Joseph Allum

Writes on constitutional law, public law, and how state power and regulation shape markets across the US, UK, and EU.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

I’ve started a Substack: The Outsider’s Constitution.

Essays on the US Constitution—focusing on debated questions and key cases, and how they shape the law in practice.

Free to read and subscribe. All are welcome ⬇️

https://t.co/TtK5P1LFk0

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@justin_hart Put the crack pipe down.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@RedWave4EVR @salibu506 @OpenSourceZone Yap yap yap go and suck a dick moron. Kicking off at me for no reason say that to my face and I’d smash a glass over your head.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@RedWave4EVR @salibu506 @OpenSourceZone Shut the fuck up dickhead I’ll post whatever the fuck I like. Go sick your mum.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@RedWave4EVR @salibu506 @OpenSourceZone Chill the fuck out Brian.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@MadAboutSkin01 @smith_cade9 Is this true though? If you look at target smart Ohio early voting and mail is like D+5/6 which is basically the same point as 2022 and ED is massively R heavy in Ohio.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@AdoreUSAalways @MadAboutSkin01 Fuck off you stupid knobhead I’ll post whatever the fuck I like.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@Realglobalpol2 @Specops119 @OpenSourceZone What kind of margin do the D’s need in early voting to stand a chance then?

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@wojak001 @Specops119 @OpenSourceZone Sure but if this information is accessible surely more people would looking at this as basically free money at the current odds?

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@Metsies25 @OpenSourceZone What kind of advantage is the minimum they’d need would you say and why do you think the betting markets are missing this so badly

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@Specops119 @OpenSourceZone Why do you think the betting markets are missing this so badly?

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@salibu506 @OpenSourceZone Was it idk what the fuck I’m looking at tbh. What sort of advantage do the d’s need in Ohio to have a chance on ED.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@AreYouJokingMe @OpenSourceZone What kind of number should we see heading into election day that looks good for Husted then?

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@Metsies25 @OpenSourceZone How so? Genuine question as I don’t know Ohio elections very well.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@Specops119 @OpenSourceZone Probably, I don’t know Ohio elections at all well tbh. Explain to me why this is good like I’m retarded.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@1980Khoa @OpenSourceZone I can honestly see a scenario whereby Rodger’s wins Michigan but Paxton losses Texas.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@athena_pigeon_ The race that interests me most is Michigan. Real 50/50 coin flip.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@athena_pigeon_ I think Collins wins in Maine, people underestimate how difficult it is to unseat an incumbent. She’s does well with independent left leaning Maine voters partly because they understand how important her seat is to Maine. Senior senator on the appropriations committee.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@athena_pigeon_ I can easily see the republicans holding the senate 52-48 winning Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Maine and Alaska as the key battlegrounds. Democrats win, NH, NC, GA and MN.

[Joseph Allum @Josephsallum]

@athena_pigeon_ I think people are massively underestimating how difficult this map is for the democrats in the senate. Biden was heavily unpopular in 2022, the economy was bad an inflation was high along with gas prices like today and the democrats held the senate. There was no red wave.