Prabhakar Joshi

Chaman mein ikhtilat-e-rangoboo se baat banti hai.............hum hi hum hain toh kya hum hain, tum hi tum ho toh kya tum ho

[Adi Alardah @alardah91]

@FurkanGozukara Before the overwhelming power of nature, every illusion of human control fades away.

“When the earth is shaken with its [final] earthquake, and the earth discharges its burdens.”
— Qur’an 99:1–2

[Prabhakar Joshi @Joshi_Prabhakar]

@DrGodseRavi1 Sir Ebola var kahi tari Bola. Abhaar🙏

[Vikas Vij @TheClubJunto]

When to Start Buying in the Current Market

1. Don't buy the dip. The stock can dip further 50%.

2. Don't buy low P/E. Q4 Earnings will be bad (so P/E will rise).

3. Buy when liquidity wave turns. Follow the speed of FII outflows, not just the volume.

How to Follow Liquidity:

Don’t Buy Stocks Till FII “Selling Intensity” Is High

a. Selling intensity is a measure of the speed at which capital is exiting the market, rather than just the total volume of exit.

b. “Net FII Outflow” tells you how much money has left the building. “Selling Intensity” tells you how fast everyone tried to escape through the exit door at the same time.

c. DIIs can absorb FII exits only if FII selling intensity is low. SIP money comes in slowly every month. But FIIs have mountains of ready stock holdings. If they decide to sell fast, DIIs have no defence.

Liquidity Impact on the Markets

FII Selling Intensity Per Trading Hour = (Total Outflows in a Month) ÷ (Number of Trading Days in the Month x 6.25 Trading Hours Per Day)

JAN-JUNE 2024

FII Selling Intensity:
₹18 cr per hour

FII Net Outflow:
(-) ₹14,000 cr

Nifty 50 Return: 10.4%
(1 Jan to 30 June, 2024)

NOTE: Low FII selling intensity; High Nifty returns.

JULY-DEC 2024

FII Selling Intensity:
₹84 cr per hour

FII Net Outflow:
(-) ₹66,000 cr

Nifty 50 Return: 1.2%
(1 July to 31 Dec, 2024)

NOTE: High FII selling intensity; Low Nifty returns

JAN-JUNE 2025

FII Selling Intensity:
₹152 cr per hour

FII Net Outflow:
(-) ₹1.14 lakh cr

Nifty 50 Return: 8.2%
(1 Jan to 30 June, 2025)

NOTE: High FII selling intensity. DIIs aggressively pushed up Nifty 50 to hold sentiment, but could not defend midcaps & smallcaps against this intensity. By early 2025, 70% of all midcaps & smallcaps were trading below their 200-day moving averages.

JULY-DEC 2025

FII Selling Intensity:
₹115 cr per hour

FII Net Outflow:
(-) ₹86,000 cr

Nifty 50 Return: 2.4%
(1 July to 31 Dec, 2025)

NOTE: Moderate FII selling intensity; DIIs once again managed to defend Nifty 50, but could not stop the bloodbath in midcaps & smallcaps in the second half of 2025.

JAN-MAR 2026
(Only 3 months)

FII Selling Intensity:
₹339 cr per hour

FII Net Outflow:
(-) ₹1.27 lakh cr

Nifty 50 Return: (-) 14.7%
(1 Jan to 30 Mar, 2026)

NOTE: This was the FII velocity shock (high-speed capital exit in a very short period), which DIIs were unable to absorb. Nifty 50 finally capitulated.

