Homerun 6 leg (Flex Friday protected)
6 swings! I’m running all of these as straights on Novig
Let’s hit a banger!
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19/6🏀Today’s Top WNBA Play 4
🎮MIN@GSV #valkyries
🏀Gabby Williams o15.5 PTS (-104)
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🎯 Williams has a playable over case here because the recent scoring baseline is sitting above this number by both average and median. She’s averaging 17.9 PPG with a 19-point median over the last 10, and she’s cleared 15.5 in 7 of those 10. That matters because her normal recent outcome has been landing several points above this line.
📈 Over in 7/10 last 10
📊 17.9 PPG average
🎯 19-point median vs 15.5 line
📍 Cleared in 100% of L5
🛡️ What stands out most is how strong the current scoring run looks. Williams has cleared this in five straight with 27, 25, 19, 16, and 25 points, so she has multiple paths over this number. Even the lowest clear in that stretch still got there, while the ceiling games are pushing well past the line.
🎯 The broader profile keeps the over live too. She’s cleared this in 55% of L20 and 67% on the 2026 sample shown, so the recent spike is not completely isolated. The H2H number is weaker at 40%, but the current form and median both point toward this line being a little short for where her scoring has been.
✅ Projection lands around 17-20 points based on the recent average, median, and L5 scoring run. At -104, the over looks playable because 16+ points has been her standard recent result, and this remains playable up to 16.5.
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WNBA Friday 🔥
Olivia Miles Points Over 16.5
Janelle Salaun Over 3.5 Rebounds
Gabby Williams Points Over 15.5
Nia Coffey Pts + Reb Over 12.5
Aneesah Morrow Over 0.5 Made Threes
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Shout out @jusbeinonlyme ‼️ A fuckin GOAT! Upped Reese rebounds and threw my girl Sophie on there!!! I retweeted man I hope yall tailed her. If not u trippin!!!!! 🤑🤑🤑🤑