In a world and practice where few things are certain days out… I am extremely confident this is a near certainty in the forecast. Wherever the right side of Hurricane Isaias is at landfall, is going to be a prolific arcing line of tornadic supercells coming in off the Gulf. Probably the type of thing where at its peak there are several to lots of tornado warnings at the same time all clustered near one another.
As significant a tornado risk I’ve seen in a while, outside of Milton in 2024 in Florida. Hurricane Isaias will have a ludicrous amount of shear on the eastern periphery. Dry air aloft enhances tornado risk too.
Briefly strong EF2+ tornadoes possible late Friday into early Saturday in the far western Florida Panhandle and South Alabama, mainly for now.
Interesting with Hurricane Isaias… storm will probably be undergoing a technical transition at or around landfall, as it interacts with the jet stream and absorbs dry air into its core. Won’t matter for impacts. Still a big deal.
Wow, it takes a lot for Eric Webb to be this aggressive on an El Niño event, as it rightfully so. For one thing, the ELI index has never been this far east since records began & not only that, this has the potential to be once in a once-in-a-lifetime El Niño event that is a 100- to 300-year event.
Great job on this, @webberweather
A train was caught in an advancing wildfire near Armstrong in Northern Ontario, Canada.
Video shows flames surrounding the locomotive. The crew is reported to have made it out safely.