kd

• be easy to root for • eagerly root for others

[kd @KevinDuane7]

S&P Trading "System" - https://t.co/Bo5gmp1HP6

[Trader Brian Jones @MasterBJones]

Keep sharing the system.
Lets save 10,000's more traders.
You can see how well it works.
Even just knowing that whenever the s&p breaks above the 50 sma there's a winning long trade like on Oct 3.
Breaks below there's is a winning short trade like Oct 6th.
Ridiculously Easy!

[Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟ @burrytracker]

We're about to see who's the better analyst

President Trump said: "The stock market is going to go through the roof"

Meanwhile Michael Burry says "the end is near"

[Deep Psychology @DeepPsycho_HQ]

Ultimate Universal truth.

[EffectEmerging @EffectEmerging]

$PLAS.C be certain after today's news, if NEOS gets to full production, this will be much more than a 10x

[Cassandra Unchained @michaeljburry]

Timeless Seth Klarman.

What the world needs now
Is a Margin of Safety

[D. Stamos/Helodriver @SpacecoastPix]

@unusual_whales And I have agreed to let the sun rise tomorrow. 🙄

[Out of Context Human Race @NoContextHumans]

I’ve never seen anything more accurate

[Otavio (Tavi) Costa @TaviCosta]

A friendly reminder:

The Fed can reach 2% inflation without hiking rates or raising the target.

Just by changing how inflation is measured.

The market doesn’t seem to be considering that possibility, yet it’s the most probable outcome in my view.

https://t.co/IqLBKuv8wp

[Cassandra Unchained @michaeljburry]

Shorting is a world filled with slippery slopes and sand castles. The sand castles are real, and vulnerable, but the slippery slopes drive men insane and ultimately prevent most from being properly positioned when the castle is washed away.

[Trader Brian Jones @MasterBJones]

This is true at best it can start to top out.
Crashes usually only can happen by October.

[kd @KevinDuane7]

@Silver__Santa If you post the criteria into Claude, it notes Q-Gold Resources (QBR) as the closest… no position.

[Trader Brian Jones @MasterBJones]

Basically what you want to do is make as much money as you can in this Bubble then dump before the crash that could start in late September.

[Trader Brian Jones @MasterBJones]

Never before in the history of the stock market has there been only one person who had total control over the stock market like we have today.

[Trader Brian Jones @MasterBJones]

The S&P 500 Shiller P/E ratio is currently hovering around 40 to 42. This places current stock market valuations among the highest in history, a level only previously seen during the peak of the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s.

[Lin @Speculator_io]

The real frenzy starts once the most hyped companies go public.

Space: SpaceXai
Defense: Anduril
Al: OpenAl, Anthropic
Robotics: Figure Al, Apptronik
Fintech: Stripe, Revolut
Crypto: Kraken, Ripple,
Prediction Markets: Polymarket, Kalshi
Chips: Groq, Cerebras
Cloud: Databricks

We haven't seen anything yet...

[Silver Santa @Silver__Santa]

Real rates are nominal interest rates minus inflation.
If the 10-year Treasury yields 4% and inflation is running at 3%, the real rate is roughly +1%.
When rates are flat but inflation rises, real rates are falling.
If the 10-year stays at 4% but inflation climbs to 4.5%, the real rate drops to −0.5%.
Holding "safe" bonds now costs you purchasing power — you're losing money in real terms.
Gold pays no yield, so its main competition is the real return on bonds. When real rates are positive and rising, gold looks unattractive because you can earn a decent inflation-adjusted return just holding Treasuries.
But when real rates fall — especially into negative territory — that opportunity cost disappears. Holding gold "costs" you nothing relative to bonds, and gold has the added appeal of being a hard asset that tends to hold its value against a weakening currency.
When nominal rates are flat and inflation is climbing, then this is historically one of the most bullish setups for gold. It signals that central banks are either unwilling or unable to tighten enough to keep up with inflation, which erodes confidence in fiat currencies and drives demand for stores of value like gold.
The key relationship to remember: gold and real rates tend to move inversely. Falling real rates → gold up. Rising real rates → gold under pressure.

[Trader Brian Jones @MasterBJones]

The last 2 times oil prices were this high was in 2022.
Market fell 30%.
2008 market fell 50%.
Of course there was more involved.
But Oil Prices must come back down for the market to rally back.

[Vinny DiF @vinnydif]

In other words:

Cloud growth is slowing, but tech spending is exploding back to dot-com bubble levels. At the same time, the entire AI boom is being fueled by a circular money loop where companies fund each other and all roads lead to Nvidia. Burry is basically saying the fundamentals are weakening while the hype and spending are going vertical.

[kd @KevinDuane7]

He's back.

[Nancy Pelosi Stock Tracker ♟ @pelositracker]

Hang it in the Lourve

[Trader Brian Jones @MasterBJones]

When the #AI bubble pops.
"Not this year".
The market could fall 30%+.
But that won't happen until earnings on $NVDA start dropping.
That will be the signal of a 30%+ drop in the market within 9 months.