Director, Center for Emerging Energy Politics in the Middle East, political and strategic analyst @FPRI. Former diplomat. Teach at @NYUCGA. @jkrasna.bsky.social
Possible game changer. If there is a "Likud B" party which is able to pass the electoral threshold of four seats, it's a clear path to a non Netanyahu government. Much depends on who they would be taking votes from...
https://t.co/2nPzaGaWTu
This is going to be a gamechanger for working in the UAE. Train service linking Abu Dhabi and Dubai (and Fujayrah and Sharjah) starting in the fall: https://t.co/w6A9n8gjAA
Very interesting. "Alongside Sheikh Tahnoon, who is said to have pushed for a business first and pragmatic approach, officials from Dubai and Sharjah — two of the seven sheikhdoms that make up the UAE — also argued for a shift towards repairing ties" https://t.co/2LsjlGg7Yc
CHART OF THE DAY: US gasoline average retail price drops below $4 per gallon for the first time since late March (to $3.999).
Gasoline remains expensive vs pre-war levels, but politically, the fact the first digit of the price is now a 3 is very important for Donald Trump.
CHART OF THE DAY: US gasoline average retail price drops below $4 per gallon for the first time since late March (to $3.999).
Gasoline remains expensive vs pre-war levels, but politically, the fact the first digit of the price is now a 3 is very important for Donald Trump.
French President Emmanuel Macron pulls off what could be the greatest diplomatic troll of all time by getting Trump to sign the "$300 Billion US Surrender to Iran" deal in... Versailles. The ignoramus Trump will have been clueless as to the historical significance of the location
just to get things off the table. Note that paragraph 5 basically leaves the door open to Iran charging Transit and service fees in the Gulf after 60 days.
https://t.co/pTeUvP5XFZ...
Read the MOU. I might make a comment about what happens when NY real estate guys and in America-first sound bite Veep, sure of their own skill and expertise, work without subject matter experts. And what happens when there is pressure to reach any agreement, 1/2
Excellent read by @FirasMaksad.
I'll add that one implication for #Jordan is that a more diversified Middle East could enhance its strategic relevance. As Gulf states reduce dependence on any single external power, the value of trusted regional partners that provide security cooperation, strategic credibility, and strategic connectivity is likely to increase.
The recent #IranWar reinforced this dynamic. While regional states are likely to invest more heavily in indigenous military capabilities and local defense industries, the conflict also demonstrated that effective security still depends on intelligence sharing, operational coordination, and trusted partnerships. This trend could create new opportunities for Jordan's defense manufacturing sector, alongside its established role in military training and regional security cooperation. Jordan's geographic position, professional military institutions, and longstanding strategic relationships reinforce its value as a reliable regional security partner.
The same logic applies to the economic sphere. As #Gulf states accelerate diversification and seek greater resilience against disruptions to maritime chokepoints, overland trade, energy, and transportation corridors are likely to gain importance. Jordan's location places it in a strong position to benefit from these shifts and to serve as a gateway linking the Gulf to the Mediterranean.
If the post-war Middle East is moving from dependence toward diversification, Jordan's comparative advantage may lie in its ability to combine stability, strategic credibility, and regional connectivity. In the emerging regional order, trusted partners will command a premium. Jordan is well positioned to be one of them.
In a piece for the Moshe Dayan Center of Middle Eastern and African Studies, Joshua Krasna details the rift between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates and how it led to a more independent Emirati policy and worldview. https://t.co/6YlldCPOuS