right in my face

[Heather Alcorn @alcorn_heather]

The people are angry @jeffplatt @WSOP @HorseshoeVegas

[SpaceX @SpaceX]

Watch Falcon 9 launch 21 @Starlink satellites and two Starshield satellites to orbit from California https://t.co/avWeJ29C7p

[Tiffany Fong @TiffanyFong]

some fish for a fish head

[Warner Bros. Discovery Sports Europe @WBDsports]

♠️ Warner Bros. Discovery and @WSOP agree multi-year broadcast deal

👉 https://t.co/yOsgSn3pvG

[Gary Black @garyblack00]

Amazing game tonight! Knicks 2-0 and now headed to New York for the next two games. 1973 was last time Knicks won the NBA championship.

[Hustler Casino Live @HCLPokerShow]

🚨 HIGH STAKES LIVE 🚨
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🎙️@BuffaloHanks & @Mister_Keating

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[Brett Erickson @BrettErickson28]

Today, I will be providing and examining four timelines from four separate sources on the timeline until Iran is forced to shut-in their oil wells. Each source has very different viewpoints... but one clear timeline.

We'll start with myself. I have been a very vocal counterweight to the infamous 13 day timeline. This will not come as a shock to you. However, the reality is... at least on this? I've been right. A broken clock...

Per my own assessment, I have set forth the following estimate:
Current Length of Blockade: 26 Days
Available On Shore Storage: 5-15 Days
Total Tanker Storage: 21-35 Days
Additional Extension via Trucking, Un-Mothballing, Rail (Conservatively): 7 Days
Total BEST CASE Estimated Timeline: 57-81 Days

Now, lets examine the timeline of Miad Maleki from Foundation For Defense of Democracies, which was what he put forth to Fox News during a recent Bret Baier Special Report. It will come as no surprise that Miad and I have heavily disagreed on this exact topic, which is why I find including his updated assessment to be particularly damning:

"Iran has about 13 days worth of storage onshore available, and they have around 15-18 tankers in the Persian Gulf that will take about 30-45 days to fill up."

This statement was delivered to Fox News from Miad on May 4th. I have updated the timeline to reflect today, May 9th:

Current Length of Blockade: 26 Days
Available On Shore Storage: 10 Days
Available Tanker Storage: 27-42 Days
Total Timeline: 64-79 Days

Again, it should be reiterated that my timeline, published on May 2nd, falls almost perfectly in line with Miad's delivered on May 4th. 57-81 days, 64-79 days.
Total timeline from today:
Myself: 31-55 days
Miad: 38-53 days

Lastly, I want to present reporting from @farnazfassihi at The New York Times, which cites two sources: Homayoun Falakshahi, Head of Oil Analysis at Kpler, and an anonymous Iranian oil official.

Per reporting from Farnaz, Falakshahi assesses a timeline of 25-30 days from May 6th. Updated for today, that is a remaining timeline of 22-27 days. This is the most aggressively optimistic of the four.

The unnamed Iranian oil official puts the remaining timeline at 40-45 days. Updated for today, 37-42 days.

Taken together, the timelines are as follows:
Kpler: 22-27 Days Remaining
Brett Erickson: 31-55 Days Remaining
Miad Maleki: 38-53 Days Remaining
Iranian Oil Official: 37-42 Days Remaining
Average between the four: 32-44 Days Remaining
Total Average Projected Timeline from Blockade Imposition to Shut-In: 58-70 Days
(... I did pretty good)

I will add this one last, and very large caveat: Iran still has substantial options to further extend this timeline. Dumping oil, burning oil, mass-infiltrating the blockade, and other creative measures that desperate times call for as this timeline begins to lessen. With that said... Iran has twice shut-in previously in 2012 and 2019, and did so without "exploding their oil infrastructure".

[Brett Erickson @BrettErickson28]

What IS an accurate timeline until oil well shut-ins occur in Iran? You can read my own analysis and projection, and compare it with 3 other individuals in this post. Average remaining timeline (optimistically) between each of us, updated for current date? 22-34 Days.

Pessimistically? 60+ Days.

Total Timeline from Blockade Imposition to Shut-ins? 58 to >100 Days.

[Stella X @Stellaaa]

🆘 LOS ANGELES LISTEN UP 🆘

Okay I’ve had enough.

If they don’t knock off this blatant attempt at election THEFT from @spencerpratt and wrap up this ridiculous never ending sham “count” by 3pm Fri June 5 then I will be heading to CITY HALL in DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES by 4pm to PEACEFULLY PROTEST out front (in my Pratt gear) to make my feelings about this clown election CRYSTAL clear.

And I’d like to INVITE ALL OF YOU to join me.

Los Angeles is OUR city and OUR election and I’ll be damned if they get away with cheating AGAIN.

Spread the word if you’re ready to take our city back LA!

Address:
LA City Hall
200 N Spring St
Los Angeles, CA 90012

[Secretary Marco Rubio @SecRubio]

For decades, Cuba has been the world capital for radical left-wing terrorism. The regime in Havana has recruited, trained and backed violent Marxist and third-worldist movements across our hemisphere and beyond. Today, we are targeting the network that enables and funds Cuba's subversive and radical operations.

Pursuant to sanctions authorities created by President Trump’s groundbreaking Cuba Executive Order, I am designating the following entities:

1. Ministry of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Cuba (MINFAR)
2. Cuban Institute of Friendship with the Peoples (ICAP)
3. Amistur Cuba S.A.
4. Committees for the Defense of the Revolution (CDR)
5. Minera La Victoria S.A.

Anyone providing services to these sanctioned actors is at risk of sanctions themselves. Foreign banks and other companies that provide services to these entities should freeze those activities.

The Trump Administration will no longer tolerate radical Marxist regimes in our hemisphere seeking to threaten U.S. national security and engage in influence operations to export their poisonous and evil “revolution” to our country and around the world.

[lola @ClNEMANYA]

She just wanted to go home and sleep btw

[ESPN @espn]

THE CANES STORM BACK AND TAKE GAME 2 IN OT 🔥🌀

#StanleyCup

[World Poker Tour @WPT]

is everything okay over there??

[Jef @JefHall6]

https://t.co/xGuK7AF2XC