Jess Manville

Mancunian based in Tel Aviv | Policy Advisor @InstituteGC on Israeli-Palestinian file

[Nickolay E. MLADENOV @nmladenov]

Point 1: Commitment to #UNSC Resolution 2803 and the Comprehensive Plan

What this means: This point defines the purpose of the entire process. The objective is not simply to preserve a ceasefire. It is to move Gaza out of a permanent cycle of war and humanitarian collapse toward recovery, reconstruction and Palestinian self-governance. It is built around restoring civilian life, rebuilding Gaza’s economy and institutions, and creating a credible pathway toward Palestinian self-determination and statehood.
Palestinians are entitled to know where this process is meant to lead. (2/16)

[Anshel Pfeffer אנשיל פפר @AnshelPfeffer]

Possible reasons for Iran’s missile trickle rather than barrages: 1. Iran conserving its missile stocks, preparing for a long slog 2. Iran wants to leave an opening for talks 3. Much more US/Israel warplanes now in Iranian airspace than previous war so more difficult to launch

[Nickolay E. MLADENOV @nmladenov]

I am deeply concerned by what has taken place since Friday: Hamas armed operatives emerging from a tunnel in Rafah, Israeli strikes that tragically also killed civilians.

Such developments risk the hard-won progress under UNSCR 2803 and President Trump's 20-Point Peace Plan.

All must exercise restraint and uphold the ceasefire as the @NCAG prepares to assume civilian and security responsibilities, shifting Gaza's trajectory from violence and destruction to recovery and reconstruction.

My office and I are working closely to support the Committee and find ways that prevent future incidents. We will need everyone's full cooperation to make this possible.

[Tony Blair Institute for Global Change @InstituteGC]

Tony Blair’s statement following the White House announcement on President Trump’s Comprehensive Plan to End the Gaza Conflict: https://t.co/qeId00fqlx

[נדב איל Nadav Eyal @Nadav_Eyal]

יש מיליציה יותר מוצלחת מהמיליציה של יאסר אבו שבאב. גדולה יותר. היא חמושה. האמריקנים מפקחים עליה בהקפדה יתירה. היא מקבלת כסף מהעולם, ולכן יש עליה שוט והרתעה - בינתיים - לא להפנות את הרובים נגדנו. היא כמובן מושחתת ואפילו משלמת פנסיה למחבלים, אבל מי שעומד בראשה מתנגד לטרור, גם לדעת השבכ וצהל. יש לנו הסכמים איתה. ויחסים של שנים רבות. מודיעינית, אנחנו מכירים אותם מצוין.
והיא בכלל לא מיליציה. היא הנציגה הבינלאומית המוכרת של העם הפלסטיני. זו הרש"פ.
הרש"פ יכולה לעשות כל מה שאבו שבאב עושה. רק טוב וגדול יותר. ביבי פוסל מאותה סיבה שרצה בחיזוק חמאס (הוא וגדי טאוב). כי זה יכול להעצים את הדרישה הפלסטינית להגדרה עצמית.
מי שמוכן שיהיו פלסטינים חמושים ברצועה ופוסל את הרש"פ לטובת יורשי דאעש שודדים, מה הוא אומר לעצמו? שלהם לא יהיה פתחון פה בינלאומי, שהם יישארו קטנים, שהם יהיו נשלטים, שזה הפרד ומשול. פחות או יותר מה שישראל חשבה על חמאס.

[Amit Segal @AmitSegal]

According to @kann_news, the Palestinian Authority has offered to send firefighting teams to help control the fires. Israel has not yet responded to the offer.

[Jacob Magid @JacobMagid]

The State Dept is planning to eliminate the office of the US Security Coordinator (USSC) in Jerusalem, which helps bolster security coordination b/n Israel & PA, a Trump official, congressional aide & 3rd source familiar told @TimesofIsrael (1/13)
https://t.co/ChrvfLLk0I

[(((Michael Koplow))) @mkoplow]

If the administration does indeed eliminate the Office of the Security Coordinator, it will be a massive own-goal for no good reason. There could hardly be a worse time to be considering this 1/

[Ihab Hassan @IhabHassane]

Today in northern Gaza, Palestinian children at the anti-Hamas, anti-war protests gave a powerful speech:
"I am a child. I want peace........ Peace is not a weakness; it is a choice..... Let us live in love and peace."

[Jess Manville @JessManville1]

An @IsraelPolicy4m report outlines how a cohesive international reform agenda can drive change by pairing conditional funding and credible incentives, while working to create a more enabling environment for reforms to unfold within. https://t.co/zWxVTR3hG5 /10

[Jess Manville @JessManville1]

First, the process. The position is being filled through appointment rather than election or internal institutional vote. That undermines the legitimacy and credibility of the position from the outset. 3/

[Jess Manville @JessManville1]

But this step above fits into an overall pattern of incremental manoeuvres aimed at signaling responsiveness without addressing the crisis of legitimacy and need for institutional renewal at the heart of Palestinian governance. This is where international pressure must be now. 9/

[Jess Manville @JessManville1]

On the surface, this may appear to be a long-overdue institutional reform and a step toward clarifying succession planning. In reality, however, both the mechanism and the expected choice of appointee reflect deeper structural deficiencies in the Palestinian political system. 2/

[Jess Manville @JessManville1]

Yesterday, the PLO’s Central Council ended a two-day session by voting to establish a vice-chairman role within the Executive Committee. Pres Abbas is expected to appoint Hussein al-Sheikh to the post tomorrow, a close confidant and the current Sec-Gen of the Exec Committee. 1/

[Think Global Health @ThinkGlobalHlth]

Renewed violence in the Gaza Strip continues to imperil humanitarian aid efforts. @ShiraEfron and @JessManville1 explain how stakeholders can navigate the resumption of war and prepare for a future cessation in hostilities. https://t.co/h0ESq7Z8e7