🚨MUST WATCH: MR. BEAN'S DEFINITIVE DEFENSE OF FREE SPEECH (FULL VIDEO)
Rowan Atkinson:
"The clear problem with the outlawing of insult - is that too many things can be interpreted as such."
Source: @avavidan
Strange but true: the expanding Universe doesn't conserve energy
The conservation of energy is one of the most important laws in all of physics, applying to all forces and lab experiments.
But for the overall Universe, that's no longer true.
Here's why.
https://t.co/sng9NpxMWJ
The Kiwi:
Uber Hawkish CB: Ccy gets towelled up vs everything, rate path will kill growth etc etc
Some days later:
Inflation comes in weak AF, Ccy get towelled up because CB wont have to be as hawkish
Good times
https://t.co/4TCKSriWeF
Injustice may bring about external benefit especially if the act cannot be tied back to oneself, but the consequence lies in the mind and one will always be a slave to their desires. Unjust people will struggle to find inner peace and happiness.
Fine. I’ll do it.
Introducing Jeremy’s Chocolate.
Yes, it’s real.
We have two kinds: HeHim and SheHer.
One of them has nuts. If you need me to tell you which one, keep buying Hersheys.
But if you know what a woman is and love chocolate, go to:
https://t.co/QVnCwoBu17
“.. You’ll notice .. the last time it was this high was in May 2008, just a few months before the deepest recession in 80 years.”
- Deutsche #softlanding
"Soft landings" will encourage the Fed to hike more to drive down inflation sooner along with increasing recession risks. Their mandate is for inflation at 2%, not inflation at 2% *now*. If it's already coming down they shouldn't try to front-run the economy. Recipe for disaster.
🛬🚨🛩️: How are we going to land?
“Powell: "You fly, right? Sometimes the landing is perfect. Sometimes the landing is a bit bumpy. It's still a good landing." - back in May
Historically extensive rate hike cycles don’t end well. So how is a soft landing possible?
Read on 🧵👇 - the scenarios possible, historical context, bond flows and much more. Cc: @eliant_capital $SPX $QQQ
Fed will be greedy with soft landing and choke it till it becomes a hard landing.
When you use data that lags the real economy by months to dictate policy that affects the real economy months in the future, there will be a huge mismatch of expectations
The yield curve leads the econ cycle with a classic lag of just over a year. It inverted last summer, which means Q2 &/or Q3 have a bullseye on their foreheads. Our models peg GDP contraction next quarter & all these calls of “no landing” will be relegated to the dustbin.
One of the most diverse sets of opinion i’ve ever seen in my trading career. Soft landing/recession/depression/inflation persistent, you name it.
Best to position lightly, go for a walk
All rate hikes become bullish because rates will go down eventually from hiking too long. Interest rates staying down for too long will create excess liquidity that leads to propped up markets and inflation with the need for rate hikes. It happens when a CB is lagging.