KASM

Former BLK analyst. Perpetual learner. 0dte SPX expert. Sharing options flow, charts, & trades.

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

7‑day free trials.

I opened free trials in Alpha Pod over the last two weeks. Most people who tried it… stayed.

So I’m making it permanent: 1 week free for new members. No upfront cost, no tricks.

Come in, see the SPX and options trades, swing ideas, live trading streams, Kairos algorithm, levels indicator, actionable options flow, and the morning note, and much more. If it doesn’t feel like it's worth it, walk away without paying a dime.

https://t.co/ih5H3uZL3H

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

Why is July the only chill month of the year?

[James Altucher @jaltucher]

For people who are worried about the market today, I get it. This stuff is very stressful.

So I put together a chart of all of the times the VIX (the "fear index" of the market) was up over 30% in a day (like today) in the past ten years.

23 out of 25 instances the market was higher one month later. The only two times it wasn't was Feb 2020 when Covid hit the economy in March 2020.

What is the underlying message? When people are afraid, they make bad decisions. Do the opposite.

Attached is a chart summarizing my results.

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

And so the Biden dynasty begins

[Hunter Biden @HunterBiden]

Things most Americans agree on:

Groceries cost too much.

Tariffs suck and make no sense.

Congress and Presidents shouldn’t trade stocks.

The debt is a mess.

The border should be secure, but legal immigration is good.

Endless wars are stupid, especially ones that nobody wants and have never been explained.

Americans are exhausted.

AI is like my new best friend that also might be trying to take my job, my ability to think for myself, and my humanity in the process. Yo like I love you, but WTF, but I still love you.

Diversity is actually awesome! The opposite is boring AF.

Canadians are super fucking cool.

Mexicans are chill.

Putin isn’t a good guy looking out for America’s best interest. Rocky IV and Miracle are great movies.

Good neighbors are a blessing.

Freedom of religion and coexistence without having to blow each other up is probably a good idea.

We all question, are we alone in the universe?

We all fuck up along the way.

Epstein didn’t hang himself.

The Trumps and Epstein were best friends for decades. It’s like Bert trying to tell us Ernie was just an acquaintance in the same social scene on Sesame Street back in the day.

The Cowboys suck. Go Birds!

Things we’re told to fight about:

Me.
Laptop.
Vaccines.
Transgenders in sports.
Pronouns.

That’s the joke.

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

Did you make 85% on this trade?

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

$SPX 7460 c 9.6 -- big size

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

@AO_Analytics Thanks man. Transparency and integrity are two mottos I live by.

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

Today was a pretty tough day for a lot of people, myself included. But these two messages lifted me up.

One from a member celebrating his $11k loss with a powerful message.

The other from someone who joined our free trial, and seeing the Pod at its best and at its worst, decided to join us as a paid member.

❤️

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

Added $CAR into the close with a stop at 170. Best set up in the market right now and some impressive relative strength!

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

$CAR setting up.

Stock pulled back from $190+ in April, base-built in the $140s, and has been climbing back since early May. Now it's coiling tight against the 21-EMA at $178, volume drying up, higher lows pinching in.

The flow has been supportive. June 4 — $182.50 calls (Jul 2) bought on a multi-exch sweep with size 195x the prior open interest. $171K net premium. New position, not a roll. Same pattern fired May 26 on $170 calls (Jun 5) — another $239K in buy-side flow.

System flagged both as MED confidence with the same Repeated Hits rule firing each time. That's two clean directional flow prints on the same name in nine sessions.

Through $180 the trade is live. First target $191. Above that, $206 opens up.

Stop is a daily close back below the 21-EMA.

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

Lots of people spreading FUD for engagement bait. Here’s what you need to know:

$SPY levels to watch on further weakness.

732.06 - 8 week EMA and multi session demand

712.22 - late April consolidation supply and demand

708.30 - heavy demand zone, likely where the 21 week EMA sits by the time we get there (if we do).

690.22 - massive supply zone that will flip to demand. Very high conviction long zone.

That’s it. Stop the FUD. Focus on these levels.

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

Read the free article I shared below. What do you notice. Why did I say “it’s over” before the market opened?

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

It's over

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

I couldn’t help but to think of that. The candle and volume is eerily similar. The difference between October and today is October broke the weekly structure. Today we broke the daily structure. Given the close and loss of the 21 ema I imagine we test lower at some point. The 8 week ema around 730 SPY. I’m positioned long in equities still. Adjusted my portfolio to try and limit high beta, but still have an unreasonably large amount of AXTX so I’d love a big bounce next week like we saw in October, just not super confident we get it. I would have been had we held the 21 ema

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

If you sold your longs down here at $SPY's first tap of of the 21-ema then I'm not really sure what to tell you.

Can it go lower, sure. But is this objectively an incredible spot to try some new longs? Yes.

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

@RJCcapital Can I pay you $200 a month to show me how

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

@GlidingPhoenix Supply demand analysis. Nothing unique or complicated. Just looking at the chart and finding the supply and demand levels that matter.

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

bitcoin:native bottom is in

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

If you're looking to buy the crypto dip these are the levels you have to focus on:

$BTC
71,253
67,201
59,392

$ETH
2,116
1,944
1,732
1,521

[Kairos @Kairosalgo]

-2.7% on the day where $QQQ is down 5%, that’s exactly how Kairos beats the market.

During yesterday’s bull trap, Kairos opened no new positions.

That is risk management but more important, patience for the right opportunities.

The best part? Kairos posts all its entries and exits on X, for free.

All it costs you is a follow.

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

$SMH $2.9M Puts STO

Trade:

6-12-26 $530 Puts (sold) | Size: 5,000

Vol/OI: 6.4x | IV 70% | Spot $575.96 | Fill $5.78

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

$SNDK DIAGONAL PUT SPREAD | $1.3M Net Debit

Trade:

6-12-26 $1655 Jun12/1700 Jun05 Puts | Size: 150

Vol/OI: 12.7x | IV 111% | Spot $1552.00 | Fill $156.17

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

$TWLO BULL CALL SPREAD | $352K Net Debit

Trade:

6-18-26 $235/240 Calls | Size: 623

Vol/OI: 5.3x | IV 70% | Spot $228.87 | Fill $9.21

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

$FCEL is still the future, right? Bet you $20k it is a buy at $18 ;)

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

It's over

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

@Megz25220 LOL not anymore

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

$SPX 7580 possible today

[KASM @KASM_Capital]

@spy_600 LOL you do know information changes every minute, right?