I was asked if there will be a time when the whole #financial market turns red BUT only #crypto market surges?
Sure there will be.
๐ Read more below.
When the #fiat loses their value, #Bitcoin would be a safe place for your funds. Cryptocurrency is still small in size, giants like #BlackRock itself adding little (of their) money can turn this whole market green. The only matter is WHEN?
It is up to the tycoons who can decide.
๐ฅ For the upcoming months, the playground still mainly belongs to the #traders, and the #funds usually prevails.
At such time most traders are in debt.
โ ๏ธ Do NOT take out a loan to get things back, as your funds may follow the other markets' crack at the end of this year.
๐ The current #downtrend coincides with the #vesting schedule of many projects from 2020 - 2021.
This causes numerous tokens unlocked while the cash flow is less active (nobody hopes to take in money in such timing).
Tokens then become less valuable - more #inflationary.
4๏ธโฃ Do more research on other markets, even other jobs to increase your funds.
๐ Get ready for #DCA when there is a #dump so you can take medium-term profits on the #rebound before THE strong dump happens later on.
#BTC#Crypto
When the #InterestRates are yet to peak (expected in mid-2023 as I already analyzed in the previous tweets), the real dark days of #Crypto have not yet come.
However, that does not mean there are no growing projects or no ways to boost your funds.
๐ Read how-to below
3๏ธโฃ Use a part of your funds for weekly #surfing (when #BTC goes sideways).
โ ๏ธ I don't recommend wasting your time this way, but it is still an experience to understand how the #sideway market goes.
- Option 1: Total = -25% โ #BTC = 34,6K
- Option 2: Total = -50% โ BTC = 23K
- Option 3: Total = -70% โ BTC = 13,8K
- Option n: โฆ?
What matters here is not guessing which one is right, but whether you have a plan for it if it happens.
As what I predicted in "One ugly scenario in the latter of 2022", now look at #Bitcoin Quarterly Returns, it can be seen that 2014 - 2018 - 2022 are struggling in the same way.
๐ What would be the possibilities in Q3, Q4 and in total of 2022?
๐ Read more below
The peak probably comes in the middle of 2023.
And it will come with a lot of bad news. So don't be so hasty during this fire sale.
#InterestRates#peak#USA#FED#Recession
When will the #InterestRates STOP rising?
2% #inflation target should require an appropriate interest rate, which is around 4.5 to 5%, because 7% would make mortgages and corporate bond yields reach double digits.
That case the businesses would already go insolvent.
#FED#USA
0.75 for the upcoming one would be relevant and acceptably high. Higher rate would be too burdensome, which would make other indicators out of control. While the data to decide #CPI index take a while to get reported, which is not real-time.
#USA#Recession#FED
What will the interest rate be at the end of 2022?
There will be 3 more #FED Rate Decisions by the end of the year.
(21st September, 2nd November, and 14th December)
My prediction would be 0.75 - 0.5 - 0.5.
#USA#Recession#InterestRates
The US credit markets have started to drop. The ugliest year ever for US corporate-bond investors is expected to get uglier. Bonds fell, lending conditions tightened, and defaults increased (higher than 2020).
#USA#Markets#Recession#FED
So when will THE #recession end?
It will NOT until April or July of 2023, estimated based on #Fed's interest rate hike up to when the inflation goes back to 2%.
However, it greatly depends on what will happen in the #EU, #Russia, and #China.
#USA