TUNE IN: @seanhannity moderates ‘The Great Red vs Blue State Debate’ between Florida’s Gov. @rondesantis and California’s Gov. @GavinNewsom tomorrow at 9p ET on Fox News Channel.
Time for the adults to have a talk.
Mid-March was when reports of a looming Trump indictment in Manhattan began to percolate heavily. On March 12th, Trump was at his lowest in the RCP national primary polling average. Over the next 118 days Trump rose a massive 10 points in that same polling average.
So what changed?
Have Trump's favorables demonstrably improved? No, he's still a collective minus-16 according to 538's average. Is Trump crushing DeSantis in fundraising? No, as we just saw this week. So what changed? What calculus was added to the metric to ascend Trump's numbers, when no other metric indicates such dominance?
There's only thing: Trump was indicted not once, but twice, on complete and obvious partisan persecutions during this time. There is no other option.
DeSantis' favorables among Republicans are still very high, so if it primarily was Ron's fault, his favorables among the primary electorate would've suffered accordingly. People don't sour on a campaign without souring also on its candidate. And Republicans still really like DeSantis.
Effectively, Democrat lawfare is behaving as a de facto Trump Super PAC. Republicans are rightfully rallying to a past champion, who is obviously being unfairly persecuted for being their past champion. I understand this inclination. And I have said all along that I have no problem with Trump running on "I shall return" MacArthur-like retribution. I like that chip on the shoulder, if it is harnessed properly.
However, the Democrat lawfare isn't going to stop. And Republican voters probably aren't going to realize on their own they are being lured into a Little Big Horn ambush by the Democrats.
"Yes, by all means, rally to your champion," Democrats are saying. "We want you to nominate him, in fact we're actively encouraging it and are publicly enabling it. We look forward to running against a convicted felon that 48% of Americans have proven -- the last four elections in a row -- they don't want any part of what he's a part of."
For now we are being afforded the luxury of rallying to a candidate most of us know cannot win a general election. But there will come a time when time is up. When we will be stuck with a weakened proxy who is struggling to stay out of prison, raise money, retain/recruit credible and effective staff, and doesn't even seem to be trying to rehabilitate his image to reach suburban voters we must have to win a must-win election.
And make no mistake, 2024 is a must-win election. I cannot even imagine how much more evil will be unleashed if we don't, not to mention Trump likely spends the rest of his natural life incarcerated.
For the adults (non-grifters, non-cultists, critical thinkers, people who care more about their kids/grandkids than any politician, etc.) there are two options:
1) Trump must have a strategy to run on our behalf as likely a convicted felon, beyond grainy chit-lib type videos over at Truth Social with increasingly lame taunts, which is most of his current strategy. That ain't winning Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania, etc. And we might be picking out our plots at the gulag soon after 2024 if we don't win at least some of those. Trump will be wearing an ankle bracelet at his posh resort if he loses, we'll be trying to stop them from descending from castrating our kids to flat-out euthanizing them.
2) DeSantis' central campaign message perhaps becomes what Casey launched this week. Run a parallel primary campaign to Trump that goes after suburban voters who both will be attracted by that message, but also aren't zealously loyal to Trump. Don't even bother competing for voters who would gladly follow Trump off a cliff with their whole families, just to prove some point that won't make nearly the difference winning would. Those same suburban voters are also more likely to be receptive to the reality of the difficulties of nominating Trump, and plain talk where that is concerned. Get on the national stage as often as you can, with or without Trump.
The next election is more than just win or go home. It's win or don't be so sure you'll even have a home to go home to.
You can’t keep thinking the old negative way and have the new things that God wants to do in your life. The apostle Paul says that if we want to become more like God, we have to renew our minds.