This month's dump fractal seems like May 2022 after the Luna and UST crash.
If this holds true, $BTC will rally towards $76,000 in the coming weeks before the next downtrend.
This is why everyone is depressed in crypto
- Altcoin volumes have dropped by -50%
-Spot Bitcoin ETF AUM is down -$60B
-50% of total BTC supply is now underwater
-Bitcoin recorded 11 consecutive days of panic selling
-Open Interest collapsed -$140B (-60% from peak)
-Bitcoin holders realized $2.3B in losses in just 7 days
-Stablecoin market cap growth has stalled, signaling drying sidelined liquidity
-Miner reserves declining as operational pressure increases
-Funding rates persistently negative across major exchanges
-Only the 2nd time in history BTC posted negative returns for 5 straight months
-Bitcoin has remained in a Capitulation Zone (Z-score < -3) for 5 months
-Fear & Greed Index stuck in Extreme Fear (<20) for 20 days, 2nd longest streak ever
-Long-term holders beginning to distribute at a loss
-Net exchange inflows rising — more BTC moving to sell
-On-chain activity (active addresses & transactions) trending downward
-Venture funding into crypto startups down significantly year-over-year.
JUST IN: Strategy's CEO Phong Le and Morgan Stanley's Head of Digital Assets will discuss their "long-term thinking in BTC and banking at Morgan Stanley" next week 👀
🇺🇸 AMERICANS WILL GET STIMULUS IN 2026.
And here's why it could happen.
President Trump has repeatedly said that he'll use tariff money to provide $1,200 stimulus.
If somehow tariffs remain in place, the US administration could provide a stimulus check this year.
But what if the US had to refund the collected tariffs?
In this case also, US businesses and consumers will benefit.
As per the NY Fed, 90% of the tariffs have been paid by US consumers and businesses.
If the Trump administration will refund $175B+ in tariffs, $157 billion will go towards US entities.
This means no matter what happens, stimulus checks are probably coming this year and it'll be bullish for the markets.