The Yankees last real hope for the AL East is this 3 game series vs Colorado. Tampa plays 3 @ Atlanta during the same time.
If the Yankees are able to sweep, and Tampa loses 2/3, the deficit is 2 games.
If after these 3 games the deficit is still 4 games, the AL East is over.
If TB gets tiebreaker, here’s what NYY needs if TB finishes at:
Rays 9-10 → NYY 14-5
Rays 10-9 → NYY 15-4
Rays 11-8 → NYY 16-3
Rays 12-7 → NYY 17-2
Rays 13-6 → NYY 18-1
Rays 14-5 → NYY 19-0
The Yankees would have to make up 5 games in the final 19 to take the AL East.
Official play: we’re cashing out our Astros to miss playoffs +155 for .3u. Losing .7u but most models have them in the playoffs well above that. Cash out is on DK, MGM does not offer it.