Joseph N. Dweck

Giants Reporter and NFL salary cap analyst

[Joseph N. Dweck @JosephDweck14]

I analyzed the future salary cap commitments of all 32 NFL teams to test a common belief:

Do teams that push money into the future actually win more games?

After running the numbers, the correlation between future cap commitment and wins is just 0.19.

Here’s what the data shows 🧵

[Joseph N. Dweck @JosephDweck14]

@MattJMcClintock Still almost doubled expected eps for the quarter adjusted for tariffs

[Joseph N. Dweck @JosephDweck14]

@KnicksMemes New lottery rules + better pick this yr

[Joseph N. Dweck @JosephDweck14]

I analyzed the future salary cap commitments of all 32 NFL teams to test a common belief:

Do teams that push money into the future actually win more games?

After running the numbers, the correlation between future cap commitment and wins is just 0.19.

Here’s what the data shows 🧵

[Jack Feldman @JackFel64492808]

Shoutout @JosephDweck14 give me some clout

[Joseph N. Dweck @JosephDweck14]

What makes this so unusual is the combination.

Teams typically win by either maximizing current spending or
pushing cap charges into the future.

Seattle won while doing neither.

[Joseph N. Dweck @JosephDweck14]

I analyzed the future salary cap commitments of all 32 NFL teams to test a common belief:

Do teams that push money into the future actually win more games?

After running the numbers, the correlation between future cap commitment and wins is just 0.19.

Here’s what the data shows 🧵

[Joseph N. Dweck @JosephDweck14]

One interesting example from the data is Seattle.

They won the Super Bowl while carrying roughly $86M in dead cap, meaning only about 61% of their cap spending went to players on the active roster.

Even with that burden, their future commitments remained around 82%, showing they were able to win without significantly jeopardizing future flexibility.

[Joseph N. Dweck @JosephDweck14]

@MLFootball @KennyKing_Jr @YourboyQ254 @RaidersBeat @MitchellRenz365 @RaiderHours @RavensTalkPod @FlockNTalk @FilmstudyRavens @zachbollinger18 ML football dying for clicks as usual 🤦‍♂️

[Joseph N. Dweck @JosephDweck14]

@Anthony_Rivardo @DaGorilla4 I don’t want him wearing no.80 #victorcruz

[Joseph N. Dweck @JosephDweck14]

@Connor_J_Hughes Whats Giants plans at wr. 2
Could we trade for BTJ
Spend Draft capital?