When to Start Buying Stocks

a. Stage 1 – High Intensity: Till FII selling intensity remains high, the stock prices may only go down further. So, stay out.

b. Stage 2 – Moderate Intensity: When FII selling intensity moderates, stock prices may stagnate (further declines may be halted). It may still not be worth deploying your hard-earned cash in risky assets if there is stagnation (= no visible upside.)

c. Stage 3 – Low Intensity: Once FII selling intensity reduces significantly, then don’t wait for FIIs to become net positive buyers. You cannot wait for 100% safety. When there is 70-80% visibility, go all-in before the entry door closes.

d. Remember, there are 4 risks at present: (1) Global AI crash (2) Demand destruction in India due to IT job losses (3) Indian rupee depreciates further, triggering FII capital flight (4) SIP inflows slow down due to poor or no returns

Against these 4 risks, you need to at least see a clear visible upside (better than FD returns) to deploy your life's savings in market-linked assets. What happens if any one of these 4 risks materializes? So, go slow, respect risk, and watch the liquidity.

ENDQUOTE

“Earnings don’t move markets. Liquidity moves markets.” – Stanley Druckenmiller, Legendary Investor

@arabicatrader

[Prabhakar Joshi @Joshi_Prabhakar]

@Akshayyyshah Bro that is original 9 lakh deposited which you get back.

[Mithun Sarkar @MithunSarkari]

My 1st handpicked list , these are the stocks which have fallen not due to earnings or future visibility issue, but sentiment and liquidity and most likely to bounce when sentiment improves.
These stocks have good future earnings visibility
Mkt cap : 5000 to 15000 Cr

1. Jeena Sikho
2. LT foods
3. Quality power
4. Manorama ind
5. Apollo micro systems
6. Pricoll
7. V2 Retail
8. Black buck
9. Yatharth hospitals
10. Techno Electric engg
11. Ceat
12. CSB bank ( wait for q4 updates)
13. Syrma SGS
14. Finolex cables
15. TRIL ( q4 updates are important)
16. Piccadely Agro
17. Tilaknagar ind
18. Sudeep Pharma
19. Azad Engg
20. Shaily Engg.

Do study , they have good potential going fwd.

[Prabhakar Joshi @Joshi_Prabhakar]

@MithunSarkari Jain resources?

[Prabhakar Joshi @Joshi_Prabhakar]

@talok253 Real estate.........All those Dubai NRIs will invest in R.

[Prabhakar Joshi @Joshi_Prabhakar]

@me__kaushik MOCAPITAL.

[Prabhakar Joshi @Joshi_Prabhakar]

@BaluGorade Tell him I want only pure term insurance. I invest rest in MFs. This is what ULIP is.

[CA Vivek Khatri @CaVivekkhatri]

India is adding 37 GW of solar every year.

But the sun doesn't shine at night.
The wind doesn't blow on command.

The grid needs STORAGE.

BESS - Battery Energy Storage Systems.

₹9,400 crore VGF scheme.
₹18,100 crore PLI for cell manufacturing.
74 GW storage needed by 2031-32.
Operational capacity set to go 10X in 2026 alone.

Nobody is talking about this sector loudly enough.

Complete category-wise stock breakdown 🧵👇

[Save this. You'll thank me later.]

[Parth Rastogi @theparthrastogi]

Salary : ₹9 CR
Income Tax : ₹4 CR

Business : ₹20 crore
Tax : ₹80L

Political party revenue: ₹7,000 crore
Income Tax: 00

BCCI revenue : ₹12,000 crore
Income Tax : 00

Tax Terrorism is only applicable for Middle Class
... show more

[Prabhakar Joshi @Joshi_Prabhakar]

@LestWeForgetIN Rest in peace💐💐

[R @AlphaWizarDD]

I saved a family member ₹10 LAKH on a home loan by skipping one “option”.

Most people fall for it.

Here’s the truth in 10 simple points 👇

1] When you take a home loan (say ₹50L), banks often say loan insurance is compulsory. It’s not.

2] They scare you: “What if something happens to you? Your family will lose the house.” Fear sells fast.

3] Reality: RBI & IRDAI have never made loan insurance mandatory. Banks cannot reject your loan if you refuse it.

4] Why the pressure then?
Because agents earn huge commissions on these policies.

5] This insurance quietly adds to EMI
Example: ₹5,000 extra per month = lakhs over time.

6] Big hidden trap:
If you prepay or close the loan early, the insurance ends immediately.

