Jeremy Ross

Husband, father of 2 girls, bartender on the Vegas Strip,all around fun guy. Work hard, play hard mentality.Opinions are all mine.Follow my shenanigans online!

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

Mark my words... they will have her win in November. She is the candidate they want in the Mayor's office, just like the commie mayor in New York.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

Read the comment - pure gold. Rarely do you get so many large accounts in complete agreement.

Something is fishy with the post election results. Statistically it's almost impossible for the votes to only break for one of the three candidates like it has. It smells like fraud.

[Spencer Pratt @spencerpratt]

"A net swing of more than 43,000 votes since Tuesday.."

43,000, huh? Where have I seen that number before...?

Probably nothing. 🤷

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

I mean, this is totally normal for only 1 candidate to get the lionshare of the votes post election day... just enough to pass Pratt. Totally normal..... 🙄🙄🙄🙄🙄

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

https://t.co/g9fZaglbTe
Banger right here....

[XHabib @XHabib]

I got the exclusive scoop inside one of the balloting centers for LA’s Mayor election

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

78lbs of ice to start off with... Jered is bringing more. I'm having tacos catered as I don't feel like cooking for 3 hours today... it I did make ceviche as I can't not make something. The pool is heated to 85F, as Kristin won't go in the pool unless it's at Cabo or Hawaii temps.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

Today is the big day, my once a year pool party at the house. I spent all day yesterday cleaning and running errands. I have a few more hours of prep work, then it's party time! Weather should be good, a seasonal 100F, light breezes.
#vegaslocals

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

Well then, what is your take on this issue? Do you consider a falling TFR an issue or not? And if you think it is an issue, what is your solution to address this issue in the USA that doesn't include importing the whole third world. If your answer is immigration, legal, or illegal, you don't need to answer as I don't consider those to be valid answers.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

I have been thinking about the ongoing crisis regarding the total fertility rate in western counties, but primarily thinking about the USA's rate of 1.62 as of last year. Anything under 2.11 will produce a declining population over time, as long as no new immigration is allowed into the country. Governments have tried various plans to help couples have kids, and really nothing has worked, as the TFR in most second and first world countries are under the replacement rate and falling. My idea, my work around this sub replacement fertility crisis is to focus societies energy on couples who have already have two kids and want more, but can't have more due to what I have dubbed - the "Big Family Barrier". The barrier is at two kids. Everything becomes much more expensive to have three to six kids. The barrier can be overcome by money. And I really don't want the government to get involved, as most things ".gov" touches turns to shit. The money needs to come from families or organized religion. The three pillars of the big family barrier are:
Housing
Transportation
Daycare
Here is how we solve the problems. A short essay.

First off is housing. The American starter home is a three bedroom, 2 bath home, somewhere between 1100~1800 sqft. In this thought experiment, the couple already owns the home and has two kids. This is already difficult for many young couples as getting into their first home is expensive. But that's another issue for another post. Couples could have three or four kids in this house and have bunk beds, but most couples in 2026 want each kid to have their own room. The price point between a 3/2BDBA house and a 5/3BDBA house is almost double in cost. Most couples can not afford to get the bigger house on their own, and stop having kids at that point. The whole point of supporting families that want to have more kids is that these couples need to have a high enough kid count to offset the couples that have zero or one kid. This is where the extended family needs to come in and give the young couple the down payment to buy the bigger house. There has been studies done where its been shown that giving couples in their 20s 100K for their inheritance is vastly more important to having large families than 400K when they are in their 50s when their parent die.

Transportation is the second barrier. Most vehicles sold today fit 2 adults and 2 car seats. The days of the station wagons in the 1970s are over. The minivan is still around, even though its not as popular like the 90s. In 2026, the most popular vehicle for the "soccer mom" is the crossover SUV, which seats 2+2. One again, there is a cost issue in getting a larger vehicle to haul all the kids around in. The transportation barrier has a lower cost to fix versus housing, but their still is a barrier.

A baseline Honda civic costs 25K, while a Toyota minivan starts at 42K, and a Chevy Suburban starts at 68K. I'm not sure if saddling young couples with a $1000+ a month vehicle payment for 72 to 84 months is the way to go here. Financial hep from the family can overcome this hurdle.

Lastly is the daycare issue. This is probably the most controversial of the three as it revolves around if the mother continues to work or not when the kids are between 6 months and kindergarten. When I had my kids in daycare, it ran $1000 per kid per month. Depending on the spacing of the children, you could have up to three kids in daycare at a time. My thoughts on this revolves around if the wife has a job or a career. A job is something that you can leave for 6 to 10 years, and then just fall right back into versus a career is something that will be forever altered if you leave the workforce. Also, in 2026, many wives are the breadwinner of the family, and they have to continue to work.

