허리 때문에 밤마다 뒤척이던 나… 일본 척추 전문의가 알려준 방법 하나로 끝남.
침대에 베개 하나 놓고 5분만 누워있으면 됨.
그게 다임.
특정 자세 잡고 숨을 길게 내쉬는 것뿐인데 이게 척추신경 눌린 거 풀어주는 원리라고 함.
운동도 아니고 그냥 숨쉬기라 부담도 1도 없음.
밤마다 허리 통증으로 잠 설치는 사람이면 오늘부터 자기 전 루틴으로 하나 만들어보길.
Here is a full breakdown of my EOD swing trading system that:
- Gave me 100%+ years since 2020
- Averages +50% CAGR since 1995 (based on 13k signal database)
- Entering breakouts EOD (2-min before the close),
- and trade 20min/day, with no discretion, and no stress
I will use an example of a trade I closed yesterday in $BMY, following the 5 steps in the pic attached.
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Step 1:
The first thing to trade momentum breakouts is to find stocks that made a new, fresh leg higher and established a new trend.
I use the 50 EMA cloud (with 0.5 ATR 5 period above and below) as a base, when the market prints a strong first leg coming from this area, it means that it's the FIRST fresh new leg of an intermediate-term trend, and the price/time relationship in the higher time frames has been corrected, and we are EARLY.
It's very important that it's the first leg and fresh; stocks that already had consolidations and are trading in their 3rd and 4th legs of the intermediate trend have a lower chance of having a successful, multi-day breakout.
I've tested this big time, and first consolidations after first legs have a much higher success rate % over later stage consolidations:
-> The later into the trend, the more extended it is, the biggest risk of a stop-out.
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Step 2:
Then the stock will get in what I call the "perfect uptrend state", which signals when:
• The 8, 20, and 50 EMAs are stacked up and trending, and
• my CML indicator is GREEN (signals a perfect blend of momentum + linearity in a stock, looking at candle overlap for linear moves)
At this point, the stock will be hitting my breadth scans, as we have those stocks in an ABSOLUTE state of momentum, and that's when they give the highest quality consolidations against the 8/20 EMAs to look for a breakout.
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Step 3:
--> Look for the first valid volatility contraction pattern, riding the 8/20 EMAs layer.
This is the step before the breakout, and you want to see the volatility contract, with the top and bottom trendlines converging together.
This shows that in the case below, sellers are being absorbed, and buyers are about to break through the least amount of resistance, taking prices to major levels quickly.
That's the foundational principle of the volatility contraction/expansion cycle, and we want to find these stocks about to make the expansion leg in the direction of the established momentum (or uptrend).
What to look for in a high-quality consolidation here:
> at least 7 candles of consolidation before a breakout
> no close below the 20 EMA
> see VCP characteristics (mainly a higher low for longs)
> swing points should be defined to draw trendlines OR a horizontal line to trade from ( triangles and ascending triangle shapes only)
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Step 4:
Now look for the breakout candle, breaking through resistance, and having a nice close.
Some things I want to see here are:
- strong body candle signaling buying into the close
- body of the candle should be bigger than yesterday's candle
- should be closing in upper range of the candle (marked by the 0.786% level most of the times)
- for longs, stop loss size should be <= 2.5x ADR or ATR% for the last 20 days (to keep risk-reward in check)
- Stop goes @ LOD, entering just before the close at 3:58pm EST
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Step 5:
--> After the breakout, I ride the swing for 5 days, regardless of what happens.
I've tested exits for my momentum breakouts from consolidations with over 13k signals as a database (including my live trades since 2020), and nothing beats a 5-day hold.
I might have different trade management according to my timing model, which is not the scope of this post, but I can have for longs:
- FULL LONGS ( 🟢 light) = exit at the 5th day full position
- LONGS + PARTIALS (🟡 light) = take 40% partial at 1:1 RR, ride the rest until the close of the 5th day.
My timing model is based on lots of breadth-risk parameters, will get into that later on.
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That's all I do, and I've been doing it for years now. You can check my track record since 2020, and I also manually gathered 10k+ signals in my Strategy Hub App (inside the community), which shows how my strategy performs since 1995.
I trade with hard rules, no discretion, and follow my daily process to scan -> identify -> enter trades in the last 20 min of the trading day.
You do NOT need to be hours in front of the charts, looking for trades, or making emotional, reactive decisions.
You need:
- a strategy
- a daily process
- base it EOD to be done in 20min/day
You can have a life outside trading while still compounding at 50%+ CAGR with low drawdown, which is the whole point of this.
If anything resonates with you, check out my pinned post in my profile with a 4hr+ masterclass on my setup, expanding everything I shared here.
Go and do the work.
You only have to do it once 📈
TradingView topluluğuna söz verdim: tamamen açık kaynak, tamamen ücretsiz. Ve sözümü tuttum, bugün platform trending listesinde #8'iz.
Ama bu sadece başlangıçtı.
POC, VAH, VAL, imbalance, delta…
Hepsini biliyorsunuz. Peki şunu sorayım:
Overbought ve oversold yapıyı daha önce bu kadar net görebildiniz mi?
Ben görmedim. Gördüyseniz yorumlara bırakın.
Görmediyseniz… birkaç saate sizinle.
https://t.co/86sS9nlKjZ
Deniz Sabancı
Can’t believe this is just out there for free. And its only 5 minutes.
How do you choose to put your effort in decoding black skinned scammers instead of studying a 5 min clean,perfectly detailed video where everything is explained to you like you are 5 years old. HOW???
As someone who builds institutional-level quant systems, this is the closest thing to a quant desk i've seen publicly shared.
