🇮🇷 Iran isn't fracturing, and the shipping attacks aren't a sign of chaos. They're enforcement.
Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson knocks down the swirling speculation about dead Iranian leaders and an IRGC splintering from within.
The odds of any of that triggering a broader collapse, he says, are low.
The recent attacks on shipping? Not evidence of internal discord at all.
Johnson explains they're far more likely responses to vessels breaking Iranian protocols in the strait.
And even with the current 60-day pause on fees, Iran is still enforcing its transit rules to the letter.
Ships that try to slip through by switching off their transponders, he warns, are getting hit with immediate action.
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