There is no correct answer here. If the extended family can watch the kids instead of paying for daycare, that helps out immensely. But not all families have that option. It becomes almost pointless for the wife to work if the money that she makes doesn't even cover the daycare cost, or she makes barely more. If the extended family can financially help the young couple and allow the wife to stay home, that is awesome, but most families do not have that sort of extra money.

That's it. Combined, this three areas are the roadblock to having lots of children. Unfortunately, only a small percentage of husbands make enough money to be able to slice through the barriers alone. Especially in 2026, where society has put such a premium on women in the workforce, and have diminished the roles of males in both the labor market and society in general. We need to reward couples who want to have big families and lots of kids. That should be priority #1 for society moving forward.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

Not an expectation that family should help out other family members, even though this was the norm going back 1000s of years. Having multi-gen families living together was normal for a long period of time, and still is normal in many countries today. But if family members can help, they should. Most families don't think about things like family legacy, or what sort of world they want to leave their kids. Wealthy people think this way though. You can't take your money to the grave.

My wife and I didn't receive any help, and were able to do things on our own. If we had gotten help, we might of been able to have a third child. Under our current set up in the USA, only the top earners can have large families, or the bottom 20% of society via welfare, and that's the group that should have the least amount of kids. The middle class, the backbone of our country, gets the shaft and has the least amount of kids.

Also, the original post was about the falling birthrate and ways of resolving this problem without importing the whole third world to the USA. You will get a better ROI by giving people money to have kids who want more kids, then trying to get women who do not want kids to have kids. You might as well light the money on fire than try to get feminists to have kids.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

This analogy isn't correct though. Imagine that Walmart catered to all types of people. It has the normal Walmart stuff, then the higher end stuff. They might sell $100K watches, or Lambo's in there, or have a NOBU restaurant inside along side the McDonald's.

Walmart at this point is going to cater to the higher end shoppers as they {Walmart} can have a higher profit margin on the more expensive items. They might give the best shoppers coupons that the low roller shoppers don't get, or free food, or allow them special shopping hours, or free parking while the rest of the shoppers have to pay for parking. If they lose a few of the bottom end shoppers, it doesn't really move the bottom line as much as if they lose the few big time shopper, so they focus on the big time shoppers.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

I have stated that things have been about 15% slower/lower tips since April of 2025, at least at my property. The guests that we do get gamble more. The casinos always love 100% occupancy in the rooms, but the gaming revenue is the most important bottom line number, even more so than room occupancy, or average room rate price. The higher airfare and gas prices will put enough squeeze on the "low roller" #vegas tourists that they will not come... but in reality, the casino really doesn't need the marginal low roller guests as much as the they need high rollers. One high value player is worth 500 low rollers. And as long as the high rollers continue to lose money, the casinos continue to make money.

[Mark wayman @GodfatherWaym]

Las Vegas Casinos Win $689.4 Million in April Despite Drop in Visitors – April was 5% higher than April 2025, and brings year-to-date casino win to $5.3 billion, 2.7% richer than the first four months a year ago.

People are always going to drink and gamble.

https://t.co/RIj7qUiwcm

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

I don't use any pesticides, and try to use organic fertilizer, even though I have a bunch of regular fertilizer that I got for free. I do add my left over coffee grounds from the coffee machine as a PH reducer as the water from #Lakemead is super hard, and the PH builds up over time.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

Some of the Anna Apples are done today. #urbangardener. The apples are 75% grocery store size - not bad for growing in our desert environment.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

@grahaminvegas Nobody wants to deal with the bottom 20% of society. They can stay home for all I care. The top 80% can continue to visit.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

The census is a federal level count, and uses federal employees, mostly temporary. The screening for the new hires needs to be robust to make sure that the process is done both fairly and accurately.

On your second point, I believe more right leaning people are leaving the blue states than left. You saw this effect in Nevada with the last election cycle in 2024, with the state moving back into a solid purple color than the almost blue that we had in 2020. I believe that trend will continue for the rest of the decade as Las Vegas absorbs more retires from blue states.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

This info-graph only goes to 2023, but the exodus of people moving from blue states to red states continues. Covid-19, and the remote working byproduct of the lock downs helped accelerate this process. And as the rest of the boomers retire, they will continue to leave blue states and their high property taxes, and move to red states that have low property taxes. The 2030 census is going to be brutal to the democrats... they have lost too many people, and will lose seats in the house of reps.