7] No refund. No continuation.
You paid for years — money wasted.

8] Smarter option:
Buy a separate term insurance policy yourself.

9] Same ₹50L cover for 15–20 years may cost ~₹30–35k per year.

Cheaper. Independent. Full-term protection.

10] Rule to remember:

Bank insurance = expensive + tied to loan
Term insurance = cheaper + always active

Next time a bank pushes “mandatory” insurance, politely say NO.

You could save lakhs.

🔖 Bookmark this

[Aditya Aggarwal @equitybyaadi]

Radhe Radhe 🙏🏻

Sharing youtube version of Guruji Atul sir videos. Do subscribe the channel and hit the bell icon for regular video updates. I will be posting short videos regularly on various stock market topics.

I have made a playlist where I will be uploading 10 minutes videos on various topics.

Here is the first video:

“Is your money safe in Largecaps?”

https://t.co/Kh9EsMaK9m

[Northstar @NorthstarCharts]

Gold, silver & stock markets - THIS IS IT...this is all you need to know now 👇

[Prabhakar Joshi @Joshi_Prabhakar]

@AduduEmman82614 @grok @JesuoroboBen @Medzonetv @grok Show a pic of the area mentioned of the face

[JayneshKasliwal @JayneshKasliwal]

Swing Trading course worth 50k for free
Covering
1. Breakout Trading
2. VCP , Base breakouts
3. 21 ema , position size and TSL

Retweet and Share !
A. 2 hour webinar on Breakout Trading guide
https://t.co/3ot4EgUT6l
B . Swing Trading Stock Selection using chartink screener
https://t.co/repYLMyVFd
C. Chartink screener part 2
https://t.co/dOmq4HcqLZ
D. 90 Min webinar on 21 ema , Tsl entry and exit
https://t.co/wFUsgBsIoA
E. Best Swing Trading Indicator : Relative Strength
https://t.co/lSjyfmMJd9
F. Stage 2 breakout Screener and its use
https://t.co/wQW0Z7q4fK
G. Swing Trading Chartink Screener and Strategy to make 50% in Stocks : Part 2
https://t.co/2fIWpei0B6
H. Swing Trading Stock Selection in 10 Mins :
https://t.co/Q6eBSzhBAP
I. How to enter Sectors before they Breakout : Sector Rotation
https://t.co/Gyt8zVqMTj
J. How to enter Stocks before they Breakout
https://t.co/Wuv6gpT4t8
K. Best Momentum Indicator https://t.co/jkCTTe9EZQ
L. Identify Sector Rotation Using Tijori Finance
https://t.co/xsOnSp0NEj
M. Breakout ke pehele Stocks ko pakde
https://t.co/SZ8D9O5u9x

[Raghav Wadhwa @raghavwadhwa]

How to Analyze a Mutual Fund

[SURESH KUMAR 🇮🇳 @Suresh_kumar047]

Covered Call in NiftyBEES + Strangle strategy not only generates consistent monthly returns it also helps build long-term wealth.

I’ve accumulated 27K+ units so far.

Sell calls against NiftyBEES, book profits, reinvest, and repeat 🔁

#CoveredCall
#NiftyBEES
#WealthCreation

[R @AlphaWizarDD]

Mark the RSI-14 levels at 70 and 30.

When RSI crosses above 70, mark the candle where RSI hit 70.

If the low of that marked candle breaks, sell 2 OTM CE options.

Use 25% stoploss on the premium.

Exit the trade on the next day at 9:20 AM candle.

For RSI-30: reverse the logic.

When RSI goes below 30, mark the candle.

If the high of that marked candle breaks, sell 2 OTM PE options.

Same stoploss (25%) and exit time (next day 9:20 AM).

Screenshot [1]- Date 27.11.2025
Screenshot [3]- date 28.11.2025 [No signal]
Screenshot [2] - date 01.12.2025

Idea to backtest and when deploy, do it for atleast 100 trades.