Liquidity drives crypto cycles, and now, the money has stopped flowing in
Stablecoins, ETFs, and DATs have grown from $180B to $560B since early 2024, but momentum has slowed
Capital is rotating internally, not entering fresh → rallies die fast and breadth keeps narrowing
Wintermute: Long-Term Funds Are Buying BTC in OTC Tranches
Wintermute, a leading crypto market maker and OTC desk, said crypto has failed to follow the broader risk-asset rally for two straight weeks, as about $2 billion flowed out of BTC and ETH ETFs while fresh capital moved into AI stocks and small caps. The firm said long-term funds have started buying BTC in batches through OTC desks, seeing current levels as attractive on an 18-month horizon, with key downside support around $60,000 to $65,000. https://t.co/cWspkCjeqQ
Prediction markets are emerging as a distinct asset class, pricing probabilities on events that traditional markets don't capture cleanly
Wintermute is now providing liquidity on event contracts across leading venues
24/7 access to the world's most liquid energy benchmark
Crude oil CFDs are now live via Wintermute Asia’s OTC desk, with:
‣ Leveraged WTI exposure
‣ Weekend and holiday trading
‣ Zero-fee execution
‣ Fiat and crypto collateral
‣ Chat, NODE, and API access
If you want to properly understand how crypto works, start here
Big kudos to @lawmaster and Wintermute’s @FrankResearcher and @emparedad0 for pulling this together
Our research team was glad to contribute, as we’ve felt for a while that something like this was genuinely needed