[Smirkley @Smirkley]

There is far less friction in moving between states than in moving between countries. Blue states do not operate in a vacuum.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

@BruceLeeVegas00 The list of poor policies than Democrat cities push is very long. Siding with the criminals, and punishing the good citizens is a recipe for good people to leave and seek better areas to live in.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

Anyone in the extended family can help out if they can afford it. What's so ironic is that many parents who can afford to help their children do not, and then write articles in the New York Times talking about the grief of never becoming a grandparent.

Young couples trying to have a family , especially a large family, as this post was about large families, is much harder than in the past. Life was on easy mode back in the days... it's on hard mode now, especially for young men.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

@ktenin I did too. I thought I left a card in the machine.

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

The 10x tier Caesars Rewards event ends later tonight. I played a few times earlier this week, as I needed 8200 points to get to Diamond. On a 10x event, I needed 820 points; with a $10 per 1 tier ratio for bar-top VP, I needed to cycle $8200 into the machines to reach my goal. I broke it down into 2 different days, and got 385 on day, and 440 on the other day.

Using the "Tier Max" Strategy, you play roulette, with the goal of getting the maximum amount of pushes, while avoiding the 0/00 as they are the losing hands. Since there are 38 numbers and two zeros, the odds of getting a zero is 1 out of 19, or 5.263% . This gives a RTP of 94.737%. I have seen tens of thousands of spins, and the 5% loss number is real. Unlike playing video poker, with has a very high volatility, the tier max roulette has almost none. Its a controlled burn. The variance is at most 1~3%. Sometimes you know when the zeros are about to show up, so if you bet them them and they hit, it pushes the RTP higher. I lost $400 to get 820 tier, so I slightly over-performed overall, with the second day the better of the two days as I used $200 each session.

So I'm covered for Diamond for all of 2027 now. I don't know if I'm going to play for D+ for next year. I really don't use the free drinks for more than taking home Perrier's, since my alcohol drinks are comped when I play. To play up to D+ would be another $500 in guaranteed losses, so I'm not sure if the juice is worth the squeeze. Especially if Mr. Caesar doesn't give me back my locals offers. I have until the next 10x tier event to decide, which will be at the end of August.

I am planning on playing at The Virgin moving forward as they are offering the best comps and game odds for locals. I have to take advantage of the best deals.
#vegas #vegaslocals

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

I don't consider my views to be "far-right" or alt-right, or whatever the lefties say I am. My views are just what everyone else had when I graduated high school in 1995. My views now may have been even considered moderate democrat, or blue-dog democrat in 1995. Unless you move constantly left year after year along with the rest of the "far-left ( AKA. the commies), they will call you mean names and try to put you on lists. Just ignore them - the words are becoming increasingly meaningless.

[The Rabbit Hole @TheRabbitHole]

Far right is often just a propaganda term for normal person

[Jeremy Ross @JeremyRoss77]

I'm not surprised by this. The Bazaar shops outside of the Horseshoe is a remaining vestige of when both MGM and Caesars went crazy into the 3rd party vendor/lease everything phase from 2009~2020. Both companies wanted to just be landlords and collect rent from third party vendors, and leased out floor space, or in the case of the Bazaar shops, did a land-lease to a third party, who then built on the land, and charges rent to the vendors. Caesars just collects a monthly rent check from the land-builder who built the Bazaar shops.

Over time, both companies realized they make more money owning the venues or doing shared profit leasing than being a landlord, and stopped renewing leases and took over many spots. It worked out good for both companies as the 3rd party vendor spent the money on capital improvements building the venues, only for the companies to not renew the leases and get free built out venues. For the Bazaar shops, I believe {don't quote me} they signed a 20 year lease, so Caesars must be buying out the rest of the lease. As the leases for the shops expire, they will not renew them, and eventually build other stuff there. I can't see Tilman Fertitta allowing restaurants that he doesn't own to continue to operate in his future version of Caesars.

It will suck as the small restaurants outside are a good deal for tight budget tourist, and especially for the #WSOP players who want both cheap and fast food as they are always in a rush due to tight break windows playing in the tournaments. I agree to disagree with Scott here as I do like several of the food spots outside. The non-food spots can all go away. None of them are important. I hope Tilman can at least keep a a row of the best vendors outside and not get rid of all of them. I wouldn't be sad if Walburgers left. The rest can stay. #Vegas

[Vital Vegas @VitalVegas]

Great news: Caesars is poised to buy out the flea market operator and kill off Grand Bazaar Shops. Ole Red and Bottled Blonde stay, but other leases won’t be renewed. Along with Drai’s closing and the ousting of timeshare hawkers, great moves to improve the Vegas experience.