The primary reason for CSU's somewhat below-normal Atlantic #hurricane season forecast is a high likelihood for a robust #ElNino. El Nino typically decreases Atlantic hurricane activity via increases in Caribbean/tropical Atlantic vertical wind shear.
The Caribbean is slightly warmer than normal, while the eastern and central tropical Atlantic are slightly cooler than normal. This pattern of Atlantic sea surface temperatures provides mixed signals regarding the potential for an above- or below-normal Atlantic #hurricane season
CSU's four analogs for the 2026 Atlantic seasonal #hurricane forecast are: 2006, 2009, 2015 and 2023. Analogs are selected based on robust #ElNino and above-normal sea surface temperatures during August-October.
CSU's April 2026 seasonal #hurricane forecast press release has been translated into Spanish:
https://t.co/vNZZrsK8AV
Thanks to @Delian_wx and @NicholasAMesa1
for the translation!
The signal for a robust El Niño for the peak of Atlantic #hurricane season (Aug-Oct) continues to grow. El Niño typically reduces Atlantic hurricane activity via increases in vertical wind shear. We'll have lots more to say with CSU's initial 2026 hurricane forecast on 9 April
Two of our very own CSU researchers just made their @60Minutes debut with @AndersonCooper — and then sat down to tell us everything on today’s episode of The Next 150 podcast!
🎙️ Watch here: https://t.co/EEWw6nDZyL
Dogs may be more than man's best friend. They could help scientists unlock treatments for age-related diseases. Researchers studying how dogs age hope their discoveries could lead to longer, healthier lives for both dogs and humans. 60 Minutes, Sunday.
CSU has released its Atlantic seasonal #hurricane forecast verification. 2025 was an above-normal season per NOAA, but with an unusual distribution of storms (e.g., fewer storms but more strong hurricanes) than typically expected given overall activity:
https://t.co/HAcQtg35cj
#Melissa's pressure is down to 903 mb - the 7th lowest for an Atlantic #hurricane since pressure consistently recorded in 1979. Here are top six:
Wilma (2005): 882 mb
Gilbert (1988): 888 mb
Milton (2024): 895 mb
Rita (2005): 895 mb
Allen (1980): 899 mb
Katrina (2005): 902 mb
So far, the 2025 Atlantic #hurricane season is above normal for major hurricanes/days, near-normal for Accumulated Cyclone Energy and named storms, and slightly below-normal for other metrics.
#Hurricane#Melissa's pressure has dropped to 892 mb. That's tied with the Florida Keys Hurricane of 1935 for the 3rd lowest pressure for an Atlantic hurricane on record. Only Wilma (2005) - 882 mb and Gilbert (1988) - 888 mb have been lower. Lower pressure = stronger hurricane.
#Hurricane#Melissa currently has max winds of 185 mph as it approaches the Jamaican coast. The last Atlantic hurricane landfall with 185 mph winds was Dorian on Abaco Island in The Bahamas in 2019.
https://t.co/KhxD2KzqPv
#Hurricane#Melissa has made landfall in Jamaica with max winds of 185 mph - the strongest Atlantic hurricane landfall since Dorian (2019). Dorian also made landfall with 185 mph winds when it hit Abaco Island in The Bahamas.
https://t.co/KhxD2KySZX
#Hurricane#Melissa has made landfall in Jamaica as a Category 5 hurricane with max winds of 185 mph. Melissa breaks the old strongest Jamaican hurricane landfall record set by Hurricane Gilbert in 1988 (130 mph winds).
#Melissa has rapidly intensified into a Category 3 #hurricane - the 4th major (Cat 3+) hurricane of the 2025 season and the 3rd major hurricane since 22 Sep. 2025 is tied with 1941 and 2024 for the most Atlantic major hurricane formations (3) between 22 Sep. - 25 Oct. on record.
Big thanks to the @DenverChannel for having the Spirit team and me on live this morning from Old Town — we had a blast! See you all at the @CSUFootball game tonight!
Subtropical Storm #Karen has formed in northeast Atlantic - the 11th named storm of 2025 Atlantic #hurricane season and the 5th to form since 17 September. Since 1970, 7 seasons have had 5+ named storm formations between 17 Sep - 9 Oct: 1998, 2000, 2005, 2020, 2021, 2024, 2025.
#Humberto is now a Cat. 5 #hurricane - the 2nd of the 2025 Atlantic season (Erin was the other). Four other years on record have had 2+ Atlantic Cat. 5 hurricanes by 27 September: 1933, 2005, 2007, 2017.