Kemi Countdown

Counting down the days.

Counting up the letters.

[The Critic @TheCriticMag]

Howzat! James Cartlidge managed a blunder so big it overshadowed David Lammy’s lack of poppy — @RobDotHutton’s PMQs Sketch https://t.co/TYMyqEoy4x

[John Crace @JohnJCrace]

https://t.co/49RbUFs51K

[Kemi Countdown @KemiCountdown]

0 days.

[Kemi Countdown @KemiCountdown]

1 day.

[Kemi Countdown @KemiCountdown]

2 days.

[YouGov @YouGov]

After a year as party leader, Kemi Badenoch has convinced just 12% of Britons that she looks like a prime minister in waiting

She does: 12%
She does not: 62%

2024 Conservative voters
She does: 25%
She does not: 53%

https://t.co/ny4auyihiP

[YouGov @YouGov]

Just 23% of Britons think Kemi Badenoch has done a good job so far as Conservative leader, ahead of the first anniversary of her leadership election win this Sunday

Good job: 23%
Bad job: 42%

2024 Conservative voters
Good job: 54%
Bad job: 24%

[Election Maps UK @ElectionMapsUK]

% of Seats Successfully Defended by Each Party:

🔶 LDM: 93% (26/28)
🌍 GRN: 67% (6/9)
➡️ RFM: 50% (4/8)
🌹 LAB: 28% (13/47)
🌳 CON: 27% (9/33)
🏘️ Localists: 0% (0/9)

[Election Maps UK @ElectionMapsUK]

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 32% (=)
GRN: 17% (+2)
CON: 16% (-1)
LAB: 16% (=)
LDM: 12% (=)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via @FindoutnowUK, 29 Oct.
Changes w/ 22 Oct.

[Kemi Countdown @KemiCountdown]

3 days.

[Election Maps UK @ElectionMapsUK]

Seat Projection [It's Just 1 Poll Caveat]:

A 15% Reform lead against a hopelessly split opposition would deliver them a landslide majority of 130 seats.

RFM: 390
LDM: 72
LAB: 51
SNP: 43
GRN: 41
CON: 20
PLC: 6
Others: 8

[Kemi Countdown @KemiCountdown]

4 days.

[Kemi Countdown @KemiCountdown]

5 days.

[Election Maps UK @ElectionMapsUK]

My Seat Projection [usual 'it's just one poll' caveat]:

RFM: 324 (+319)
LDM: 88 (+16)
LAB: 74 (-337)
SNP: 46 (+37)
GRN: 42 (+38)
CON: 38 (-83)
PLC: 7 (+3)
Others: 12 (+7)

[Kemi Countdown @KemiCountdown]

6 days.

[Britain Elects @BritainElects]

Britain Elects poll tracker:
Labour (19%) now polling closer to the Greens (12%) than Reform (31%)

[Kemi Countdown @KemiCountdown]

7 days.

[Kemi Countdown @KemiCountdown]

8 days.

[Opinium @OpiniumResearch]

🚨 Latest Opinium @ObserverUK polling 🚨

Some of the Kemi boost after party conference falls back, with Badenoch’s approval rating dropping to net -17.

However, this is still her second-best score since March.