Feed these 151 trading strategies pdf to grok bot & build a one-person AI hedge fund that prints alpha 24/7 (full guide below) BOOKMARK NOW.
Got enough responses from you guys here's the HTF FVG template I use for coding.
https://t.co/sK428JMjye
One thing this does better than most other HTF FVG indicators: when it finds a gap on a higher timeframe, it doesn't just draw the box starting from HTF candle's timestamps.
It actually finds the precise lower-timeframe candle that made the high or low causing the gap, and draws the box starting and ending exactly there. As if they're drawn manually
Most FVG scripts skip this step and just use the HTF candle's timestamps, which makes the box look weird.
This is slightly better than most HTF FVG indicators.
this quant paper is f*cking insane
a former Morgan Stanley quant who later launched his own hedge fund just put the whole thing out there.
224 pages, and it's not theory, it's the actual winning algo strategies with every line of code included.
the crazy part is this level of detail almost never makes it past a fund's walls, let alone gets released for free.
if quant trading has been on your radar but you didn't know where to start, this is the entry point.
bookmark it now before it disappears.
I've always been interested in the Fractal Model. Thanks to @notprofgreen we have some great new insights.
Decided to have a go @CantoIndicators open source code (with the help of Claude! 😉) and added reclaim and wick strenght %.
Because the study's own data showed reclaim strength is the single strongest predictor of whether a setup survives to C4 with the C2 low intact.
And rejection wick size is a secondary factor that can compensate for a weak reclaim. The original indicator only plotted the C2 sweep and CISD structurally; it never scored setup quality, so there was no way to filter good setups from bad ones mechanically.
What they do:
R (reclaim %) — measures how far the C2 candle's close pushes back into the C1 candle's range. 100% means it closed exactly at the far edge of C1; over 100% means it closed clean through the other side.
W (wick %) — measures the size of the C2 candle's rejection wick as a percentage of its own total range.
Ideal values per the research:
R ≥ 50%, ideally >100% — survival to C4 rose from ~43-46% (0-10% reclaim) to ~85-90% (>100% reclaim), consistent across 15m/1h/4h.
W ≥ 50% — a large wick meaningfully rescues a weak reclaim (e.g. on 15m, a 0-10% reclaim with 0-20% wick survived only 20% of the time, but with a 65-100% wick it survived 68% of the time).
Link in first comment 👇
this fu*king debate of wall street researchers leaked one paper called "RegimeNas" openly on reddit.
this paper leaked architecture of regime aware trading models used by hedge funds.
Bookmark this before its lost and then read attached full paper.
this paper is f*cking crazy
it argues that most traders are not really trading signals at all
they are trading stories layered on top of shared market movement
the framework is brutally simple:
identify the force behind the move
compress the noise into a few common drivers
hunt the leftover
try to kill the idea before capital ever sees it
the crazy part is how often “skill” is just randomness wearing a good costume
ten trades tell you almost nothing
a green month can be noise with good marketing
and a smooth strategy can simply be short disaster
most traders ask how good the backtest looks
real quants ask how hard the strategy is to break
the edge is not the model
the edge is the rejection machine around it
bookmark this before you trust another pretty equity curve
I updated the Fractal Model code on GitHub. Please use the latest version.
link - https://t.co/hU7Mjv04iu
I found a bug while converting the logic to python.
In my previous code, C2 setups and CISD were independent. I forgot to code the part where a C2 setup should only show if there's also a valid CISD present.
CISD confirming later during C3 or C4 is fine. the setup and the CISD line both should only show once confirmed.
The bug: if a C2 setup formed and no CISD ever confirmed, you'd still see the C2 setup on the chart, just without a CISD line. Most setups do get a valid CISD, which is likely why this went unnoticed, these are the rare edge cases.
This is important if you want the behaviour to be same as Fractal Model
If you've used my code to test something or build your own indicators off it, please use the latest fix.
Apologies for the oversight at least you know I check my own code.
Fractal model statistics:
I scored every sweep of a 15m, 1h and 4h candle low on NQ and ES, 2019–2025. ~75,000 events, 11 timeframe pairings.
Rate at which price trades all the way to C4 without ever trading back below the C2 low:
15m — 65.2% 1h — 65.1% 4h — 64.8%
Same number on a timeframe 16x slower. Method below 👇
🧵
this paper is f*cking insane
a quant paper uncovered a factor with a 13+ Sharpe out-of-sample by conditioning purely on market regimes.
the numbers: 158.6% annualized returns, 12.0% volatility, -11.9% max drawdown, tested across 20 years of S&P 500 data.
the crazy part is this factor isn't always active, it only kicks in during specific drift regimes.
most factor models chase what works.
this one chases when it works.
bookmark before this thread gets buried.
This is super interesting especially considering @FelipeGuirao extensive backtesting supporting EOD entries and an upper range of 2.5 times ADR. I’m sure his average entry is much lower than 2.5 but just kind of proves the point that you’re making that the more dangerous end is on the lower end, not on the upper end of the range of ADR
Wall Street pays $600,000 for the skill of selling anything to anyone, and now this 90 minute Cliff Ennico masterclass filmed 13 years ago gives it to you completely free
This is the uncut session. Just raw selling techniques from the man who has helped thousands of entrepreneurs and salespeople close more deals.
You will learn how to sell anything to anybody. You will learn the psychology behind every purchase. You will discover the exact words that turn hesitation into commitment. No gimmicks. No pressure. Just a system that works every time.
This video is rare and gets buried by the algorithm. Save it while you can ⭣
the fact that I posted this 5 and a half years ago
and it STILL just straight-up works, without even having to derive any further implied strategies
is actually wild
EMH isn't real