@NilesGApol Easily Maine. The dem primary was a decently nasty fight up until mills dropped out. Then Planter has a scandal, and another shit show primary happens
@NC_Patri0t Literally the ONLY reason Canada exists is because we're nice enough to allow them to. They don't provide us anything, they aren't a strategic ally, they aren't a buffer state, they aren't a protectorate of a strong enemy, and they aren't strong themselves
@NC_Patri0t When you make maps, in states with large cities/metro areas, do you ever take into account partisanship? I can never decide if I should, say, intentionally make a second red district in southern Brooklyn or just go in blind
this is a scheduled tweet from exactly one year ago, my predictions on november 5 2023. this may not make any sense one year from now but for the moment its a decent expectation.
@JackJ92860@davidslosttt 1. Assuming it's a D+4 year is doing a lot of heavy lifting. The polls, which notoriously overestimate dems, especially in the summer, have it at like D+6
2. The country as a whole doesn't uniformly shift by the same amount, look at 2022
3. I use +10 as the cutoff for likely