Jon Hollis: In typical radical Democrat fashion, they’ve performed a bait and switch on the Texas electorate. They’ve filed around 1,100 bills. Some of the things that stand out are Obamacare expansion across the entire state, a minimum-wage increase, muslim Heritage Day, online voter registration and expanded vote-by-mail, repealing ICE cooperation, decriminalizing homosexuality, a return to DEI, repealing laws that made it illegal for children to have abortions or seek gender-transition surgery, and—one big item many people didn’t know was coming—a queued-up assault-weapons ban for anyone under 21.
@JonHollisTX
SB 80 & HD 173 would enact a California style Assualt Weapons Ban for any under 21 and would make it a Class A Misdemeanor to OWN or PURCHASE an assault weapon for anyone under 21. The ban defines an assault weapons as current AR's, Shotguns, and Pistols:
https://t.co/d6ms9DEfO1
Turn out is booming in Texas and reports show it favoring Republicans like we thought it would.
Don't let those that seek to destroy us from within win today.
They said we deserve to feel pain. Well it's time we gave it right back to them.
Tomorrow is 2 minutes left in the 4th quarter and we're down by 4. We need Republicans to show up in force & bring this home.
DO NOT take for granted what we have in this state. This goes far beyond one election. If we give D's a foothold they will only increase their efforts.
JON HOLLIS: For James Talarico to win, he needs roughly a D+6 day with independent voters, matching or slightly exceeding 2018.
Short of that, Paxton would narrowly hold on.
Abbott, Mayes Middleton, and Don Huffines will most likely be fine, as they have broader appeal among independents.
@JonHollisTX
JON HOLLIS: From what we're seeing, yesterday was our biggest early voting day since the first day here in Texas.
Democrat turnout is tanking, and we're hoping to see a nice uptick from Republicans.
All hope is not lost. GET OUT AND VOTE! Every single vote is going to matter in these tight Texas races.
@JonHollisTX
Texas Republicans aren't showing up in the numbers we need to secure our most important races. Time is running out and if we don't see a Republican surge we may wind up losing some coveted seats. If you care about keeping Texas Texas, then you need to vote like it.
Jon Hollis: The problem right now is that we’re not seeing low-propensity Republicans show up in good numbers. It honestly makes me worried about where we’re headed, because if low-propensity Republicans aren’t going to build on the momentum we’ve gained over the last couple of days and start showing up, then relying on the remaining roughly 350,000 hard Republicans feels like wishful thinking rather than something supported by the data. @JonHollisTX
🚨 Election Alert: Voters are saving Dallas County at the polls and praying for a Free Iran.
Limit Government, Not People.
Liberty Over Tyranny.
It's time to put an end to the Marxist-Jihadist Axis.
Your current commissioner is trying to hide these videos: https://t.co/kh2ebqYuvK
With 4 days of voting to go things are looking optimistic in Texas, but it's still tight for certain races.
These last 4 days is where Republicans historically surge. Things are trending in the right direction but time to leave it all on the field and get out the vote!
Jon Hollis on early voting numbers coming out of Texas: We’ve definitely seen a shift over the last couple of days, with Republican primary voters beginning to turn out and outpace their Democratic counterparts. We’re still tracking with 2018, but we now have a slight edge in total turnout compared with 2018. @JonHollisTX
Jon Hollis on early voting numbers coming out of Texas: We’ve definitely seen a shift over the last couple of days, with Republican primary voters beginning to turn out and outpace their Democratic counterparts. We’re still tracking with 2018, but we now have a slight edge in total turnout compared with 2018. @JonHollisTX
John Hollis: What a lot of people don’t know about what happened back in 2018 is that a massive wave of votes from East and West Texas came in late, and that’s really what put Cruz over the line. I think we’re going to see something similar here.
@JonHollisTX
John Hollis on his Texas Is Tracking 2018” chart: “We’re not seeing that the sky is falling right now, at least according to the data. Could that shift? Absolutely—anything can happen. At the end of the day, based on what we’re hearing on the ground and what we’re seeing in the data, Republicans can eke this out and will eke it out. But I have to say to the voters: You have to get up and go vote. The entire world is looking at us to stop this insane communist push, this red-green alliance. If we allow them to take power, they’ll never give it up.
@JonHollisTX
JOHN HOLLIS: We're not seeing the low propensity surge in Texas that the left is claiming, and no major uptick in independent votes either.
What’s not being accounted for is population growth.
Texas has added about 2 million people since 2022, with roughly 1.5 million becoming registered voters. The raw numbers are up, but the share of the vote hasn’t changed.
JOHN HOLLIS: We're not seeing the low propensity surge in Texas that the left is claiming, and no major uptick in independent votes either.
What’s not being accounted for is population growth.
Texas has added about 2 million people since 2022, with roughly 1.5 million becoming registered voters. The raw numbers are up, but the share of the vote hasn’t changed.